2025 NFL Picks – Week 3: Rams at Eagles

The Matchup. Edge: None.

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PHILADELPHIA OFFENSE: The Eagles are 2-0, but it doesn’t really feel like they’re 2-0. They couldn’t score against an awful Dallas defense in the second half, and they didn’t have as much of an output as expected versus the Chiefs, especially when compared to what Justin Herbert was able to achieve in Brazil.

Part of the issue is A.J. Brown’s inability to separate. Perhaps Brown’s hamstring isn’t 100 percent, but he’s looked decrepit through two weeks. DeVonta Smith also got banged up in the second half versus the Chiefs, while Dallas Goedert was sidelined. The Eagles may not have much of a passing attack in this game against a ferocious front seven that gave Jalen Hurts issues in the playoffs.

Of course, the Eagles could just turn to Saquon Barkley, who demolished the Rams in two meetings last year. The Rams just nearly surrendered 100 rushing yards to Tony Pollard, so Barkley figures to have another big game.

LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: The Eagles still have a great defense, but the unit isn’t as good as the one we saw last year. They lost some depth on the defensive line, and they also have an issue at cornerback across from Quinyon Mitchell.

Matthew Stafford will be able to take advantage of this. Stafford was great against the Eagles in the playoffs, and now he’ll have Davante Adams as a huge upgrade over Cooper Kupp. It’ll be difficult for the Eagles to defend both Adams and Puka Nacua, especially with Stafford getting strong protection.

The running game may not work as well for the Rams. Javonte Williams ran right through the Eagles in the season opener, but Jalen Carter wasn’t available due to being ejected. Philadelphia’s ground defense was predictably much better in Week 2 versus Kansas City.

RECAP: The Eagles are 2-0, but they haven’t looked quite right. They had issues putting away the Cowboys, who had to go to overtime to beat the Giants. They also could have lost to the Chiefs had Travis Kelce not dropped the ball right near the goal line. Perhaps they still would have won the game, but Kansas City would have gone up 17-13 at that juncture.

Philadelphia could figure things out and become a powerhouse once again at some point. However, they’re not playing at their best right now, so I’m not comfortable laying more than a field goal with them against a good team.

The Rams are certainly a good team. They came closest to defeating the Eagles in the playoffs last season, and they’re 2-0 at the moment. Their pass rush is devastating, and they have a terrific offense. They’re not perfect – they struggle against the run – but Stafford is good enough to lead a comeback or perhaps get a back-door cover, which we saw in that playoff matchup.

Also, the Rams have a big psychological edge in this game. They circled this game as soon as the schedule was released because they’ll be able to get playoff revenge against the Eagles. Philadelphia, meanwhile, could be a bit flat after winning in Kansas City.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: So far, the public is on the Eagles, while the sharps are on the Rams. The pros brought this down from +4.5 to +3.5. The strength the sharps have on the Rams will be tested if they drop this line to +3.

SATURDAY NOTES: The more I think about this game, the more I like the Rams. They’ll be without starting offensive lineman (Steve Avila) and perhaps a starting defensive lineman (Braden Fiske), but they have a stalwart defense that could really limit Philadelphia. The Eagles, despite being 2-0, aren’t playing their best right now, and after a win at Kansas City, motivation could be low. Conversely, this is playoff revenge for the Rams, and we know Sean McVay is going to have his team ready to go because he always thrives in these early start times on the East Coast.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Braden Fiske is active for the Rams, which is a huge deal against Philadelphia’s offensive line. The sharps bet the Rams down from +4.5 to +3.5, but couldn’t push the line down to +3. The best line is +3.5 -106 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Rams.

The Eagles just beat the Chiefs. The Rams want playoff revenge.

The Spread. Edge: None.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Eagles -3.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -4.5.

Computer Model: Eagles -6.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Money on the Eagles.

Percentage of money on Philadelphia: 62% (139,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Sean McVay is 10-5 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.

Opening Line: Eagles -4.5.

Opening Total: .

Weather: Chance of rain, 72 degrees. Light wind.