2025 NFL Picks – Week 7: Redskins at Cowboys

The Matchup. Edge: Redskins.

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WASHINGTON OFFENSE: Jayden Daniels and Jacory Croskey-Merritt threw away a potential victory on Monday night. Daniels fired an interception early in the game, then Croskey-Merritt lost a fumble. The two then combined for a botched handoff that gave the Bears the victory.

I’d say that Daniels and Croskey-Merritt will be able to bounce back by exposing a poor defensive opponent, but they weren’t exactly challenged by Chicago’s lackluster stop unit either. Still, the Cowboys are worse in almost every regard. Their defense just allowed Rico Dowdle to rush for 180 yards, so Croskey-Merritt is likely to have the best game of his young career thus far.

If the Redskins establish Croskey-Merritt, things will be even more difficult for the Cowboys than initially anticipated. They don’t have much of a pass rush, so Daniels will have all the time he needs in the pocket, especially if Sam Cosmi returns from the PUP list to play for the first time all year. Cosmi practiced fully last week, so he should be able to play. Perhaps Terry McLaurin will return as well.

DALLAS OFFENSE: Mistakes happen in the NFL. Sometimes, lots of mistakes happen. It would be one thing if the Redskins had miscues offensively to give away some free points and the win to the opposition. However, what we also saw on Monday night was the Redskins struggle to stop what the Bears were doing offensively.

D’Andre Swift, in particular, was a dynamic threat against the Redskins. I just read that sentence aloud and realized how improbable that should have been, but it’s true. Swift was great against the Redskins, who were 19th against the run heading into Monday night. Javonte Williams should be able to pick up where Swift left off.

Williams will be able to give Dak Prescott plenty of favorable passing situations. Prescott is playing some great football right now even though CeeDee Lamb has been out of the lineup since Week 3. There’s an outside chance Lamb will be able to return this week, which does not bode well for a Washington defense that has issues in the secondary.

RECAP: I can’t really say that I have much interest in betting this game. The Redskins are better than the Cowboys, but they’re coming off a short week in which they’ll have to travel. I like that they’re coming off a loss, but so is Dallas.

Your guess is as good as mine in this game. I’m going to have a very small lean on the Redskins, just because I trust them a bit more, even after what transpired Monday night. I also think there’s a slightly better chance that they get their injured players back to the field than Dallas.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Redskins.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Redskins -4.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Redskins -2.5.

Computer Model: Cowboys -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Redskins.

The Cowboys are a publicly backed dog.

Percentage of money on Dallas: 68% (5,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Redskins.

History: Cowboys have won 13 of the previous 18 meetings.

Dak Prescott is 39-32 ATS at home.

Opening Line: Redskins -2.

Opening Total: 51.5.

Weather: Dome.