NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2025 – Early Games

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 6 NFL Picks – Late Games




Individual Game Pages

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6 Early Games


Philadelphia Eagles (4-1) at New York Giants (1-4)
Line: Eagles by 7. Total: 42.

Thursday, Oct. 9, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -7.5.

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Giants.

  • History: Eagles have won 29 the last 35 meetings.
  • Jalen Hurts is 10-15 ATS as a road favorite.
  • Opening Line: Eagles -7.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Denver Broncos (3-2) at New York Jets (0-5)
    Line: Broncos by 7. Total: 43.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 9:30 AM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Broncos -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Broncos -7.
  • Opening Total: 41.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Cleveland Browns (1-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)
    Line: Steelers by 4.5. Total: 38.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Steelers -6.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Steelers.

  • History: Steelers have won 40 of the last 50 meetings excluding a 2018 tie.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 136-100 ATS since 2009.
  • Opening Line: Steelers -5.5.
  • Opening Total: 37.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Arizona Cardinals (2-3) at Indianapolis Colts (4-1)
    Line: Colts by 5.5. Total: 47.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

  • Kyler Murray is 21-10 ATS as an underdog.
  • Opening Line: Colts -5.5.
  • Opening Total: 46.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Los Angeles Rams (3-2) at Baltimore Ravens (1-4)
    Line: Rams by 7.5. Total: 45.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Sean McVay is 10-6 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.
  • John Harbaugh is 15-8 ATS following a loss of 10+.
  • Opening Line: Rams -6.5.
  • Opening Total: 44.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Seattle Seahawks (3-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1*)
    Line: Jaguars by 1. Total: 45.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jaguars -1.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: TBA.

  • Jaguars are 67-113* ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.
  • Jaguars are 23-54 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2007.
  • Jaguars are 18-31 ATS as home favorites since 2008. ???
  • Opening Line: Pick.
  • Opening Total: 43.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Dallas Cowboys (2-2-1) at Carolina Panthers (2-3)
    Line: Cowboys by 3.5. Total: 49.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Opening Line: Cowboys -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 46.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) at Miami Dolphins (1-4)
    Line: Chargers by 5.5. Total: 44.5.

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chargers -5.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

  • Jim Harbaugh is 10-2 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.
  • Jim Harbaugh is 12-5 ATS after a loss, excluding 2014.
  • Opening Line: Chargers -5.5.
  • Opening Total: 44.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:



    New England Patriots (3-2) at New Orleans Saints (1-4)
    Line: . Total: .

    Sunday, Oct. 12, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Patriots -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

  • Patriots are 30-18 ATS on the road vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Mike Vrabel is 7-1 ATS in his second consecutive road game.
  • Opening Line: Patriots -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 46.5.
  • Weather: .




  • Week 6 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.


    NFL Picks Week 6 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages




    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results