2024 NFL Picks – Week 18: Texans at Titans

The Matchup. Edge: None.

Video of the Week: Here’s a video of a smoking-hot girl playing Resident Evil. I kid you not:

She tends to get frazzled while under pressure, but I enjoyed this video and the others she has on her channel.

RESTED STARTERS: The Texans have clinched playoff berth and are locked into the No. 4 seed. It’s unlikely that we’ll see the starters. If they play, it might only be for a couple of drives or just the first quarter, so I will not be doing a matchup analysis for this game.

RECAP: DeMeco Ryans announced that he would be using his starters in this game. I don’t know if I believe him. No matter what the Texans do, they’re stuck with the No. 4 seed. Houston is better off resting and regrouping from the blowout loss on Christmas.

What we could see is the Texans playing their starters for a few drives, or at least until they score a touchdown offensively and get a stop on defense. Playing the starters for the entire game is asinine, but using them for a few drives makes sense.

Despite the fact that we don’t know if Ryans will play his starters the entire game, this spread plummeted down from -3.5 to pick ’em. As a result, we’re getting tremendous line value. It’s odd to say that about the Titans, but it’s true. There’s no way Davis Mills, one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL, should be a pick’ em on the road, even against Tennessee. Also, I’m aware of a professional betting syndicate that has taken out a huge bet on the Titans.

Unless we get news that the Texans will be playing their starters the entire way, I’ll be on the Titans for a medium-sized wager.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Titans announced that they plan on playing both quarterbacks in this game. I’ve decided that I no longer want to bet Tennessee.

SATURDAY NOTES: I believe we’ll see the Texans for a little bit, but we could see them for a lot, given how bad they’ve been playing. If you like the Texans, know this, and also look at how bad their injury report is. I won’t be betting this game.

PLAYER PROPS: Nothing yet. It’s unclear how long the Texans will play their starters. I think I’d like Tony Pollard over rushing yards, but we don’t even know if he’s playing yet.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The Texans are sitting Will Anderson, for what it’s worth. We still don’t know how long their starters will play. The sharps don’t believe it’ll be for very long because they’re on Tennessee. The best line is -2 -110 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Titans -1.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: N/A.

Computer Model: N/A.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Tons of action on the Texans.

Percentage of money on Houston: 78% (65,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

History: Titans have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Texans are 57-44 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (9-11 ATS as favorites).

Opening Line: Titans -4.5.

Opening Total: 36.5.

Weather: Rain, 35 degrees. Mild wind, 10 mph.