December 22, 2025
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2025 – Early Games

Walt014 mins
Jordan Love
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 17 NFL Picks – Late Games




Individual Game Pages

Cowboys at Redskins  |  Lions at Vikings  |  Broncos at Chiefs  |  Texans at Chargers  |  Ravens at Packers  |  Cardinals at Bengals  |  Seahawks at Panthers  |  Steelers at Browns  |  Saints at Titans  |  Buccaneers at Dolphins  |  Jaguars at Colts  |  Patriots at Jets  |  Giants at Raiders  |  Eagles at Bills  |  Bears at 49ers  |  Rams at Falcons  | 

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17 Early Games


Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) at Washington Redskins (4-11)
Line: Cowboys by 5.5. Total: 50.5.
Thursday, Dec. 25, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -3.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys.

  • History: Cowboys have won 14 of the previous 19 meetings.
  • Opening Line: Cowboys -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 51.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Detroit Lions (8-7) at Minnesota Vikings (6-9)
    Line: Lions by 6. Total: 44.5.
    Thursday, Dec. 25, 4:30 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Lions.

  • History: Lions have won 5 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Dan Campbell is 15-6 ATS after a loss since his second season.
  • Vikings are 51-42 ATS at home since 2014 (20-27 ATS since 2020).
  • Opening Line: Lions -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 48.5.
  • Weather: Dome.




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Denver Broncos (12-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-9)
    Line: Broncos by 12.5. Total: 37.5.
    Thursday, Dec. 25, 8:15 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Broncos -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

  • History: Chiefs have won 17 of the last 19 meetings, excluding when the Chiefs rested their starters.
  • Sean Payton is 26-16 ATS after losing as a favorite.
  • Broncos are 2-23 SU in December games at Arrowhead.
  • Andy Reid is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more since 2000.
  • Chiefs are 9-3 ATS as home underdogs of 6+ since 1989.
  • Opening Line: Broncos -12.5.
  • Opening Total: 39.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Houston Texans (10-5) at Los Angeles Chargers (11-4)
    Line: Chargers by 1. Total: 39.5.
    Saturday, Dec. 27, 4:30 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Texans -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Texans.

  • Jim Harbaugh is 14-6 ATS after a loss, excluding 2014. ???
  • Opening Line: Texans -1.
  • Opening Total: 39.5.
  • Weather: Dome.




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Baltimore Ravens (7-8) at Green Bay Packers (9-5-1)
    Line: Packers by 2.5. Total: 40.5.
    Saturday, Dec. 27, 8:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Packers -3.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • Lamar Jackson is 11-2 ATS as an underdog. ???
  • Opening Line: Packers -2.5.
  • Opening Total: 40.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Arizona Cardinals (3-12) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-10)
    Line: Bengals by 7. Total: 53.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bengals -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

  • Joe Burrow is 46-23 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (5-6 ATS otherwise).
  • Opening Line: Bengals -7.
  • Opening Total: 53.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Seattle Seahawks (12-3) at Carolina Panthers (8-7)
    Line: Seahawks by 7. Total: 42.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -7.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Panthers.

  • Seahawks are 11-19 ATS as a favorite of 6+ since 2017.
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -7.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-12)
    Line: Steelers by 4.5. Total: 34.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Steelers -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Browns.

  • History: Steelers have won 41 of the last 51 meetings excluding a 2018 tie.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 141-104 ATS since 2009.
  • Steelers are 15-32 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin.
  • Opening Line: Steelers -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 34.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    New Orleans Saints (5-10) at Tennessee Titans (3-12)
    Line: Saints by 2.5. Total: 39.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Saints -2.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Titans are 31-23 ATS in non-conference home games.
  • Opening Line: Saints -2.
  • Opening Total: 39.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) at Miami Dolphins (6-9)
    Line: Buccaneers by 4.5. Total: 46.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Buccaneers -3.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Road Team is 151-104 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.
  • Dolphins are 22-8 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses the previous 30 instances.
  • Dolphins are 35-51 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.
  • Opening Line: Buccaneers -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 37.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4) at Indianapolis Colts (8-6)
    Line: Jaguars by 6.5. Total: 46.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jaguars -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Colts.

  • History: Home Team has won 15 of the last 16 meetings.
  • Opening Line: Jaguars -6.5.
  • Opening Total: 45.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    New England Patriots (12-3) at New York Jets (3-12)
    Line: Patriots by 12.5. Total: 42.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Patriots -9.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

  • History: Patriots have won 38 of the last 46 meetings.
  • Mike Vrabel is 7-1 ATS in his second-consecutive road game.
  • Opening Line: Patriots -9.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:



    New York Giants (2-13) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-13)
    Line: Giants by 1. Total: 41.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 28, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Giants -3.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Raiders are 21-37 ATS as home favorites since November 2005. ???
  • Opening Line: Giants -2.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 17 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

    NFL Picks Week 17 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages

    Cowboys at Redskins  |  Lions at Vikings  |  Broncos at Chiefs  |  Texans at Chargers  |  Ravens at Packers  |  Cardinals at Bengals  |  Seahawks at Panthers  |  Steelers at Browns  |  Saints at Titans  |  Buccaneers at Dolphins  |  Jaguars at Colts  |  Patriots at Jets  |  Giants at Raiders  |  Eagles at Bills  |  Bears at 49ers  |  Rams at Falcons  | 


    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results

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