NBA DraftKings Sims DFS Picks

Cade Cunningham

It’s fun to play DraftKings and FanDuel and hope to win six or even seven figures, but sims have broken the experience. Some DFS sites, a few of which are run by very sketchy characters, charge upwards of $400 or $500 per month for their sims. This creates a heavy imbalance between the sharks and the casual players. 

I’ve created a program that spits out analysis of what these sims provide. I can’t give you full lineups because DraftKings will ban me, but I can give you the thought process behind the sims lineup generation and a partial lineup to go with it. 

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This showdown slate is much different from a huge-field Milly Maker because:

  • 19,024 entries is still large
  • but duplication matters even more in showdown
  • especially with a stars-and-scrubs build
  • and especially when Cade projects 70% owned

For this type of contest, the sims prioritize:

  • Captain leverage
  • 5v1 and 4v2 game scripts
  • avoiding duplicated constructions
  • unique salary combinations
  • raw ceiling at CPT

The field is very likely to:

  • CPT Cade
  • CPT Mitchell
  • jam Allen value
  • overplay Schroder
  • leave little salary unused

That creates leverage opportunities.

Simmed Slate Takeaways

Best Raw Plays

Player Notes
Cade Cunningham Best overall raw ceiling
Donovan Mitchell Best tournament CPT pivot
Evan Mobley Strong balanced ceiling
Jarrett Allen Best point-per-dollar
Jalen Duren Strong leverage ceiling
Tobias Harris Underappreciated stability

Best Leverage Plays

Player Own% Why
Duncan Robinson 12% Correlated shooting upside
Daniss Jenkins 18% Strong value role
Dean Wade 15% Salary unlock
Sam Merrill 13% Volatile showdown scorer
Ausar Thompson 23% Triple-double path
Tobias Harris 44% Still underplayed relative to ceiling
Max Strus 21% Strong game-flow leverage

Most Overowned

Player Issue
Cade Cunningham CPT Massive duplication
Jarrett Allen Chalk value
Dennis Schroder Ownership too high
Paul Reed Fragile value ownership
Donovan Mitchell UTIL Field overweight without CPTing enough

Best Captain Plays

Tier 1 CPT

  • Donovan Mitchell
  • Cade Cunningham
  • Evan Mobley

Tier 2 CPT

  • Jalen Duren
  • Tobias Harris
  • Jarrett Allen

Contrarian CPT

  • Ausar Thompson
  • Duncan Robinson
  • Max Strus

The sims strongly preferred:

  • Mitchell CPT over UTIL
  • Mobley CPT over Allen CPT
  • avoiding ultra-common Cade CPT builds

Top Simulated Tournament Lineups

Lineup 1 — Best Overall Tournament Build

Slot Player Salary
CPT Donovan Mitchell 16200
UTIL Cade Cunningham 12400
UTIL Jarrett Allen 7000
Blank    
     
UTIL Sam Merrill 2400

Why it sims well

  • Mitchell CPT less duplicated than Cade CPT
  • balanced CLE shooting correlation
  • avoids ultra-common midrange constructions 

Lineup 2 — Best Cade Build

Slot Player Salary
CPT Cade Cunningham 18600
UTIL Evan Mobley 9600
UTIL Tobias Harris 9000
Blank    
     
UTIL Isaiah Stewart 1600

Why it sims well

  • more unique Cade construction
  • avoids Allen chalk
  • double cheap values lower duplication
  • strong DET-centric script

Lineup 3 — Mobley Leverage Build

Slot Player Salary
CPT Evan Mobley 14400
UTIL Cade Cunningham 12400
UTIL Donovan Mitchell 10800
Blank    
     
UTIL Ronald Holland 1000

Why it sims well

  • Mobley CPT massively underutilized
  • keeps both elite ceilings
  • Holland creates uniqueness
  • strong if Mobley dominates defensively/rebounding 

Best Overall Strategy

Small-field approach

  • more Cade CPT
  • more Allen
  • less salary left over

Large-field approach (this contest)

The sims strongly prefer:

  • Mitchell CPT
  • Mobley CPT
  • Duren CPT
  • leaving $2K-$8K salary unused
  • avoiding Cade CPT chalk
  • underweight Schroder/Reed

 

Check out our 2026 NBA Mock Draft.

Once again, if you’d like to contribute, please consider signing up for the ad-free version of the site. The Ad-Free Version of WalterFootball.com is $7.99 per month, but you’ll get a super-fast site with no ads. My developer will be adding new features to paid subscribers as well, so look for that in the near future. If you don’t want to pay, please spread the word about the site through word of mouth. That would also be a big help!