September 15, 2025
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NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3, 2025 – Early Games

Walt011 mins
Jalen Hurts
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 3 NFL Picks – Late Games




NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 3 Early Games


Miami Dolphins (0-2) at Buffalo Bills (2-0)
Line: Bills by 10.5. Total: .
Thursday, Sept. 18, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: .

Computer Model: Bills -8.5.


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Bills.

  • History: Bills have won 19 of the last 24 meetings.
  • Opening Line: Bills -8.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Indianapolis Colts (2-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)
    Line: Colts by 2.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Titans -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Colts. History: Colts have won the last 4 meetings.

  • Opening Line: Colts -2.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Atlanta Falcons (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-2)
    Line: Falcons by 2.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Panthers -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Falcons.

  • History: Falcons have won 14 of the last 22 meetings.
  • Opening Line: Falcons -2.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Las Vegas Raiders (1-0*) at Washington Redskins (1-1)
    Line: Redskins by 6.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Redskins -7.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • Pete Carroll is 17-10 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.
  • Raiders are 38-57* ATS after a win since 2009. ???
  • Redskins are 13-26 ATS in September home games since 2001.
  • Redskins are 15-28 ATS as home favorites of more than 4 since 2000.
  • Opening Line: Redskins -6.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Green Bay Packers (2-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-2)
    Line: Packers by 7.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Packers -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Packers.

  • Matt LaFleur is 59-41 ATS in the regular season.
  • Opening Line: Packers -7.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Cincinnati Bengals (2-0) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)
    Line: Vikings by 1.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Vikings -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: .

  • Vikings are 49-39 ATS at home since 2014 (18-24 ATS since 2020).
  • Opening Line: Vikings -1.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Los Angeles Rams (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-0)
    Line: Eagles by 4.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -4.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Rams.

  • Sean McVay is 10-5 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.
  • Opening Line: Eagles -4.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)
    Line: Steelers by 1.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Patriots -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • Mike Tomlin is 63-36 ATS as an underdog. ???
  • Aaron Rodgers is 134-100 ATS since 2009.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 31-24 ATS as an underdog. ???
  • Aaron Rodgers is 43-28 ATS after a loss (14-8 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+).
  • Steelers are 15-31 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin. ???
  • Opening Line: Steelers -1.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    New York Jets (0-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0)
    Line: Buccaneers by 7.5. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Buccaneers -7.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jets.

  • Road Team is 143-100* ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.
  • Buccaneers are 45-75 ATS at home in the previous 120 instances.
  • Opening Line: Buccaneers -7.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:



    Houston Texans (0-1*) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)
    Line: Jaguars by 1. Total: .
    Sunday, Sept. 21, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Texans -1.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • History: Texans have won 23 of the last 29 meetings.
  • Texans are 58-44 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (9-11 ATS as favorites). ???
  • Jaguars are 17-31 ATS as home favorites since 2008. ???
  • Opening Line: Jaguars -1.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 3 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

    NFL Picks Week 3 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages

    Dolphins at Bills  |  Colts at Titans  |  Falcons at Panthers  |  Raiders at Redskins  |  Packers at Browns  |  Bengals at Vikings  |  Rams at Eagles  |  Steelers at Patriots  |  Jets at Buccaneers  |  Texans at Jaguars  |  Broncos at Chargers  |  Saints at Seahawks  |  Cowboys at Bears  |  Cardinals at 49ers  |  Chiefs at Giants  |  Lions at Ravens  | 


    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results

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