2025 NFL Picks – Week 2: Seahawks at Steelers

The Matchup. Edge: None.

Video of the Week: Here’s a video of a smoking-hot girl playing Resident Evil. I kid you not:

She tends to get frazzled while under pressure, but I enjoyed this video and the others she has on her channel. I know I posted this last year, but I’ve watched a ton of her videos and wanted to shout her out again.

PITTSBURGH OFFENSE: Aaron Rodgers had an angry press conference where he chided the Jets for not believing in him. I couldn’t blame him for being pissed, as last year was going to be an obvious down season for him because he was coming off a torn Achilles. It makes sense that Rodgers would rebound in 2025.

Rodgers, however, didn’t have an amazing game when looking at the metrics. He didn’t complete passes with a high number of air yards, and he was also lucky to get some bounces, like with the ridiculous DK Metcalf ricochet. Rodgers will need similar luck in this game because the Seahawks have a stellar defense that just did a great job of limiting the Christian McCaffrey-led 49ers.

It won’t help Rodgers that billionaire Arthur Smith won’t be able to utilize his running backs effectively. The Seahawks have the personnel to possess a stout run defense, so they should be able to limit Jaylen Warren and Kenneth Gainwell.

SEATTLE OFFENSE: I would have thought that the Steelers would maintain the personnel to stuff the run as well, but that certainly is not the case. The Jets trampled Pittsburgh with ease in the opener.

This definitely does not bode well for Pittsburgh this week because the Seahawks have a strong rushing attack, which will be enhanced by Grey Zabel and Robbie Ouzts this year. Zach Charbonnet will help, too. Charbonnet is better than Kenneth Walker, so credit new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak for recognizing this and going with the superior option, which billionaire Arthur Smith is incapable of doing.

Charbonnet’s great running will be required for Sam Darnold not to have a meltdown. While the Steelers can’t stop the run, they should be able to generate pressure against a poor pass-blocking offensive line. For that reason, I don’t like Seattle’s chances with Darnold if the team falls behind early.

RECAP: The Steelers won on the road against the Jets, but they really should’ve lost. They got all the bounces, from the lost fumble on the kick return to the ball landing on Metcalf’s lap while he was on the ground. Pittsburgh was outgained, 394-271, because it couldn’t stop the Jets’ running game.

Enter the Seahawks, who have a strong rushing attack as well. Unless Mike Tomlin can make some serious adjustments, Seattle will match up well against Pittsburgh.

Unfortunately, the Seahawks don’t seem overly appealing either. I have no faith in Darnold without Kevin O’Connell or Justin Jefferson, especially behind a putrid pass-blocking offenive line.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: I still have zero interest in this game. Unless there are some shocking injuries, I don’t plan to bet on either side.

NO PLAYER PROPS: Just wanted to express my frustration. The Seahawks are another team that can’t stop tight ends at all – as evidenced by Jake Tonge’s performance – but the Steelers have a million tight ends, so I don’t know whom to pick.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Seahawks.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Steelers -2.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Steelers -2.5.

Computer Model: Steelers -2.

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Lots of money on the Steelers.

Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 68% (25,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Aaron Rodgers is 134-99 ATS since 2009.

Opening Line: Steelers -2.5.

Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: .