2025 NFL Picks – Week 9: Seahawks at Redskins

The Matchup. Edge: TBA.

A reminder that Jerks of the Week for this week is up, so just click the link. This week’s jerks entry is the third part of my Walt Goes to Vegas series, where I discuss all the crazy responses to my Money Laundering t-shirt.

WASHINGTON OFFENSE: All eyes will be on Jayden Daniels’ injury status. Daniels missed the Monday night game with a hamstring strain, but reports indicated that this would be the only contest that he would miss with this injury. I’d say that I’ll be monitoring the Redskins’ Web site for injuries, but they’re the only NFL team that doesn’t update their Web site for injuries. I guess they’re too busy being woke and smelling their own farts to do something so simple.

Daniels will be needed against Seattle’s strong defense. The Seahawks haven’t exactly played the toughest schedule, but they rank second in pressures per game. Their defensive line is excellent at both generating pressure and stopping the run, so the Redskins won’t be able to rely on Marcus Mariota or the running game.

Daniels, conversely, gives the Redskins a chance. The Seahawks have some issues in their secondary. Daniels may not have been able to exploit this a couple of weeks ago when he was battling Dallas because he was down his top three receivers, but Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel are now both healthy.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: The Redskins have defensive issues that can be exploited as well. It would be nice for them if those were limited to just the secondary, but Washington’s defense sucks in nearly every aspect.

The one area in which the Redskins have been decent on this side of the ball is rushing the passer. However, they lost their top pass rusher, Dorance Armstrong, to injured reserve, so they won’t be able to rattle Sam Darnold. As a result, Darnold will be able to light up a Washington secondary that has been woeful this year.

The Redskins also struggle against the run. Their linebackers are painfully slow, which is a bad omen against Seattle’s powerful rushing attack. Both Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet could have big performances.

RECAP: I can’t give you a definitive pick yet for obvious reasons. We have no idea if Daniels will play. If Daniels is sidelined, I’ll be on the Seahawks, albeit on an increased point spread. If Daniels returns and practices fully all week, I believe I will take the value with the Redskins as a home underdog.

I’ll have updates throughout the week on this pick, so check back once we have more info on Daniels’ status.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Jayden Daniels practiced fully, which is a huge deal. Terry McLaurin will be out, but Deebo Samuel’s presence means that Washington won’t have the same sort of game it struggled through against Dallas a couple of weeks ago.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Seahawks -3.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -3.

Computer Model: Seahawks -4.

The Vegas. Edge: TBA.

Very lopsided betting action.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 89% (14,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: TBA.

Seahawks are 9-17 ATS as a favorite of 6+ since 2017. ???

Opening Line: Seahawks -3.

Opening Total: 46.

Weather: .