WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos 2026 Team Report
AFC West · Bye: Week 10
Next game
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · at Arizona Cardinals · opponent power rank #26 Group D (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line -4.5
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
CHIEFS 31, Broncos 10 (KC -3). Outside of one early drive, the Chiefs struggled in the first half with some shaky play from Patrick Mahomes. Kenneth Walker wore down the Broncos in the second half, and Denver could do nothing offensively with Bo Nix not scrambling at all. 392-176 KC, 5.9-3.7 KC
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
BRONCOS 30, Rams 26 (DEN +2.5). The Rams were up 16-0 at halftime and were in complete control, but the Broncos caught fire in the second half. The Rams went up 26-23, but the officials gave the Broncos a win on a silver platter with a horrible call at the end. 482-257 LAR, 5.9-4.3 LAR
49ERS 24, Broncos 14 (SF -2.5). This was a punting fest in the first half, but things opened up for the 49ers when the Broncos lost Patrick Surtain and Riley Moss to injury. This was still a close game, but George Kittle broke it wide open with a long touchdown. 358-296 SF, 5.5-4.6 SF
Broncos 23, CHARGERS 17 (LAC +3.5). The Broncos had Sean Payton calling the plays, but it didn't matter. Bo Nix still struggled, only putting together touchdown drives on short fields following Charger turnovers. Justin Herbert couldn't get anything going behind an injury-ravaged offensive line. 237-224 LAC, 3.9-3.8 DEN
BRONCOS 17, Seahawks 14 (DEN +2.5). The Broncos led 14-3 for a chunk of the game. Sam Darnold saw lots of pressure and couldn't move the ball for a while, but converted two scoring drives at the end. However, an interception in overtime gave the Broncos a field goal to win.
Bye week: Week 10.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Away | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| As favorite | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| As underdog | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Average cover margin: -1.1 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #22 | #20 | #27 |
| Defense | #8 | #14 | #7 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #15 | Group C |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #15 | Group C |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #13 | Group C |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #11 | Group C |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #11 | Group B |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #13 | Group C |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #14 | Group B |
Injury history
RBs
- R.J. Harvey DLL 2 (out)
- R.J. Harvey returns 3
- Jonah Coleman out 3-IR
WR/TE
- Pat Bryant out 5-IR
Pass Rush
- Jonathon Cooper out 1-CE
CBs
- Patrick Surtain out 5-6
- Riley Moss out 5
- Riley Moss LLL 6
Safeties
- Talanoa Hufanga out 6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
