2024 NFL Picks – Week 6: Colts at Titans

The Matchup. Edge: Colts.

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INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: We have no idea who’s starting at quarterback for either team. For the Colts, Anthony Richardson was limited in practice all last week, but Joe Flacco got the nod anyway. Flacco played a brilliant game in the rain, but still lost by three. Flacco was much more accurate than Richardson ever could have been, which was essential against Jacksonville’s poor cornerbacks.

Richardson seems like the better quarterback to have in this matchup. The Titans have a defense ranked in the top 10, but they have a weakness, which is their linebacking corps. The Colts would do well to establish Richardson as a runner so he can dance around Tennessee’s pedestrian linebacking corps. This would really help Indianapolis, especially considering that Jonathan Taylor is unlikely to play.

Having said that, Flacco would have some success against Tennessee’s secondary. The Titans were supposed to have two lockdown cornerbacks entering the year. That hasn’t been the case because L’Jarius Sneed has struggled, while Chidobe Awuzie landed on injured reserve. Unless Sneed improves over the bye, Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce should do well here, as should Josh Downs in the slot.

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: It’s unclear which quarterback will start for the Titans either. Interception machine Will Levis drew the first four starts, but suffered an injury against the Dolphins. If Levis can’t go, it’ll be Mason Rudolph, who didn’t look great against Miami.

Despite what we saw in Week 4, it would be most ideal if Rudolph started this game. Not only is he the healthier quarterback, he also won’t make bone-headed decisions to cost his team. There will also be an opportunity for Rudolph to have a solid performance against the Colts, who just allowed Trevor Lawrence to have his best game of the season. Indianapolis is ravaged by injury and can’t stop the pass at all.

The Colts aren’t great against the run either. They’ve been trampled in some games this year. This includes Tank Bigsby’s performance last week in which Indianapolis allowed Bigsby to look like Walter Payton. Tony Pollard figures to have a solid showing this week.

RECAP: This game is very difficult to handicap at the moment because we don’t know who will start at quarterback for either team. We also don’t know how healthy Richardson and Levis will be if either makes the start.

I’m going to pencil in the Titans for now, but I’ll have some important updates later in the week. Check back later, or watch us on YouTube for updates.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Will Levis practiced fully, prompting this line to move from Titans +1 to -2.5. Why the excitement for Levis, when all he does is sabotage games? I have no idea. I won’t be betting on either side.

PLAYER PROPS: Calvin Ridley’s 42.5 receiving yards prop is too low. He had 50-plus receiving yards in the first two games before being shut down by Jaire Alexander. In the next game, the Titans had a huge lead and barely threw the ball. The Colts allow tons of production to outside receivers, and Ridley will be motivated to rebound off two dismal performances. The best number is over 42.5 receiving yards -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

SATURDAY NOTES: I’m confused by the Colts injury report. I read that Michael Pittman Jr. would be out for several weeks, but he practiced fully on Friday. Josh Downs did as well, and both are questionable. Anthony Richardson had a full practice on Thursday, but was downgraded to limited on Friday. Meanwhile, Ryan Kelly will return, while Kenny Moore could be back, too. There’s a lot to unpack there, and yet we can’t even unpack everything because of the uncertainty with the receivers. With all of these question marks, I don’t think I can bet this game, though I am switching to Indianapolis now that the line is +3.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Anthony Richardson is out. This doesn’t make too much of a difference to me. I’m more torn on this game than any other this week, though the sharps bet the Titans. The best line is +2.5 -102 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Colts -1.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -1.

Computer Model: Titans -1.

The Vegas. Edge: Colts.

No one wants any part of the Titans.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 77% (95,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

History: Titans have won 6 of the last 9 meetings.

Opening Line: Colts -1.

Opening Total: 42.

Weather: Sunny, 82 degrees. Mild wind, 14 mph.