NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13, 2025 – Early Games

C.J. Stroud
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Nov. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 13 NFL Picks – Late Games




Individual Game Pages

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 13 Early Games


Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) at Detroit Lions (7-4)
Line: Lions by 3. Total: 49.

Thursday, Nov. 27, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -3.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Packers.

  • History: Lions have won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Packers are 69-45 ATS in divisional games since 2006.
  • Matt LaFleur is 62-47 ATS in the regular season.
  • Dan Campbell is 3-0 ATS in same-season revenge games.
  • Lions are 7-12 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2002.
  • Opening Line: Lions -3.
  • Opening Total: 49.
  • Weather: Dome.




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1)
    Line: Chiefs by 3.5. Total: 51.5.

    Thursday, Nov. 27, 4:30 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Patrick Mahomes is 106-30 SU, 71-63 ATS (57-49 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
  • Cowboys are 25-17 ATS after playing the Eagles since 2000.
  • Dak Prescott is 41-33 ATS at home.
  • Opening Line: Chiefs -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 51.
  • Weather: Dome.




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Cincinnati Bengals (3-8) at Baltimore Ravens (6-5)
    Line: Ravens by 7. Total: 51.5.

    Thursday, Nov. 27, 8:20 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Ravens -7.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • History: Ravens have won the last 4 meetings.
  • Joe Burrow is 44-23 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (5-6 ATS otherwise). ???
  • Opening Line: .
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Chicago Bears (8-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (8-3)
    Line: Eagles by 7. Total: 44.5.

    Friday, Nov. 28, 3:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -7.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Eagles -7.
  • Opening Total: 44.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Houston Texans (6-5) at Indianapolis Colts (8-3)
    Line: Colts by 3.5. Total: 44.5.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Colts.

  • History: Colts have won 32 of the 45 meetings, excluding a 2022 tie.
  • Opening Line: Colts -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 46.5.
  • Weather: Dome.




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Arizona Cardinals (3-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5)
    Line: Buccaneers by 2.5. Total: 45.5.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Buccaneers -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

  • Buccaneers are 46-78 ATS at home in the previous 124 instances.
  • Opening Line: Bucaneers -5.5.
  • Opening Total: 48.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Jacksonville Jaguars (7-4) at Tennessee Titans (1-10)
    Line: Jaguars by 6.5. Total: 42.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jaguars -7.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.

  • History: Jaguars have won 5 of last 6 meetings.
  • Jaguars are 11-18 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more since 2003. ???
  • Opening Line: Jaguars -6.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Los Angeles Rams (9-2) at Carolina Panthers (6-5)
    Line: Rams by 9.5. Total: 45.5.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -9.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: .

  • Opening Line: Rams -9.5.
  • Opening Total: 45.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    New Orleans Saints (2-9) at Miami Dolphins (4-7)
    Line: Dolphins by 5.5. Total: 42.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Dolphins -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Saints.

  • Dolphins are 35-50 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.
  • Opening Line: Dolphins -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    Atlanta Falcons (4-7) at New York Jets (2-9)
    Line: Falcons by 2.5. Total: 39.5.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Falcons -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jets.

  • Raheem Morris is 3-8 ATS in his second-consecutive road game.
  • Opening Line: Falcons -2.5.
  • Opening Total: 39.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:



    San Francisco 49ers (7-4) at Cleveland Browns (2-9)
    Line: 49ers by 6.5. Total: 40.5.

    Sunday, Nov. 30, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: 49ers -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: 49ers.

  • Kevin Stefanski is 15-25 ATS after a win.
  • Opening Line: 49ers -6.5.
  • Opening Total: 39.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 13 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


    NFL Picks Week 13 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages




    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results