WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2026 Team Report
NFC South · Bye: Week 10
Next game
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · at Carolina Panthers · opponent power rank #16 Group C (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line +3
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
BENGALS 33, Buccaneers 27 (CIN -3.5). The Buccaneers gave this game away with four lost fumbles. They were down big, but made the game interesting. They couldn't get off the field on the final Cincinnati drive, however. 351-282 CIN, 5.6-5.4 CIN
Browns 23, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB -8.5). Baker Mayfield made many terrible throws in this game. One of his few good ones gave the Buccaneers a 16-6 lead, but Tampa Bay couldn't stop the Browns at all late in the game. A 2-and-a-half thunderstorm delayed the inevitable. 313-267 TB, 5.0-4.9 TB
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
Packers 17, BUCCANEERS 14 (TB +3.5). The Packers squandered numerous opportunities in the red zone with turnovers, and they were given those scoring chances because Jalon Daniels gave them possessions on two interceptions. 283-275 GB, 5.1-4.5 GB
Buccaneers 24, COWBOYS 16 (DAL -8). The Cowboys put forth no effort in this game. They were lethargic and the Buccaneers played with much more emotion. A chunk of Dallas' yards came in garbage time when it was 24-10. 419-366 TB, 6.7-6.4 DAL
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
Bye week: Week 10.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Away | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| As favorite | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| As underdog | 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
Average cover margin: -1.5 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #32 | #15 | #30 |
| Defense | #11 | #2 | #8 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #18 | Group C |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #19 | Group C |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #23 | Group D |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #30 | Group F |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #31 | Group F |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #29 | Group F |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #25 | Group D |
Injury history
QBs
- Baker Mayfield out 4-6
WR/TE
- Jalen McMillan out 4-IR
Pass Rush
- Rueben Bain out 2-4
- Rueben Bain returns 5
LBs
- Josiah Trotter out 3
- Josiah Trotter returns 4
- Josiah Trotter FFL 6 (in)
CBs
- Jacob Parrish out 2
- Jacob Parrish returns 3
- Benjamin Morrison out 4-6
- Jacob Parrish DDL 4 (in)
Safeties
- Antoine Winfield out 5-6
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
