2024 NFL Picks – Week 18: Seahawks at Rams

The Matchup. Edge: Seahawks.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is called Christian’s Bad Touch Uncle.

BENCHED STARTERS: The Rams have clinched the NFC West, so their starters won’t play. Sean McVay said as much on Tuesday.

There is incentive for the Seahawks, however. Geno Smith has $6 million in contact escalators on the line. Thus, he and his teammates will have something at stake.

RECAP: We know that the Rams won’t play their starters. This is not something they usually do, and McVay confirmed this during a Tuesday interview.

With that in mind, the Seahawks have to be the play. As mentioned earlier, there is some incentive for Seattle to play hard even though the team was just eliminated. Despite this, the spread is rather low. If the Rams sit their starters, this line should be upwards toward a touchdown.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Ugh. I thought about locking in Seahawks -3, and it rose to -5.5. I then thought about locking in -5.5, and it rose to -6.5. I may finally lock this in soon!

SATURDAY NOTES: Ugh again. This line is now -7 in some places. I still love Seattle. The Rams have made a number of their players “NIR (non-injury related – coach’s decision” on the injury report, making it official that they will be out.

PLAYER PROPS: If you remove last week’s rainy game against the Bears, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accumulated 69 receiving yards or more in every single game since Week 8. Yet, the receiving yards prop is lower than that for some reason. Smith-Njigba will be battling backups as his quarterback chases incentives. The best number is over 63.5 receiving yards -115 at BetMGM.

LOCKED IN: I probably would have locked in a much better line earlier in the week if I hadn’t been dealing with the flu. I’m going to lock in the Seahawks -7 -110 before that goes away. You can find that line at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE: I thought we may have gotten the worst number at -7, but this line is now -7.5 at some sportsbooks.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps have pounded the Seahawks up to -7.5. You can still get a viable -7 at -113 vig on Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Seahawks.

The Rams are resting their starters.

The Spread. Edge: Seahawks.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Seahawks -13.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: N/A.

Computer Model: N/A.

The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.

Equal action.

Percentage of money on Los Angeles: 56% (96,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

History: Rams have won 15 of the last 22 meetings.

Opening Line: Rams -2.5.

Opening Total: 42.

Weather: Dome.