November 11, 2025
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2025 NFL Picks – Week 11: Chiefs at Broncos

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2025 NFL Picks – Week 11: Other Games

Jets at Patriots  |  Redskins at Dolphins  |  Panthers at Falcons  |  Buccaneers at Bills  |  Texans at Titans  |  Bears at Vikings  |  Packers at Giants  |  Bengals at Steelers  |  Chargers at Jaguars  |  Seahawks at Rams  |  49ers at Cardinals  |  Ravens at Browns  |  Chiefs at Broncos  |  Lions at Eagles  |  Cowboys at Raiders  | 

NFL Picks Week 11 – Early Games

Jets at Patriots  |  Redskins at Dolphins  |  Panthers at Falcons  |  Buccaneers at Bills  |  Texans at Titans  |  Bears at Vikings  |  Packers at Giants  |  Bengals at Steelers  |  Chargers at Jaguars  | 

NFL Picks Week 11 – Late Games

Seahawks at Rams  |  49ers at Cardinals  |  Ravens at Browns  |  Chiefs at Broncos  |  Lions at Eagles  |  Cowboys at Raiders  | 


Kansas City Chiefs (5-4) at Denver Broncos (8-2)
Line: Chiefs by 3.5. Total: 44.5.
Sunday, Nov. 16, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: .

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: .

  • History: Chiefs have won 17 of the last 18 meetings, excluding when the Chiefs rested their starters.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 105-29 SU, 71-61 ATS (57-47 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
  • Patrick Mahomes is 6-1 ATS in the initial divisional matchup of the year as long as he’s not favored by -7 or more.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 15-10 ATS after a loss.
  • Andy Reid is 19-12 ATS off a bye.
  • Broncos are 34-19 ATS as home underdogs since 1991.
  • Sean Payton is 10-3 SU vs. Andy Reid when coaching a winning team.
  • Opening Line: Chiefs -2.5.
  • Opening Total: 45.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 11 NFL Pick:


    2025 NFL Picks – Week 11: Other Games

    Jets at Patriots  |  Redskins at Dolphins  |  Panthers at Falcons  |  Buccaneers at Bills  |  Texans at Titans  |  Bears at Vikings  |  Packers at Giants  |  Bengals at Steelers  |  Chargers at Jaguars  |  Seahawks at Rams  |  49ers at Cardinals  |  Ravens at Browns  |  Chiefs at Broncos  |  Lions at Eagles  |  Cowboys at Raiders  | 

    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results

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