2025 NFL Picks – Week 6: Cowboys at Panthers

The Matchup. Edge: None.

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DALLAS OFFENSE: I don’t understand anything anymore. Seriously. How did the Cowboys score at will against the Jets with four backup offensive linemen on the field? They should have been limited offensively, especially with Quinnen Williams able to dominate an interior comprised of all backups, yet Dallas had an offensive onslaught against the Jets.

Logic dictates that the Cowboys will suffer regression. Of course, that may be difficult to do against the Panthers, but Carolina’s pass rush is better with D.J. Wonnum and Patrick Jones on the field, as we saw last week. Perhaps they’ll do what the Jets couldn’t do and get to Dak Prescott, who likely still won’t have CeeDee Lamb for at least one more week.

The Panthers, however, have a dreadful defense overall. They have major problems stopping the run, so Javonte Williams figures to run well. They also have issues against tight ends, so Jake Ferguson will continue to dominate.

CAROLINA OFFENSE: The other utterly shocking aspect of the Cowboys’ blowout win over the Jets was that New York could barely score any points on the Cowboys’ miserable defense. James Houston has improved the pass rush, but Dallas has lackluster talent on this side of the ball.

I’m not sure the Panthers will be able to capitalize, however. Bryce Young was abysmal in the opening stages of the Miami game, but improved as the afternoon progressed. He’ll have a chance to continue the momentum against a Cowboy defense that couldn’t stop a nose bleed prior to last week’s shocking result.

The Cowboys are especially poor against the run, so perhaps we’ll see another career day from Rico Dowdle. The former Cowboy will be out for revenge after generating a staggering 200 rushing yards.

RECAP: Forgive me for not believing in the Cowboys just yet. They still have severe offensive line issues, while their defense is atrocious. I’m going to chalk their blowout win over the Jets as a fluky result.

However, I don’t really want to bet the Panthers either, especially after a win. I don’t even want to bet them following embarrassing defeats, so I’m not going to bet my hard-earned money on a 5-foot-11 quarterback and one of the worst defenses in the NFL after they celebrated a rare victory.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I’m going to switch my pick to the Cowboys. Backing the Panthers off a win is likely a losing proposition. Also, the line is now -3, so it’s nice that we don’t get burned by the hook anymore.

SATURDAY NOTES: I thought about betting the Cowboys, but their injury report is longer than a CVS receipt. They’re getting Tyler Guyton back from injury, but Tyler Smith is questionable after being limited all week. Speaking of being limited all week, both Dallas starting outside cornerbacks are questionable after being limited all week. The Cowboys will also be missing their top two slot receivers, CeeDee Lamb and KaVontae Turpin. The Cowboys overcame the injuries against the Jets last week, but I don’t know how sustainable that is.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The Cowboys will have Tyler Smith available. The Panthers, meanwhile, won’t have Taylor Moton as a surprise inactive. This is a nice edge for the Cowboys, so I wonder if the sharps regret betting the Panthers at +3.5 earlier this week. If you want to bet Dallas, make sure you get the -2.5 -120 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Panthers.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Cowboys -3.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -3.5.

Computer Model: Cowboys -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Plenty of action on the Cowboys.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 71% (110,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Cowboys -3.5.

Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: Chance of rain, 69 degrees. Mild wind, 11 mph.