NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2025 – Late Games

2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 3 NFL Picks – Early Games




NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3 Late Games


Denver Broncos (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-0*)
Line: Chargers by 2. Total: .

Sunday, Sept. 21, 4:05 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chargers -1.5.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • History: Chargers have won the last 2 meetings.
  • Sean Payton is 23-11 ATS in back-to-back road games.
  • Jim Harbaugh is 12-4 ATS after a loss, excluding 2014. ???
  • Opening Line: Chargers -2.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    New Orleans Saints (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)
    Line: Seahawks by 6.5. Total: .

    Sunday, Sept. 21, 4:05 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Seahawks are 31-20 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Seahawks are 60-48 ATS as home favorites since 2007.
  • Seahawks are 8-17 ATS as a favorite of 6+ since 2017.
  • Opening Line: Seahawks -6.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at Chicago Bears (0-2)
    Line: Bears by 2. Total: .

    Sunday, Sept. 21, 4:25 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bears -3.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Bears -2.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Arizona Cardinals (2-0) at San Francisco 49ers (2-0)
    Line: 49ers by 1. Total: .

    Sunday, Sept. 21, 4:25 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: 49ers -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • History: 49ers have won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Kyler Murray is 20-9 ATS as an underdog. ???
  • Opening Line: 49ers -1.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at New York Giants (0-2)
    Line: Chiefs by 6. Total: .

    Sunday, Sept. 21, 8:20 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: .

  • Patrick Mahomes is 100-26 SU, 66-58 ATS (52-44 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
  • Patrick Mahomes is 13-10 ATS after a loss.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 6-12 ATS as a road favorite of 7+. ???
  • Opening Line: Chiefs -6.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Detroit Lions (1-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-1)
    Line: Ravens by 6. Total: .

    Monday, Sept. 22, 8:15 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Ravens -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Lions.

  • Lamar Jackson is 16-22 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5+, not counting Week 1.
  • Opening Line: Ravens -6.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




  • Week 3 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


    NFL Picks Week 3 – Early Games

    Individual Game Pages




    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results