WaltNFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears 2026 Team Report
NFC North · Bye: Week 10
Next game
Week 7 · Thu, Oct 22 · vs. New England Patriots · opponent power rank #10 Group B (Week 7 rankings) · Circa line -3
Game log & recaps
Lines are the Circa line from this team's side. Opponent rank = where I had them in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Bears 59, PANTHERS 37 (CAR +3). The Bears made a couple of mistakes to allow the Panthers to hang around. It was 21-all, but Chicago's offense was far too much for a Carolina defense that couldn't stop anything the opposition was doing. 552-478 CHI, 7.9-7.7 CHI
Vikings 9, BEARS 3 (CHI -4.5). This was a windy and wet game where both offenses struggled. Caleb Williams got hurt in the fourth quarter. Tyson Bagent got the Bears close to winning, but couldn't complete the drive. 297-246 CHI, 4.8-4.2 MIN
BEARS 27, Eagles 7 (CHI +4.5). Case Keenum threw all over the Eagles secondary. Saquon Barkley ran well in the first half, but Barkley was given just four carries in the second half. 375-248 CHI, 5.4-5.3 CHI
BEARS 23, Jets 12 (CHI -3). The Bears stalled at the goal line early with Tyson Bagent, but eventually got their act together and were able to win time of possession by 25 minutes. 492-157 CHI, 5.5-4.9 CHI
PACKERS 31, Bears 7 (GB +1.5). Jordan Love completed a million Hail Marys in this game despite getting nothing from his running game, while Tyson Bagent was so bad that he was benched for Case Keenum. 428-246 GB, 7.3-3.6 GB
Bears 31, FALCONS 23 (ATL PK). The Bears got out to a 31-7 lead in this game with great Caleb Williams passing and some turnovers forced on Atlanta. The Falcons got garbage time and made this game interesting very late, but Chicago's defense shut the door on Michael Penix Jr. 368-257 CHI, 5.1-5.0 ATL
Bye week: Week 10.
Splits
| Situation | Games | Straight up | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Away | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| As favorite | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| As underdog | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Pick'em | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
Average cover margin: +3.9 points per game against the Circa line.
EPA rankings
Weighted EPA per play from rbsdm.com, Weeks 2-6 (Week 1 excluded). Rank among 32 teams; #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
My adjustment: Caleb 1-2
| Dropback | Rush | Success rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | #19 | #10 | #9 |
| Defense | #4 | #31 | #3 |
Power rankings history
| Rankings | Published | Rank | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason rankings | Sept. 2, 2026 | #12 | Group B |
| Week 2 rankings | Sept. 14, 2026 | #8 | Group B |
| Week 3 rankings | Sept. 22, 2026 | #18 | Group C |
| Week 4 rankings | Sept. 29, 2026 | #13 | Group C |
| Week 5 rankings | Oct. 6, 2026 | #8 | Group B |
| Week 6 rankings | Oct. 13, 2026 | #9 | Group B |
| Week 7 rankings | Oct. 19, 2026 | #6 | Group B |
Injury history
QBs
- Caleb Williams out 3-4
- Tyson Bagent DDF3 (out)
- Tyson Bagent returns 4
- Caleb Williams DDL 5 (out)
- Caleb Williams FFF 6
RBs
- Kyle Monangai out 5-6
WR/TE
- Rome Odunze LLL 1 (in)
OL
- Ozzy Trapilo LLL 1 (out)
- Ozzy Trapilo out 2
- Ozzy Trapilo returns 3
- Braxton Jones out 4-IR
- Ozzy Trapillo out 5 (surprise)
Pass Rush
- Dayo Odeyingbo out 6
LBs
- T.J. Edwards out 6
CBs
- Kyler Gordon out 1-4
- Kyler Gordon FFF 5 (out)
- Kyler Gordon FFF 6
- Tyrique Stevenson LLL 6
Safeties
- Coby Bryant out 1-IR
- Xavier Woods FLL 1 (out)
- Xavier Woods returns 2
- Cam Lewis out 4
- Cam Lewis returns 5
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
Charlie Campbell
