NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5, 2025 – Early Games

Jalen Hurts
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 5 NFL Picks – Late Games




Individual Game Pages

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 5 Early Games


San Francisco 49ers (3-1) at Los Angeles Rams (3-1)
Line: Rams by 3.5. Total: 47.

Thursday, Oct. 2, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -3.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: 49ers. History: 49ers have won 27 of the last 38 meetings, excluding the 2012 tie and a 2023 game where both teams sat starters.

  • Opening Line: Rams -3.
  • Opening Total: 47.
  • Weather: Dome.




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Minnesota Vikings (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (1-3)
    Line: Vikings by 3.5. Total: 37.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 9:30 AM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Vikings -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Vikings.

  • Kevin O’Connell is 4-0 ATS after losing as a favorite.
  • Opening Line: Vikings -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 37.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Miami Dolphins (0-3*) at Carolina Panthers (1-3)
    Line: Dolphins by 1.5. Total: 45.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Panthers -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: .

  • Opening Line: Panthers -1.5.
  • Opening Total: 44.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Dallas Cowboys (1-2-1) at New York Jets (0-3*)
    Line: Cowboys by 2.5. Total: 47.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Pick.
  • Opening Total: 45.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at Indianapolis Colts (3-1)
    Line: Colts by 6.5. Total: 48.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Raiders.

  • Pete Carroll is 21-12 ATS after losing as a favorite.
  • Pete Carroll is 17-11 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games
  • Opening Line: Colts -6.
  • Opening Total: 47.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Denver Broncos (1-2*) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-0)
    Line: Eagles by 5. Total: 43.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Broncos.

  • Eagles are 8-19 ATS before playing the Giants since December 2010.
  • Opening Line: Eagles -4.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    New York Giants (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (0-4)
    Line: Giants by 1.5. Total: 41.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Giants -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Pick.
  • Opening Total: 41.5.
  • Weather: Dome.




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:



    Houston Texans (1-3) at Baltimore Ravens (1-3)
    Line: Ravens by 7.5. Total: 44.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 5, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Ravens -9.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • John Harbaugh is 15-7 ATS following a loss of 10+.
  • Lamar Jackson is 11-3 ATS as a favorite of 10+. ???
  • Lamar Jackson is 16-23 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5+, not counting Week 1. ???
  • Opening Line: Ravens -9.5.
  • Opening Total: 44.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 5 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


    NFL Picks Week 5 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages




    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results