NBA DraftKings Sims DFS Picks

Victor Wembanyama

It’s fun to play DraftKings and FanDuel and hope to win six or even seven figures, but sims have broken the experience. Some DFS sites, a few of which are run by very sketchy characters, charge upwards of $400 or $500 per month for their sims. This creates a heavy imbalance between the sharks and the casual players. 

I’ve created a program that spits out analysis of what these sims provide. I can’t give you full lineups because DraftKings will ban me, but I can give you the thought process behind the sims lineup generation and a partial lineup to go with it. 

This is free, but if you’d like to contribute, please consider signing up for the ad-free version of the site. The Ad-Free Version of WalterFootball.com is $7.99 per month, but you’ll get a super-fast site with no ads. My developer will be adding new features to paid subscribers as well, so look for that in the near future. If you don’t want to pay, please spread the word about the site through word of mouth. That would also be a big help! 

 

Lineup 1 — SGA fade / Wemby-Chet frontcourt script

Slot Player Salary Proj Own
CPT Victor Wembanyama $19,500 90.84 30.9%
UTIL Chet Holmgren $7,600 35.82 13.0%
UTIL Stephon Castle $8,800 35.58 11.7%

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UTIL Jaylin Williams $3,000 20.90 35.0%

Salary: $49,700
Projection: 235.11

Lineup 2 — SGA CPT / different value path

Slot Player Salary Proj Own
CPT Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $18,600 81.18 92.0%
UTIL Victor Wembanyama $13,000 60.56 30.9%
UTIL Chet Holmgren $7,600 35.82 13.0%

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UTIL Luke Kornet $1,800 9.49 7.5%

Salary: $50,000
Projection: 236.76

Lineup 3 — Chet CPT / balanced anti-chalk build

Slot Player Salary Proj Own
CPT Chet Holmgren $11,400 53.73 13.0%
UTIL Victor Wembanyama $13,000 60.56 30.9%
UTIL Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $12,400 54.12 92.0%

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UTIL Jaylin Williams $3,000 20.90 35.0%

Salary: $49,800
Projection: 237.48

Lineup 4 — Caruso CPT / OKC defensive chaos

Slot Player Salary Proj Own
CPT Alex Caruso $9,600 37.31 19.2%
UTIL Victor Wembanyama $13,000 60.56 30.9%
UTIL Chet Holmgren $7,600 35.82 13.0%

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UTIL Jared McCain $5,200 25.01 8.0%

Salary: $50,000
Projection: 220.53

Lineup 5 — Hartenstein CPT / OKC frontcourt blowout script

Slot Player Salary Proj Own
CPT Isaiah Hartenstein $9,000 43.22 21.3%
UTIL Victor Wembanyama $13,000 60.56 30.9%
UTIL Chet Holmgren $7,600 35.82 13.0%

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UTIL Alex Caruso $6,400 24.87 19.2%

Salary: $50,000
Projection: 225.06

Analysis

Lineup 1 is the cleanest leverage lineup because it fades SGA’s massive ownership while still using Wemby as the slate-breaker. It bets on OKC frontcourt/peripheral scoring rather than SGA scoring doing everything.

Lineup 2 keeps SGA CPT, but the Kornet punt and double-OKC-big structure make it less standard. This is the closest to a projection lineup, but still different enough from a clean optimizer build.

Lineup 3 may be my favorite. Chet CPT gives you block/rebound upside, keeps both Wemby and SGA, and uses lower-owned McCain/Cason instead of the more obvious Fox/Castle route.

Lineup 4 is the defensive-chaos lineup. Caruso CPT needs steals/transition/bonus peripherals, while Champagnie/McCain provide shooting variance. This is the most uncomfortable lineup, which is useful in a 5,231-entry contest.

Lineup 5 is the OKC frontcourt blowout script. Hartenstein CPT assumes rebounds and second-chance points beat scoring assumptions, with Chet/Caruso also benefiting from Spurs misses and turnovers.

 

 

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Once again, if you’d like to contribute, please consider signing up for the ad-free version of the site. The Ad-Free Version of WalterFootball.com is $7.99 per month, but you’ll get a super-fast site with no ads. My developer will be adding new features to paid subscribers as well, so look for that in the near future. If you don’t want to pay, please spread the word about the site through word of mouth. That would also be a big help!