NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2025 – Late Games

NFL Picks (Week 1, 2025): 9-7 (-$725)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2025): 7-9 (-$925)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2025): 6-10 (-$1,285)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2025): 6-10 (+$410)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2025): 8-6 (-$25)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2025): 8-7 (-$785)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2025): 9-6 (+$1,160)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2025): 9-4 (+$115)
2025 NFL Picks: 71-61-1 (-$1,170)

2024 NFL Picks: 144-136-12 (-$1,380)
NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

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Vegas betting action updated Nov. 2, 11:30 a.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 9 NFL Picks – Early Games

The Matchup. Edge: None.

The Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts are complete. They may return in the future, but I had to stop them for now. Besides, I wrote a similar-type book is called How the 2020 MVP Was Stolen:

Oh, and my other book is still available as well:

In this book, I talk about the top NFL Draft busts, and what would’ve happened had each team gone a different route. Also, I discuss why Roger Goodell has banned us from the NFL Combine.

LAS VEGAS OFFENSE: The Raiders’ ability to have a functional offense – unlike what we saw in Kansas City prior to the bye – will depend on who’s available to play following the bye. Kolton Miller is still out, but Brock Bowers could return. Jakobi Meyers may also be traded, but if he’s not, he’ll be able to contribute as well.

The Raiders have maintained one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL since Miller went down. In fact, Andy Iskoe, who has been professionally handicapping the NFL since 1990, told us on our Wednesday show that the Raiders have the worst offensive line he’s ever seen, which is saying a lot. The Jaguars don’t have a great defense, but they can certainly generate pressure on the quarterback.

Miller’s presence will eventually help Ashton Jeanty as well, but that won’t occur until Week 10 at the earliest. The rookie running back has drawn criticism for not meeting expectations as a top-six draft pick, but how could he when he’s constantly getting hit in the backfield? Jeanty is dead last in yards before contact. The good news for him is that the Jaguars are just in the middle of the pack at stopping the run, so perhaps he’ll be able to generate some decent runs.

JACKSONVILLE OFFENSE: If the offensive injuries weren’t enough, Maxx Crosby left the Kansas City game early prior to the bye. The Raiders were already poor defensively, so they operated as the league’s worst defensive unit after Crosby left the game.

Crosby has had extra time to heal, so he should be able to return to action. If so, he’ll have success rattling Trevor Lawrence, who has been a colossal disappointment this year. The Jaguars don’t block well, so Lawrence could be in a position to make more mistakes in this contest.

Like the Jaguars, the Raiders are ranked in the middle of the pack as far as stopping the run is concerned. Travis Etienne has cooled off following a hot start to the season, but he could be back to his September self in this matchup.

RECAP: My take on this game falls on how many players are able to return for the Raiders. Miller can’t return yet, but if Bowers and Meyers are available, the Raiders will be able to have a semi-functional offense against the league’s 20th-ranked defense, despite the severe offensive line issues. Crosby returning will obviously help the defense. However, if Meyers is traded, and Bowers still isn’t 100 percent, the Raiders probably won’t be able to move the ball at all, even against Jacksonville. And if Crosby is out, the Raiders won’t be able to stop Jacksonville at all.

I’m rooting for the Raiders to have Crosby, Bowers, and Meyers available because I would love to bet against the Jaguars again. I don’t understand what they’re doing as three-point favorites in this game if the Raiders are healthier. They’re 4-3, but they’ve gotten lucky in every win since Week 3. Nico Collins fumbled against them late in the game. The Chiefs defensive backs dropped three interceptions in the Monday night game. And Brock Purdy was playing on one leg in his failed return.

Jacksonville’s 4-1 start was a house of cards, and it was no surprise to see the Rams absolutely dismantle them in London. The Raiders are obviously nowhere near as good as the Rams, but they should be able to hang around as a home underdog and potentially win outright.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers practiced on Wednesday, but Maxx Crosby did not. We’ll have to see how the final injury report looks before making a determination with this pick.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Raiders are getting Maxx Crosby, Brock Bowers, and Jakobi Meyers back from injury, so we will be siding with them. However, the Raiders’ offensive line is so bad that I can’t bet them in this matchup.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The sharps bet the Raiders at +3, but not +2.5. I’ll have my final thoughts posted around 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps continue to bet the Raiders. I imagine part of the reason is that Devin Lloyd is out for Jacksonville. The best line is +2 -110 at BetMGM.

The Motivation. Edge: Raiders.

The Jaguars play the Texans after this game.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Jaguars -1.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jaguars -3.

Computer Model: Jaguars -3.

The Vegas. Edge: Raiders.

The Jaguars are free money, apparently.

Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 65% (95,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Raiders.

Jaguars are 68-115 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Opening Line: Jaguars -3.

Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: Dome.

The Matchup. Edge: Rams.

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LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: I didn’t know if we’d get an injury update on Puka Nacua so early this week, but we have one. Nacua is expected to practice and play this week. He wasn’t needed in the victory over the Jaguars in London, and, well, let’s face it: Nacua won’t be needed for this matchup either.

The Saints have a miserable defense. Their pass rush is pedestrian, with it averaging 14 pressures per game. The league average is about 20, so the Saints won’t be able to rattle Matthew Stafford very much, especially with Rob Havenstein due back as well.

Stafford will have all the time in the world to locate Nacua and Davante Adams for big gains. Meanwhile, Kyren Williams will have some success on the ground, though the Rams really needed to work on their poor short-yardage offense during the bye week.

NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: The Saints executed a quarterback change last week. Spencer Rattler was responsible for a couple of turnovers, which prompted the switch. Tyler Shough took over and wasn’t very effective at moving the chains, though he refrained from committing a give-away.

Shough is likely to start this game, but I don’t like his chances any more than I did Rattler’s. Shough is a reckless quarterback who will undoubtedly commit mistakes against a very strong Rams defense. Los Angeles generates about 23.7 pressures per game, and the Saints have a weakened offensive line as a result of center Erik McCoy’s injury. Shough will feel heat early and often, which will spell trouble for the 26-year-old rookie.

The Saints would love to run the ball to keep Shough out of trouble. There might be some hope here because the Rams struggled against opposing ground attacks during a couple of weeks. However, they’re ranked 11th versus the rush overall, so no one should be too optimistic about Alvin Kamara’s chances.

RECAP: If the Rams are focused, they’ll destroy the Saints. There simply is a huge talent disparity between the two teams. Los Angeles’ defense will dismantle the Shough-led Saints offense, while New Orleans’ defense won’t stand a chance against the Rams, especially with Nacua healthy again.

I had to write “if the Rams are focused” because of the circumstances. The Rams won an international game, and they’ve had an entire week to hear about how great they are. Following this game, they have to battle the 49ers and then the Seahawks. I can’t imagine that this game means all that much to them, considering that the two ensuing contests will basically decide the NFC West winner.

Also, if you’re wondering if the Rams will be aided with a week off, I’m not sure about that. Sean McVay is a great coach, but he’s just 3-5 against the spread following a bye.

Despite what I just said, I can’t back the Saints. The Rams are just too good, but I can’t bet them heavily because of how poor this spot is.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Nothing stands out on the injury report, so no real changes to report.

SATURDAY NOTES: Puka Nacua and Rob Havenstein are not on the injury report, while Alvin Kamara is questionable. The Rams could destroy the Saints, but that would require them not looking ahead to two matchups and also knowing how to best defend Tyler Shough without having any film on him.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: The sharps haven’t weighed in on either side of this game yet, so we’ll have to see if that changes over the next four hours.

FINAL THOUGHTS: With all the special-teams nonsense to go against us today, the Saints are bound to score on a punt return and a blocked field goal. Maybe something will go our way, but probably not. Anyway, the sharps haven’t touched this game. The best line is Rams -14 -109 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Saints.

The Rams play the 49ers and Seahawks after this game.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Rams -13.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -12.

Computer Model: Rams -13.

The Vegas. Edge: Saints.

Plenty of action on the Rams.

Percentage of money on Los Angeles: 82% (94,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Rams -12.

Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: Dome.

The Matchup. Edge: None.

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KANSAS CITY OFFENSE: Patrick Mahomes threw two interceptions in the opening half last week, but even though only one was really his fault, we can say that he bounced back with a nearly flawless second half. Mahomes has been hot ever since a slow start to the season. His protection has improved tremendously from last year, while Rashee Rice’s return from suspension has enhanced his weaponry to the levels that we haven’t seen since the Tyreek Hill days.

The Bills spent resources in the offseason to bolster their pass rush in order to defeat Mahomes. They signed Joey Bosa and spent multiple draft picks on defensive linemen, and while this would have worked tremendously last year when the Chiefs couldn’t block at all, I’m not so sure the Bills have the solution. Kansas City is protecting Mahomes very well, and I don’t see why things would change.

Instead of pressuring Mahomes, the Bills need to worry about stopping the run. Isiah Pacheco has looked more like his former self recently, which is not good news for a front seven that has historically been far worse against the run when Matt Milano isn’t in the lineup. Milano didn’t play last week, so even if he’s able to return for this game, he may not be 100 percent.

BUFFALO OFFENSE: The Chiefs will also need to focus on stopping the run. This has been difficult for them, as they’ve ranked slightly below average this season. This does not bode well for Kansas City’s defense because of what we saw from James Cook last week. Cook breezed through Carolina’s defense with ease even though the Panthers were ranked No. 1 versus ground attacks entering the game.

I don’t need to tell you that Josh Allen will feed off of Cook’s great running. Allen will pick up some yards on the ground himself, but he’ll also be in a position where he’ll be able to target his many receiving options. The Chiefs have done a good job of clamping down on tight ends, so it probably won’t be Dalton Kincaid. However, Allen will probably make the best use of Keon Coleman or Khalil Shakir. The latter caught a touchdown in the previous game.

The Chiefs will try to disrupt this by placing heavy heat on Allen. They have some players who can get to the quarterback, but they’re averaging about 17.4 pressures per game, which isn’t exactly going to cut it against a mobile quarterback who is protected well.

RECAP: The Bills have built their team to take down the Chiefs. This is why the Bills always win this matchup in the regular season, while the Chiefs ultimately get revenge when it matters the most.

It wouldn’t surprise me if the Chiefs buck this trend this year. They look like the best team in the NFL right now. Their offense is tremendous right now, while the defense has improved following a slow start. The Bills, meanwhile, have several injuries in the interior of their defense. Milano’s absence or limitation would be enormous. Buffalo is a team that has played just one great game since Week 2, and really only nine great quarters all year – and eight of them have come against the Jets and Panthers. The Chiefs, conversely, have played much better football as of late.

I’m going to take the Chiefs, but I don’t view this as a great betting opportunity. This spread is right where it should be, and this is a 50-50 game in a sense. I view it as more 55-45 in favor of Kansas City, so that will be the selection heading into this latest clash of AFC front-runners.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: One thing I missed is that Isiah Pacheco will be out, but that doesn’t make a difference. Someone who does make a difference is Matt Milano, who practiced fully. However, Milano may not be healthy in his first game back from injury. Meanwhile, DaQuan Jones didn’t practice, which is a big deal because Ed Oliver will be out as well.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Kansas City offensive line situation is one to watch. Josh Simmons is out, which we already knew. Trey Smith, who missed last week’s game, is questionable, though he practiced fully. Simmons’ backup, Jaylon Moore, missed practice on Friday. If the Chiefs are down three offensive linemen, I may consider a switch to Buffalo.

PLAYER PROPS: Evan Daniel brought this to my attention. Patrick Mahomes’ over-under for rushing attempts is only 4.5, which is pretty wild. Mahomes is running more this year, and remember, kneel-downs count as rushing attempts. The best number is over 4.5 -140 at BetMGM, but we can find a 20-percent odds boost there for the NFL, up to $100.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: We’re waiting on the inactives. If the Chiefs are down three offensive linemen, the Bills might be worth a look.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The Chiefs will have Trey Smith and Jaylon Moore for this game, so they look good, especially with the Bills missing Taron Johnson on top of their two defensive tackles. The sharps took the Chiefs earlier in the week, but not at -2 or above. The best line is -2 -105 at BetMGM.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Bills.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Bills -2.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -1.5.

Computer Model: Bills -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Chiefs.

Money on the Bills.

Percentage of money on Buffalo: 72% (129,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes is 105-28 SU, 71-60 ATS (57-46 ATS when not favored by double digits.)

Bills are 33-44 ATS in their last 77 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Opening Line: Chiefs -1.5.

Opening Total: 50.5.

Weather: Slight chance of rain, 45 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: None.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is the third part of my Walt Goes to Vegas series, where I discuss all the crazy responses to my Money Laundering t-shirt.

WASHINGTON OFFENSE: All eyes will be on Jayden Daniels’ injury status. Daniels missed the Monday night game with a hamstring strain, but reports indicated that this would be the only contest that he would miss with this injury. I’d say that I’ll be monitoring the Redskins’ Web site for injuries, but they’re the only NFL team that doesn’t update their Web site for injuries. I guess they’re too busy being woke and smelling their own farts to do something so simple.

Daniels will be needed against Seattle’s strong defense. The Seahawks haven’t exactly played the toughest schedule, but they rank second in pressures per game. Their defensive line is excellent at both generating pressure and stopping the run, so the Redskins won’t be able to rely on Marcus Mariota or the running game.

Daniels, conversely, gives the Redskins a chance. The Seahawks have some issues in their secondary. Daniels may not have been able to exploit this a couple of weeks ago when he was battling Dallas because he was down his top three receivers, but Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel are now both healthy.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: The Redskins have defensive issues that can be exploited as well. It would be nice for them if those were limited to just the secondary, but Washington’s defense sucks in nearly every aspect.

The one area in which the Redskins have been decent on this side of the ball is rushing the passer. However, they lost their top pass rusher, Dorance Armstrong, to injured reserve, so they won’t be able to rattle Sam Darnold. As a result, Darnold will be able to light up a Washington secondary that has been woeful this year.

The Redskins also struggle against the run. Their linebackers are painfully slow, which is a bad omen against Seattle’s powerful rushing attack. Both Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet could have big performances.

RECAP: I can’t give you a definitive pick yet for obvious reasons. We have no idea if Daniels will play. If Daniels is sidelined, I’ll be on the Seahawks, albeit on an increased point spread. If Daniels returns and practices fully all week, I believe I will take the value with the Redskins as a home underdog.

I’ll have updates throughout the week on this pick, so check back once we have more info on Daniels’ status.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Jayden Daniels practiced fully, which is a huge deal. Terry McLaurin will be out, but Deebo Samuel’s presence means that Washington won’t have the same sort of game it struggled through against Dallas a couple of weeks ago.

SATURDAY NOTES: Jayden Daniels is back, but Laremy Tunsil after going DNP-limited-limited this week. I’m going to bet three units on the Redskins.

PLAYER PROPS & SAME-GAME PARLAY: We’re betting Zach Ertz over receiving yards. The Seahaws are the worst at defending tight ends. The best number is over 34.5 -114 at FanDuel.

We’re sticking with FanDuel for our same-game parlay because they have a 30-percent same-game parlay profit boost. We’re going with Zach Ertz over 34.5 receiving yards, Kenneth Walker over 53.5 rushing yards, and Redskins +3.5. This $25 parlay pays $185.73. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

LOCKED IN: I see that the vig is moving toward a possible move to Redskins +2.5, so I’m going to lock in +3 -110 at BetMGM.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: We locked in this pick on Saturday night. Hail to the Redskins!

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps finally came in on the Redskins, sending this line down to +2.5. Luckily, we locked in +3. If you haven’t bet this yet, you can get +3 -124 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Seahawks -3.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -3.

Computer Model: Seahawks -4.

The Vegas. Edge: Redskins.

Very lopsided betting action.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 74% (96,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Seahawks -3.

Opening Total: 46.

Weather: Slight chance of rain, 50 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: None.

This week on ESPN, we’re going to have awful announcers calling the shots instead the great preseason homers like Kevin Reilly, Ron Wolfley and Don Tollefson, inept ESPN guys Emmitt, Herman Edwards, and aloof people like Jay Cutler. Here’s what it would sound like if some of these dudes (and some special guests) were calling this game:

Reilly: Welcome to the city of Dallas, otherwise known as the Seventh Circle of Hell, where the Dallas Cowgirls take on the Phoenix Cardinals. Guys, I’ve been campaigning to do my Philadelphia Eagles games all year. Not only do the stupid board members not give me a chance to do a game involving my Philadelphia Eagles; I now have to call a game involving my archnemesis, the Cowboys. That’s right – not just my nemesis, but archnemesis!

Emmitt: Thanks, Archie. I does not know why you taking everything so personality. Team in the National Conference of Football are just team, which mean they just a team. This mean that they just team. You making this sound like a manner of life and die. When I was running back for the Dallas Cow- uhh- Cow- Cowguy, I do not like the Philadelphia Eagle, but he not such a bad guy, and sometime after the game, I invite themselfs out for dinner, and whoever losted gotta feet the bill.

Reilly: Emmitt, if I ever had dinner with a Cowboy, it would be him being tied down to a chair in my dining room as I fed his own brains to him. New Daddy even said he’d tie the rope around him! Right, New Daddy?

Jay Cutler: I wasn’t paying attention. When you said “rope,” I assumed you asked me if I wanted to hang myself with a rope rather than talk to you.

Tollefson: Reilly, if you’re going to tie people up, please take my advice because I’m an expert in the matter. Use jute or natural fiber rope at least 0.2 inches in diameter. Stay away from thinner ropes since these can cut into the skin and affect circulation, which normally wouldn’t be a problem, but you can’t have injured woman cooking and cleaning naked for you because they won’t be as effective.

Reilly: Tolly, with all due respect, I have no interest in tying up women. I can’t have them eat their own brains because that would involve talking to women, and women are the devil, so I would get into trouble and not be able to eat macaroni and cheese for dinner as punishment. Maybe Clarissa Thompkins can shed some light on being tied up.

Charissa Thompson: Thanks, Jughead. It’s interesting that you’d talk about ties because my impeccable sources tell me that the Cowboys and Eagles will be tying in this game tonight. Back to you, Jug.

Reilly: THE EAGLES ARE NOT EVEN PLAYING TONIGHT, YOU FOOL!

Mina Kimes: I find this environment to be exhausting and very oppressive. For weeks, I’ve been complaining about how no one takes my football analysis seriously. I told you that Geno Smith was a top-one quarterback, yet no one acknowledges this because I’m an oppressed female Asian NFL analyst. But now, I’m hearing that women are tied up and are being called fools!? This is ridiculous. How about we tie up men and call them fools!? That way, everything will be fair. And when we start tying up men and calling them fools, I’ll be oppressed because no one’s tying me up and calling me a fool! Why am I being oppressed so much!?

Reilly: What!? I literally said earlier I would only tie up men, and I always call Charles Davis a fool.

Sarah Spain: EX-CA-USE ME! IF MINA KIMES, THE BEST NFL ANALYST IN THE WORLD, WANTS TO BE CALLED A FOOL, THEN SHE MUST BE CALLED A FOOL, AND IF SHE WANTS TO BE TIED UP, THEN SHE SHOULD BE TIED UP, BECAUSE IF SHE’S NOT CALLED A FOOL OR TIED UP, AND SHE WANTS TO BE, THAT MEANS SHE’S REALLY OPPRESSED, AND THAT’S ONLY BECAUSE SHE’S A FEMALE ASIAN NFL ANALYST!!!

Reilly: I’m so confused. Does she want to be tied up, or not tied up? I don’t know. Guys, this is distracting me from my mission to destroy the Cowboys by tying them up and feeding them their brains!

Charles Davis: Kevin, it sounds like you’re talking about tying people up, Kevin, so let’s talk about different knots, Kevin. Let’s begin with square not, Kevin. The second topic is clove hitch, Kevin. Then there’s half hitch, Kevin. What about bowline knot, Kevin? Let’s not forget about sheet bend, Kevin. Why not chat about stopper knot, Kevin. Don’t forget double fisherman’s knot, Kevin. Care to share about figure eight knot, Kevin? How about taut line hitch, Kevin? And, of course, there’s the Kevin Reilly knot, Kevin, which means that someone has severe brain damage and can’t think properly, Kevin.

Reilly: Oh, yeah!? Well, how about the Charles Davis knot, which is, uhh, I don’t know because you’re a fool, Charles Davis! We’ll be back right after this!

DALLAS OFFENSE: Dak Prescott was garnering some MVP conversation based on how he performed without CeeDee Lamb, but anyone hyping up that narrative won’t have much to say this week. Prescott was woeful versus the Broncos, particularly when he threw a miserable interception in the red zone late in the game that thwarted any sort of comeback potential.

Luckily for Prescott, he will have a much easier matchup in this game. While the Broncos lead the NFL in pressures (23.6 per game), the Cardinals are toward the lower end of the spectrum with 16.2 pressures per game. Prescott will obviously have much more time to find his talented receivers, who shouldn’t have much trouble getting open versus Arizona’s secondary.

Prescott will need to be much sharper in this game because Dallas’ running game won’t work as well as the team would like. the Cardinals are sixth versus the rush this year, thanks to the defensive line upgrades they made this prior offseason.

ARIZONA OFFENSE: While the Cowboys have a talented running back who may struggle because of a tough matchup, the Cardinals have some poor running backs who won’t be able to take advantage of an easy matchup. Something has to give here, but Bam Knight doesn’t seem like the type of player who would be able to exploit Dallas’ fourth-worst standing against the rush.

Much like the Cowboys, the offensive production may have to fall entirely on the quarterback. Kyler Murray will be back for the Cardinals, but I’m not so sure that’s a good thing. Jacoby Brissett was solid in two starts, particularly when targeting Trey McBride in the end zone. It’s amazing how the narrative was that McBride couldn’t score any touchdowns last year, and yet he became a touchdown machine with Brissett.

Regardless, Murray will have an amazing matchup in this game. Aside from DaRon Bland, Dallas’ secondary is a complete disaster. Murray will look good in his first game back from injury.

RECAP: I don’t have much of an opinion on this Monday night affair. Both teams matchup up pretty evenly against each other. Given that the Cardinals are coming off a bye, I believe this line should probably be Dallas -1. This spread is -2.5, so we have the slightest bit of value with the Cardinals. It’s nothing substantial and the margins are a bit thin, so this is why I don’t have a strong take concerning this game. I have a lean on Arizona, but that’s about it right now.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: We haven’t seen a practice report yet, so I can’t say anything has changed yet. I’m still leaning toward Arizona.

SATURDAY NOTES: Jacoby Brissett will start, which makes me more optimistic about the Cardinals, especially given that the line has moved to +3.

SUNDAY MORNING NOTES: I don’t see myself betting this game at +3, but I might have interest in +3.5. As I said, I’m more of a fan of Arizona with Brissett starting.

PLAYER PROPS & SAME-GAME PARLAY: Jacoby Brissett is starting, which means that Trey McBride has a good chance to score a touchdown. The best number for McBride is +115 at BetMGM.

We’re staying with BetMGM for our same-game parlay because it’s offering a 33-percent boost. We’re going with McBride anytime touchdown, Bam Knight over 51.5 rushing yards, and Jake Ferguson over 40.5 receiving yards. This $25 parlay pays $166.25.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps are on both sides of this game. They bet the Cowboys at -2.5 and -3, but other pro money came in on Arizona at +3.5. The best line is +3.5 -112 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Cowboys -1.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -3.

Computer Model: Cowboys -1.

The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.

Easy money for the public.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 77% (217,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: TBA.

Kyler Murray is 21-10 ATS as an underdog. ???

Dak Prescott is 40-32 ATS at home.

Opening Line: Cowboys -3.

Opening Total: 51.5.

Weather: Dome.