2025 NFL Picks – Week 7: Giants at Broncos

The Matchup. Edge: Broncos.

The Adventures of Tom Brady’s Haircuts are complete. They may return in the future, but I had to stop them for now. Besides, I wrote a similar-type book is called How the 2020 MVP Was Stolen:

Oh, and my other book is still available as well:

In this book, I talk about the top NFL Draft busts, and what would’ve happened had each team gone a different route. Also, I discuss why Roger Goodell has banned us from the NFL Combine.

DENVER OFFENSE: The Broncos had a truly pathetic offensive performance against th Jets. Battling a defense that was torched by a CeeDee Lamb-less and offensive line-less Dallas offense, the Broncos couldn’t even crack five yards per play. They crushed themselves with idiotic mistakes, mostly by guard Matt Peart. Bo Nix wasn’t great either, especially in the second half.

Perhaps the most troubling thing for the Broncos in the London game was that they couldn’t run at all against a dreadful Jets run defense. J.K. Dobbins managed just 40 rushing yards against a team that was gashed by Javonte Williams the prior week. The Broncos may have missed injured guard Ben Powers, so even though they’re battling the Giants’ poor run defense, there’s no guarantee that they’ll be able to get Dobbins going.

Nix will have to do more on his own, and he’ll be facing a terrific pass rush. The good news for Nix is that he’ll be able to throw to Courtland Sutton again, as Sauce Gardner just shut down the Denver No. 1 receiver.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: Nix is fortunate that his defense bailed him out against the Jets. Denver limited the Jets to just 1.4 yards per play, which is why they were able to win despite all the blunders. The Broncos had an easy matchup against Justin Fields, but things won’t be as simple against New York’s other quarterback.

Jaxson Dart has been excellent thus far, looking good against a pair of quality defenses he’s seen in the Chargers and Eagles. This is his toughest test yet, however. The Broncos, who logged nine sacks against Fields, have the most pressures in the NFL. I don’t have much faith in the Giants’ offensive line being able to protect the Denver pass rushers, so Dart has his work cut out for him. His mobility will be crucial in this contest.

I don’t see Cam Skattebo having much success either. The Broncos aren’t as good against the run as the pass, but they’re still 10th in that department. Skattebo will have to do his damage as a receiver out of the backfield.

RECAP: The Broncos are 4-2, but they’re a fraudulent 4-2. They’ve beaten three Group F teams, and they’ve failed to cover two of those games. Their other victory was against the Eagles, who fell asleep at the wheel while holding a 17-3 lead.

The Giants aren’t a tough opponent, but they’re not a Group F team either, so there’s a decent chance the Giants stay within the number. They have a nice rest edge as well, as they’ve had extra time to prepare following their Thursday night victory, while the Broncos are flying all the way from London to Denver, which is not exactly a short flight.

The Motivation. Edge: .

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Giants.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Broncos -5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Broncos -8.5.

Computer Model: Broncos -5.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Broncos.

Plenty of money on the Giants.

Percentage of money on New York: 83% (7,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Broncos.

Opening Line: Broncos -8.

Opening Total: 40.5.

Weather: .