WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 2026 Team Report
NFC South · Bye: Week 11
Next game
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · vs. San Francisco 49ers · opponent power rank #1 Group A (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line +4.5
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
STEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR
Falcons 35, PACKERS 14 (GB -4.5). The Packers couldn't pass protect or run the ball, and they had severe issues stopping Bijan Robinson. The Packers went up 7-0 but allowed 27 consecutive points after that. 498-328 ATL, 7.5-5.2 ATL
Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL
Ravens 30, FALCONS 23 (ATL -3.5). The Falcons led for most of the game because of Mark Andrews' mistakes, but Tyler Huntley caught fire at the end of the game leading drives to tie at the end of regulation and in overtime to win it. Michael Penix got hurt at the end. 391-367 BAL, 5.7-5.5 ATL
Bears 31, FALCONS 23 (ATL PK). The Bears got out to a 31-7 lead in this game with great Caleb Williams passing and some turnovers forced on Atlanta. The Falcons got garbage time and made this game interesting very late, but Chicago's defense shut the door on Michael Penix Jr. 368-257 CHI, 5.1-5.0 ATL
Bye week: Week 11.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Away | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| As favorite | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| As underdog | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Pick'em | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Average cover margin: -0.2 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
My adjustment: Penix 3-5
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #23 | #2 | #12 |
| Defense | #16 | #23 | #17 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #29 | Group F |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #29 | Group F |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #31 | Group F |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #26 | Group D |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #15 | Group C |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #17 | Group C |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #17 | Group C |
Injury history
QBs
- Michael Penix out 1-2
- Tua Tagovailoa out 1-2
- All QBs return 3
OL
- Chris Lindstrom DLF 2 (in)
- Jake Matthews DLF 5 (in)
Pass Rush
- Jalon Walke out 1-IR
- James Pearce out 1-IR
- Samson Ebukam out 3
- Samson Ebukam returns 4
- Za'Darius Smith DDL 5 (out)
- Samson Ebukam LLL 5 (in)
- Za'Darius Smith LDL 6
LBs
- Divine Deableo LLL 5 (in)
CBs
- A.J. Terrell DFD 2 (in)
- A.J. Terrell out 3-IR
- C.J. Henderson out 6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
