NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 17, 2025 – Late Games

NFL Picks (Week 1, 2025): 9-7 (-$725)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2025): 7-9 (-$925)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2025): 6-10 (-$1,285)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2025): 6-10 (+$410)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2025): 8-6 (-$25)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2025): 8-7 (-$785)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2025): 9-6 (+$1,160)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2025): 9-4 (+$115)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2025): 8-6 (-$545)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2025): 7-6-1 (+$1,260)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2025): 5-9-1 (-$480)
NFL Picks (Week 12, 2025): 5-8-1 (-$1,485)
NFL Picks (Week 13, 2025): 7-9 (+$315)
NFL Picks (Week 14, 2025): 7-6-1 (+$1,370)
NFL Picks (Week 15, 2025): 9-7 (+$1,790)
NFL Picks (Week 16, 2025): 11-5 (+$600)
2025 NFL Picks: 123-108-5 (+$1,655)

2024 NFL Picks: 144-136-12 (-$1,380)
NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Dec. 28, 11:30 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 17 NFL Picks – Early Games

The Matchup. Edge: None.

I told you about my two books, How the 2020 MVP Was Stolen and a Safety and a Field Goal! Well, I’ve written a third book that was released this past spring! It’s called Jerks of the College Years. If you like Jerks of the Week, you’ll like Jerks of the College Years, as it’s a collection of weirdos I wrote about during my time at Penn State.

You can support the site by buying this book and spreading the word!

NEW YORK OFFENSE: It seems so long ago now, but Jaxson Dart was once considered the favorite to be Offensive Rookie of the Year. He didn’t play in the first three games, but he took the league by storm with wins over the Chargers and Eagles. He also went toe to toe with the Broncos in Denver.

Things are much different now. Dart has not played well recently, and that’s putting it nicely. He was so bad last week that he threw for just 33 yards and didn’t complete his first pass until right before halftime. Granted, that was against the Vikings, and the Raiders have a much worse defense. However, the Redskins have the 31st-ranked defense, and Dart struggled to score against them as well.

The coaches would love for Dart to be able to lean on his rushing attack, given that they ran the ball so often last week. However, the Raiders are better against the run than the pass, so that strategy won’t work so well.

LAS VEGAS OFFENSE: Ashton Jeanty is perhaps experiencing the opposite of Dart. While Dart was hot early before cooling off lately, Jeanty had a very poor start to his season, outside of his performance against the Raiders. But now, he’s coming off a tremendous performance against the Texans. Jeanty broke free for two long touchdowns against one of the best defenses in the NFL.

If Jeanty was able to thrive against the Texans, things bode well for him against the Giants. New York has the worst run defense in the NFL, so Jeanty will be able to pick up big chunks of yardage at a time.

With Jeanty running well, Geno Smith will be able to operate in more favorable situations. Jeanty is having a terrible year, but it’s not often that he’s able to play in a favorable matchup like this. Also, there’s a chance Kolton Miller will finally be able to return from injury to enhance the Raiders’ horrendous offensive line.

RECAP: This game is a tale of two rookies. One started hot, but has been fading recently. The other struggled for most of the year, but is playing better now and has a very easy matchup.

I like the Raiders here, especially given that we’re getting them at basically a pick ’em. I don’t know why the Raiders are favored by just a point-and-a-half. The Giants even opened as road favorites, which is crazy. I can’t say I’m excited to bet this game, but fading the Giants feels like the right move.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Giants are now favored because Brock Bowers was placed on injured reserve. I don’t really care too much about that because Ashton Jeanty will probably dominate this game. It seems odd to favor Jaxson Dart on the road when he had just 33 passing yards last week.

SATURDAY NOTES: I had aspirations of betting the Raiders because the Giants were going to sit Andrew Thomas. Maxx Crosby even said he was going to fight for a win. Well, the Raiders heard that and sat Miller. Brock Bowers and Kolton Miller also won’t play. I’m back on the Giants, but won’t be betting this game.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: I don’t know how you bet a game where both teams have an incentive to lose. There’s some pretty egregious tanking involved with both of these teams.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps are pounding the Giants, taking them to -3. There’s suddenly some good value with the Raiders at +3, but I’m not going to take it. The best line is -3 -102 at both BetMGM and Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Raiders -2.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Giants -3.

Computer Model: Raiders -1.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Equal action.

Percentage of money on New York: 56% (76,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Giants.

Raiders are 21-37 ATS as home favorites since November 2005.

Opening Line: Giants -2.5.

Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: Dome.

The Matchup. Edge: Eagles.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called Questions from Conrad, where I discuss the odd questions my son asked me one morning.

PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: The Eagles are coming off two win and covers, but they haven’t played their best. They’ll have some reinforcements to help them, however, as Lane Johnson and Jalen Carter are set to return to action.

Any Philadelphia fan knows how huge Johnson’s presence is. No matter who the quarterback has been, whether it’s Jalen Hurts, Carson Wentz, or Nick Foles, that signal-caller has performed far worse without Johnson. There’s no telling if Johnson will be 100 percent in his first game back, but if he’s close to full strength, Hurts will have much more time in the pocket. He’ll need it against a strong Buffalo pass rush and secondary.

Saquon Barkley will also benefit from Johnson’s presence. Barkley has had a rough year, but is coming off a strong performance at Washington. The Redskins have a putrid run defense, but so do the Bills. Barkley will have an opportunity to rip off some big gains in this contest.

BUFFALO OFFENSE: Johnson is probably the most important player on the Eagles, but Jalen Carter is up there as well. Carter is a force in the interior, and in his absence, Philadelphia’s defense doesn’t play as well against the run and offers less of a pass rush.

Carter returning is huge for this matchup. The Bills have a strong rushing attack led by James Cook, so containing him will be paramount because it’ll force Josh Allen into long-yardage situations in which he has to target his awful receivers. Carter’s presence will allow that to happen.

Allen, of course, will want to throw to his tight ends, but no team is better at defending the position than the Eagles. Allen will also want to scramble, but the Eagles surrender the fifth-fewest rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Oh, and Allen is also dealing with an injury he suffered against the Browns and may not be 100 percent.

RECAP: While we don’t know if Johnson and Carter will be fully healthy in their first game back, having them on the field can’t possibly hurt. The Eagles have high upside to perform at peak potential in this game.

Conversely, the Bills do not have the potential to perform at peak ability, especially if Carter is healthy enough to help the Eagles shut down the run. The Eagles can take away Allen’s preferred method of his attack – scrambling, tight ends – similarly to what the Browns were able to accomplish last week.

If you couldn’t tell, I’m on the Eagles. They’re healthier now, and they seem to match up very favorably against the Bills. Plus, Allen could be hindered by the injury he suffered last week.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Pick change, and not just because Lane Johnson was DNP on Wednesday. Something I should have considered was that the Eagles had their two recent wins against Kenny Pickett and Josh Johnson, and they looked like they’d have issues defeating the Redskins with Marcus Mariota under center. The Bills are obviously a huge step up in class for them.

SATURDAY NOTES: Apparently, there was some thought that Josh Allen could sit this game because of his foot injury. If the Patriots win, this will be a meaningless game for Buffalo, so I don’t think we can completely count out Allen resting, even though the Bills said he will start. I have no interest in this game.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The sharps have pounded the Bills this morning, taking the line to -3. I might end up betting the Bills based on how the early games go.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Once again, the sharps bet the Bills at less than -3, but not at -3. I’m going to place one unit on the Bills. The best line is -3 -110 at almost every sportsbook.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Bills -2.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bills -3.

Computer Model: Bills -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Equal action.

Percentage of money on Buffalo: 54% (99,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Eagles.

Eagles are 42-28 ATS as road underdogs since 2005.

Bills are 34-44 ATS in their last 78 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Opening Line: Bills -3.

Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: Rain, 40 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Bears.

If you didn’t catch it, I posted live bets during Week 16, including Puka Nacua over receiving yards. I’ll be posting more live bets on X because it takes time to upload things to the site, so by the time I do, the line may be stale. Follow me @walterfootball for those live betting updates.

SAN FRANCISCO OFFENSE: ESPN repeatedly mentioned the fact that the 49ers haven’t punted since November. Now, San Francisco had a bye recently, so that’s factored into the equation. Still, there’s no denying the 49ers’ offensive success, even though it’s come against the Colts and their injured secondary and the Titans.

The Bears had the same dilemma that the Colts were facing last night earlier in the season. Indianapolis was missing both of its starting cornerbacks, and Chicago endured that as well. In fact, several weeks ago, the Bears were missing their top three cornerbacks, their top three linebackers, and their best safety. They’ve gotten completely healthy, so perhaps their secondary can slow down Brock Purdy, especially if George Kittle is sidelined after getting hurt late in the Monday night contest.

The Bears having their linebackers is huge, as it’ll prevent Christian McCaffrey from ripping off big yardage on the ground. Also, being able to cover the middle of the field will be crucial against Chicago.

CHICAGO OFFENSE: Even though the 49ers scored five offensive touchdowns and didn’t punt Monday night, the game was still in doubt in the fourth quarter because San Francisco’s defense was a sieve against Philip Rivers. Despite being out of football for five years just two weeks prior, Rivers torched the 49ers mercilessly.

This was no fluke. The 49ers have no pass rush. They got to Rivers on a couple of occasions, but Rivers had a very clean pocket for most of the evening. The thing is, the Colts were missing a couple of starters up front, whereas Chicago has a fully healthy blocking unit. Caleb Williams, as a result, will have all the time in the world to dissect San Francisco’s secondary.

The Bears won’t have as much success running the ball, though it won’t be a lost cause. The 49ers are much better against the run than the pass, but Chicago’s elite offensive line thrives when blasting open holes for D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai.

RECAP: I’m not a complete believer in this Chicago team. The Bears have gotten lucky in so many instances this year. However, I don’t dislike them either, as Ben Johnson has done a phenomenal job in his first season. The Bears are always improving on both sides of the ball, and they block better than most teams in the NFL. Their defense has also improved since the injured players have returned to the lineup.

I think the Bears are better than the 49ers, who have the weakest unit among the four in this game, which is their defense. Not being able to pressure Williams at all will have dire consequences. And keep in mind that the Bears will have had two extra days to prepare for this contest.

Despite all of this, the 49ers are three-point home favorites, which seems like a misprice. It’s not overly egregious, but we’re getting a full field goal with the slightly better team off more rest, so I like Chicago a decent amount.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: This spread was +3.5 for a brief second on Wednesday, and it seemed like the sharps pounced on that in a heartbeat.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Bears are dealing with the flu, so we’re going to be on the 49ers for a couple of units. I may increase the unit count if George Kittle plays.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: We’re still waiting on the George Kittle news. I’ll have an update around 7:45 p.m.

FINAL THOUGHTS: George Kittle is inactive, but I still like the 49ers for a couple of units. The sharps took San Francisco at -3, likely because the Bears are dealing with the flu. The best line is 49ers -3.5 -109. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Bears.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: 49ers -1.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: 49ers -3.

Computer Model: 49ers -1.

The Vegas. Edge: 49ers.

Slight action on the Bears.

Percentage of money on Chicago: 60% (133,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: 49ers.

Bears are 23-44 ATS in December road games the previous 67 instances.

49ers are 45-33 ATS as favorites in night games since 1989.

Opening Line: 49ers -2.5.

Opening Total: 50.5.

Weather: Clear, 50 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Rams.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if some of these dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Kevin Reilly: Welcome to the city of Atlanta, where the Atlanta Hawks will take on the St. Louis Rams. Guys, as you know the Colts named me their next starting quarterback because if some old grandpa named River Phillips was named the starting quarterback two weeks ago, then anyone had a chance. I thought it was my time to shine, but Mother went to the coach and told him that I’m not in any position to be a quarterback in the NFL because it’s too dangerous. So, they took my playbook away from me. Joke’s on them because I didn’t read the playbook anyway because I was waiting for Mother to read it to me before bedtime, ha! But the sad thing is that now that I’m not an NFL quarterback anymore, there won’t be any girls who come and talk to me. Now, River Phillips is going to get all the girls!

Emmitt: Thanks, Phillips. This reminded me of when the quarterback of my team when I play for the Dallas Blue Star his name was Troy Aiking. He got hit in the head too many time so he had to retardedment. He used to has every girl in the country of Dallas goes up to him and ask him for his phone number. I think this stupid because they could just look in the Yellow Pages and foundeded him but after he retardedmented, suddenly no girl want nothing to do with himselves.

Kevin Reilly: Emmitt, I just got a great idea. Mother won’t let me talk to girls because it’s so risky, but what if I put an ad out for myself in the Yellow Pages? Looking for a great guy who is handsome, according to his Mother, is the ultimate fan of my Philadelphia Eagles, owns the biggest Nick Foles bobblehead collection, loves macaroni and cheese, and hates Charles Davis more than anything because he’s the biggest loser in the world. Is there any girl in the world who will turn that down?

Jay Cutler: No, not at all.

Kevin Reilly: Really, New Daddy!? Maybe I’ll post this in the Yellow Pages right away!

Jay Cutler: What? I’m on the phone, and they just asked if I want mushrooms on my pizza.

Tollefson: Kevin, why in the world are you telling women what they’re getting with you? That’s incredibly beta. Instead, you should be warning women what will happen if they don’t cook and clean naked for you. Threaten their well being, or better yet, threaten their family. They’ll be cooking and cleaning naked for you in no time at all. You’ll be glad to avoid wasting time with those red pages, or green pages, or whatever you were referring to earlier.

Kevin Reilly: Tolly, I still don’t understand what the benefit of a naked woman is. As long as she can clean my room and make macaroni and cheese for me, what does it matter if she’s clothed or not? Let me ask our sideline reporter Clarissa Thompkinson. Clarissa, do you ever cook and clean naked, and if you do, how is it different than cooking and cleaning fully clothed?

Charissa Thompson: Thanks, Fully Clothed. Have you guys heard the news? The Atlanta Falcons have created a new dance for their amazing season. It’s called the Dirty Bird. This celebration will take the league by storm, as Jamaal Anderson and Chris Chandler continue to dominate. Back to you, Fully Clothed.

Kevin Reilly: Clarissa, do you really think my name is Fully Clothed? That makes no sense! Mother would never let me have macaroni and cheese ever again if I ever talked about clothing with women. And stop talking about fake people like James Anderson and Chris Chandelier. Minda Chimes, you’re the expert here, would you call Chris Chandelier a top-10 quarterback, or is he faker than Charles Davis?

Mina Kimes: Kevin, I think we need to appreciate your growth. You have finally acknowledged me as the expert here. As an Asian female NFL analyst, no one is more of an expert on anything than I am, but people don’t see it that way. It’s because I’m Asian and female. People are quick to dismiss all of my great calls. Let’s take a look at my receipts. I called Geno Smith a top-one quarterback, and that has proven to be the case. I called Kevin Reilly a top-five quarterback, but he retired. But even though you have finally acknowledged that I’m an expert, you made a big mistake by not calling me the best expert in the world. And as the best expert in the world as an Asian female NFL analyst, I can tell you that Chris Chandelier is, in fact, a real quarterback, and I would say that he’s a top-eight-and-a-half quarterback.

Kevin Reilly: The best expert in the world? What about me? Everyone knows that I called Nick Foles being the best quarterback of all time!

Sarah Spain: EX-CA-USE ME! DID YOU JUST ADMIT TO BEING A BETTER NFL EXPERT THAN OUR ASIAN FEMALE NFL ANALYST? DON’T YOU KNOW THAT YOU, AS A CIS MALE, CAN’T POSSIBLY KNOW MORE THAN ANY OTHER WOMAN BECAUSE YOU’RE SO PRIVILGED!? THE ONLY REASON YOU KNOW ANYTHING IS BECAUSE YOU’RE A MAN. US WOMEN ARE SO OPPRESSED. DID YOU KNOW THAT MEN ONLY BOUGHT ME THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS WORTH OF THINGS WHEN I SHOWED OFF MY CLEAVAGE ONLINE!? IF I WEREN’T SO OPPRESSED AS A FEMALE SPORTS ANALYST, I WOULD HAVE RECEIVED MILLIONS OF DOLLARS FOR SHOWING MY CLEAVAGE ONLINE!

Kevin Reilly: What is cleavage? Is that something you use to cut meat?

Charles Davis: Kevin, it sounds like you’re talking about kitchen utensils, Kevin. You already mentioned cleaver, as in a meat cleaver, Kevin. What do you think about spatulas, Kevin? Care to share about whisks, Kevin? Let’s transition to measuring cups, Kevin. How about cutting boards, Kevin? We can have a fire-side chat about colanders, Kevin. Declare your opinion on rolling pins, Kevin. Please don’t forget peelers, Kevin. And then there are ladles, Kevin, which we can’t confuse with ladies, Kevin, as in people you’ll never talk to, Kevin.

Kevin Reilly: SHUT UP, CHARLES DAVIS! SOON ENOUGH EVERYONE READING THE YELLOW PAGES WILL KNOW HOW MUCH I HATE YOU BECAUSE YOU’RE THE BIGGEST LOSER IN THE WORLD! We’ll be back right after this!

LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: Matthew Stafford didn’t have Davante Adams at his disposal in last Thursday’s epic battle against the Seahawks, but it didn’t matter. He still posted 37 points, as he and Puka Nacua absolutely destroyed one of the best defenses in the NFL.

There’s a chance Adams could return for this game, but I wouldn’t count on it. Still, the Rams should score rather easily against the Falcons. Atlanta’s defense is better than most people think – it’s ranked 17th in EPA – but the unit isn’t nearly good enough to limit Stafford and Nacua.

The Falcons are worse against the run than the pass. They rank 21st against the rush, so we’ll see Kyren Williams and Blake Corum rip off big gains, which is something that was rare in the Seattle matchup.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: Kirk Cousins was seen as a decrepit quarterback about a month ago, but he has revitalized his image, so much so that some teams will undoubtedly seek to sign him to be their starting quarterback for 2026. Cousins has played very well in recent weeks, but has done so against a couple of poor defenses in the Buccaneers and Cardinals. Those defenses are ranked 30th and 25th in EPA, respectively.

The Rams, conversely, are in the top 10. They have a devastating pass rush, though Cousins has a solid offensive line that should be able to protect him. And unlike the Buccaneers and Cardinals, the Rams can actually defend tight ends well, so we won’t be seeing Kyle Pitts slice through the defense easily.

Of course, containing Bijan Robinson will be the priority. The Rams aren’t dominant against the run, but they rank 12th in that regard, so we won’t see Robinson have a spectacular performance like he did versus Arizona’s 28th-ranked rush defense.

RECAP: What I wrote about the Rams two weeks ago applies to this game as well. What I stated then was that if the Rams were the best team in the NFL, they’d rebound off their sluggish performance against the Panthers with a stellar showing against the Lions, and that’s exactly what we saw.

The Rams had the Seattle game in hand when they were up by 16 points in the second half. The team blew the lead and eventually lost in overtime, but I believe this will only motivate the Rams to have an even greater performance this week.

This may seem like a high number, but I like the Rams. They’re the far better team, and they’ll be motivated. Meanwhile, the Falcons will be taking a big step up in class after battling the Buccaneers and Cardinals. And if you’re not convinced, recall what the Seahawks did to the Falcons a few weeks ago. Seattle didn’t even play its best as seven-point road favorites, yet it still won, 37-9.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I mentioned that Andy Iskoe and I disagreed on the Jaguars-Colts game. This was one game in which we agreed:

SATURDAY NOTES: The Rams could be down three offensive linemen with Rob Havenstein already out, and Alaric Jackson and Kevin Dotson yet to practice.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: It dawned on me that this game will be completely meaningless for the Rams if both the Seahawks and 49ers win this week. If both win, I will not be betting the Rams. And given that there’s a chance that the Rams will have nothing to play for, I wonder if they’ll be game planning hard for this contest. So, I may not bet this game regardless.

PICK CHANGE: I’m switching to the Falcons. This game means absolutely nothing to the Rams. It doesn’t even affect the seeding between five and six. That will be contingent upon next week’s game. Nothing in this game matters at all for the Rams. Play around with ESPN’s playoff machine if you don’t believe me! Sean McVay has a history of sitting players in meaningless games, so we may see the starters for a quarter or a half tonight. I’m going to lock this in now before any announcements are made. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

PLAYER PROPS & SAME-GAME PARLAY: Tying in the Rams’ lack of motivation, we’re going to fade all of the key starters. I’m going to bet Matthew Stafford under 273.5 passing -115 at BetMGM.

We’re going to parlay the following at BetMGM: Stafford under 273.5 passing yards, Stafford under 34.5 pass attempts, Stafford under 2.5 passing touchdowns, Kyren Williams under 63.5 rushing yards, and Puka Nacua under 108.5 receiving yards. BetMGM has a 33-percent profit boost, so this $100 parlay pays $931.

FINAL THOUGHTS: So, apparently the ESPN playoff machine wasn’t updated last night for the 49ers win and now I’m showing that this game matters for the No. 5 seed. There’s still no guarantee the Rams starters go the whole way, but I was sorry about the two-unit pick and the parlay. However, the Rams will be missing three offensive linemen, including their left tackle and top guard, so we could end up being right for the wrong reason. The sharp action is on the Falcons, and all the +7.5 lines are gone, save for +7.5 -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Rams.

The Rams are the better team coming off a loss.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Rams -9.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -8.5.

Computer Model: Rams -6.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Falcons.

No surprise here.

Percentage of money on Los Angeles: 63% (186,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Rams -8.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Dome.