NFL Betting Trends: Random NFL Trends

Team-by-Team NFL Trends

Arizona Cardinals
  • Cardinals are 32-26 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
  • Cardinals are 42-31 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 since 2007.
  • Cardinals are 6-16 ATS as favorites of 7.5 or more the previous 21 instances.

    Atlanta Falcons
  • Falcons are 35-26 ATS following a loss of 6+ in the previous 60 instances.
  • Falcons are 7-25 ATS at home immediately following a home win the previous 32 instances.
  • Mike Smith is 5-1 ATS on the West Coast.

    Baltimore Ravens
  • Ravens are 5-12 ATS on the West Coast in franchise history.
  • John Harbaugh is 12-4 ATS in Week 1 games.
  • John Harbaugh is 15-7 ATS following a loss of 10+.
  • John Harbaugh is 14-2 SU at home vs. rookie quarterbacks.
  • Lamar Jackson is 9-3 ATS as a favorite of 10+.
  • Lamar Jackson is 7-16 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5+, not counting Week 1.

    Buffalo Bills
  • Bills are 12-37 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998.
  • Bills are 24-17 ATS after playing the New England Patriots since 1999.
  • Bills are 27-43 ATS in their last 70 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in Canada.
  • Josh Allen is 9-4 ATS off a loss since his second season.

    Carolina Panthers


    Chicago Bears
  • Bears are 19-12 ATS after losing to the Packers since 1992.
  • Bears are 22-41 ATS in December road games the previous 63 instances.
  • John Fox is 8-5 ATS in the playoffs.
  • John Fox is 10-3 ATS on the West Coast.
  • John Fox is 9-5 ATS in Week 17 games.

    Cincinnati Bengals
  • Bengals are 21-9 ATS against the Steelers if they lost to them previously the same season in the last 29 instances.
  • Joe Burrow is 32-12 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (3-5 ATS otherwise).
  • Joe Burrow is 13-3 ATS after a loss.

    Cleveland Browns
  • Kevin Stefanski is 9-18 ATS as a favorite.

    Dallas Cowboys
  • Cowboys are 9-12 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2001.
  • Cowboys are 23-14 ATS after playing the Eagles since 2000.
  • Cowboys are 31-40 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).
  • Cowboys are 31-40 ATS when favored after a win since 2010.
  • The underdog is 116-90 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.
  • Tony Romo is 10-2 ATS after the Cowboys have allowed 35+ points.
  • Tony Romo is 14-24 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (4-8 ATS as an underdog).
  • Tony Romo is 9-21 ATS as a favorite of -7 or more excluding Thanksgiving (4-2 on Thanksgiving).
  • Tony Romo is 1-9 ATS on Monday Night Football.



    Denver Broncos
  • Broncos are 32-17 ATS as home underdogs since 1991.
  • Broncos are 2-23 SU in December games at Arrowhead.
  • Russell Wilson is 32-13 ATS after a loss since his second season.
  • Russell Wilson is 31-14 ATS as an underdog.
  • Russell Wilson is 24-15 ATS in night games.

    Detroit Lions
  • Lions are 18-23 ATS on the road vs. teams with winning records since 2011.
  • Lions are 7-10 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2002.
  • Lions are 24-8 ATS on the road after a home loss of 10+.
  • Lions are 20-8 ATS after losing by 20+ points since 2007.
  • Lions are 7-11 ATS before their Thanksgiving game since 2005.
  • Dan Campbell is 16-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+.

    Green Bay Packers
  • Packers are 40-23 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
  • Packers are 62-37 ATS in divisional games since 2006.
  • Packers are 7-4 ATS as home underdogs since 2007.
  • Matt LaFleur is 12-3 ATS after a loss.

    Houston Texans
  • Texans are 55-44 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (8-11 ATS as favorites).

    Indianapolis Colts
  • Matt Ryan is 22-12 ATS in night games.
  • Philip Rivers is 14-6 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more.
  • Philip Rivers is 27-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 or more.
  • Philip Rivers is 6-10 ATS off a bye.
  • Andrew Luck is 23-9 ATS off a loss.
  • Andrew Luck is 28-16 ATS at home.
  • Andrew Luck is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
  • Andrew Luck is 20-9 ATS against divisional opponents.
  • Andrew Luck is 14-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 or more since 2013.
  • Chuck Pagano is 3-9 ATS in the first two weeks of the season.

    Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Jaguars are 11-3 ATS before playing the arch rival Colts since 2004. *** Peyton Manning era ***
  • Jaguars are 1-8 ATS as favorites after playing the Colts since 2002. *** Peyton Manning era ***
  • Jaguars are 9-17 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more since 2003.
  • Jaguars are 56-100 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.
  • Jaguars are 16-50 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2007.
  • Jaguars are 12-27 ATS as home favorites since 2008.
  • Jaguars are 5-10 ATS as favorites of -7 or more coming off a loss.

    Kansas City Chiefs
  • Chiefs are 9-3 ATS as home underdogs of 6+ since 1989.
  • Chiefs are 13-31 ATS as home underdogs of 1-5.5 points since 2007.
  • Chiefs are 21-12 ATS in season openers at home since 1971.
  • Chiefs are 15-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2006.
  • Andy Reid is 7-4 ATS in Week 1 games with the Chiefs.
  • Andy Reid is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more since 2000.
  • Andy Reid is 18-11 ATS off a bye.
  • Andy Reid is 9-14 ATS two weeks after the bye.
  • Sean Payton is 9-3 SU vs. Andy Reid when coaching a winning team.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 72-19 SU, 48-42 ATS (37-30 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
  • Patrick Mahomes is 5-0 ATS in the initial divisional matchup of the year as long as he’s not favored by -7 or more.
  • Patrick Mahomes is 9-7 ATS after a loss.

    Las Vegas Raiders
  • Raiders are 18-13 ATS as double-digit underdogs since 2008.
  • Raiders are 17-33 ATS as home favorites since November 2005.
  • Raiders are 5-14 ATS in the final week of the season since 2003.
  • Raiders are 32-52 ATS after a win since 2009.
  • Derek Carr is 6-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5+.
  • Derek Carr is 6-11 ATS as a road favorite.
  • Jon Gruden is 5-1 SU (5-1 ATS) vs. Andy Reid.
  • Jack Del Rio is 2-9 ATS in Week 17 games.

    Los Angeles Chargers
  • Chargers are 18-26 ATS in San Angeles.
  • Justin Herbert is 5-0-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+.
  • Justin Herbert is 9-14 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more.

    Los Angeles Rams
  • Sean McVay is 6-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
  • Jeff Fisher is 8-2 ATS off a bye in the regular season since 2002.
  • Jeff Fisher is 55-42 ATS as an underdog since 2006.

    Miami Dolphins
  • Dolphins are 28-15 ATS as a road underdog of less than 5 since 2008.
  • Dolphins are 22-8 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses the previous 30 instances.
  • Dolphins are 27-44 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.
  • Jay Cutler is 10-7 ATS on Monday Night Football.
  • Jay Cutler is 47-79 ATS if you exclude Monday Night Football.

    Minnesota Vikings
  • Vikings are 41-32 ATS at home since 2014 (10-17 ATS since 2020).
  • Vikings are 12-29 ATS in their road finale since 1980.
  • Mike Zimmer is 75-54 ATS as head coach of the Vikings.
  • Mike Zimmer is 19-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5+.
  • Mike Zimmer is 13-9 ATS with extra time to prepare since 2015.

    New England Patriots
  • Patriots are 29-15 ATS on the road vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
  • Patriots are 44-27 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.
  • Patriots are 15-5 ATS in the final week of the season since 2001.
  • Bill Belichick is 17-4 ATS against a team after losing to them by 14+ in the previous matchup.
  • Cam Newton is 11-4 ATS as an underdog of 6+ since his second season.



    New Orleans Saints
  • Saints are 3-18 ATS in Weeks 1-2 since 2013.
  • Saints are 19-9 ATS in night home games in the Drew Brees era.
  • Drew Brees is 55-33 ATS as an underdog.
  • Drew Brees is 57-35 ATS off back-to-back wins.
  • Drew Brees is 47-28 ATS after a loss with the Saints (14-7 ATS as an underdog).
  • Drew Brees is 20-8 ATS after two consecutive losses.
  • Drew Brees is 10-3 ATS as a home underdog with the Saints.
  • Drew Brees is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more with the Saints.

    New York Giants
  • Giants are 22-30 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more the previous 52 instances.

    New York Jets
  • Jets are 21-9 ATS at home following a home loss in the last 30 instances.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 128-88 ATS since 2009.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 30-19 ATS as an underdog.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 39-20 ATS after a loss (14-8 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+).
  • Aaron Rodgers is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

    Philadelphia Eagles
  • Eagles are 38-28 ATS as road underdogs since 2005.
  • Eagles are 7-16 ATS before playing the Giants since December 2010.

    Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Steelers are 12-6 ATS at home on Monday Night Football the previous 18 instances.
  • Steelers are 29-16 ATS on the road off a home division win the previous 45 instances.
  • Steelers are 42-21 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
  • Steelers are 4-16 ATS on the road as favorites of -10 or more since 1990.
  • Steelers are 14-29 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin.
  • Mike Tomlin is 9-23 ATS as a favorite after a win of 14+ in the regular season unless a bye is coming up.
  • Mike Tomlin is 52-30 ATS as an underdog.
  • Steelers are 5-3 ATS when Ben Roethlisbeger misses his first non-Week 17 game.
  • Steelers are 9-2 ATS after losing by 20+ in the Ben Roethlisberger era.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 57-36 ATS vs. the AFC North.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog.
  • Ben Roethlisberger is 10-8 ATS in the playoffs (7-6 as a favorite).
  • QBDK is 5-17 ATS since 2012.

    San Francisco 49ers
  • 49ers are 40-29 ATS as favorites in night games since 1989.
  • 49ers are 10-6 ATS with Jim Harbaugh off extra rest.

    Seattle Seahawks
  • Seahawks are 41-32 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.
  • Seahawks are 29-19 ATS in September home games since 2000.
  • Seahawks are 56-44 ATS as home favorites since 2007.
  • Seahawks are 20-7 ATS as home underdogs since 2009.
  • Seahawks are 7-15 ATS as a favorite of 6+ since 2017.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Buccaneers are 37-66 ATS at home in the previous 103 instances.
  • Buccaneers are 10-29 ATS as a home underdog since 2009.
  • Buccaneers are 10-30 SU on the West Coast in franchise history.
  • Road Team is 123-86 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.
  • Tom Brady is 283-96 as a starter (209-154 ATS).
  • Tom Brady is 195-139 against the spread since 2003.
  • Tom Brady is 129-90 ATS in non-divisional games.
  • Tom Brady is 12-5 ATS in an initial divisional matchup of the season if he’s not favored by -7 or more.
  • Tom Brady is 35-11 in the playoffs (24-22 ATS).
  • Tom Brady is 18-8 ATS in domes.
  • Tom Brady is 10-4 ATS as a home underdog.
  • Tom Brady is 13-9 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 3 points.
  • Tom Brady is 49-27 ATS off a loss (11-15 ATS as -7 or more; 16-1 ATS as an underdog).
  • Tom Brady is 7-4 ATS after losing to the Dolphins.
  • Tom Brady is 7-9 ATS at Miami.
  • Tom Brady is 4-7 ATS at Denver.
  • Tom Brady is 24-15 ATS as an underdog since 2003.
  • Tom Brady is 22-17 ATS on Sunday Night Football.
  • Tom Brady is 13-6 ATS heading into a regular-season bye.

    Tennessee Titans
  • Titans are 28-20 ATS in non-conference home games.
  • Mike Vrabel is 23-9 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points.
  • Mike Vrabel is 4-7 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more.
  • Dick LeBeau is 22-3 SU vs. rookie quarterbacks.
  • Mike Munchak is 6-14 ATS playing a team with a winning record.

    Washington Redskins
  • Redskins are 16-9 ATS after losing to the Cowboys since 1997.
  • Redskins are 19-31 ATS after a road win since 2000.
  • Redskins are 11-25 ATS in September home games since 2001.
  • Redskins are 10-26 ATS as home favorites of more than 4 since 2000.
  • Redskins are 1-18 ATS in Monday Night Football home games since 1998.
  • Mike Shanahan is 6-2 vs. Bill Belichick since 2001.



    Old NFL Coach Trends

    Brian Billick
  • Brian Billick is 5-1 ATS (4-2 SU) vs. Mike Shanahan.

    Bill Cowher
  • Bill Cowher is 12-3 ATS in his final home game of the season.

    Tony Dungy
  • Tony Dungy is 1-4 ATS (2-3 SU) on the West Coast as Colts head coach.

    Bill Parcells
  • Bill Parcells is 6-2 ATS in home finales.

    Mike Shanahan


    Other NFL Trends

  • First-year head coaches are 8-20 ATS on Thursday Night Football.
  • Third Time’s a Charm: 0-2 Teams that made the playoffs the previous year are 16-7 ATS in Week 3 since 2003 (7-3 as favorites).
  • Super Bowl Loser Syndrome: Super Bowl losers are 5-22 ATS in their first game the following season.
  • Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 19-32 ATS since 2003.
  • Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 14-4 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
  • Triple Debaclation: Teams are 13-7 SU vs. opponents in the playoffs after beating them twice in that regular season.
  • Zero Heroes: 0-4 teams or worse are 12-6 ATS as favorites since 2002.
  • Teams that get their first win after an 0-8 start or worse are 5-0 ATS in their next game since 2002.
  • Third Thanksgiving hosts are 4-3 ATS (4-0 if .500 or better).
  • Underdogs of 10+ on Thursday Night Football coming off standard rest are 7-14 ATS since 1992.
  • Teams off overtime games are 6-27 ATS on Thursday night since 1989.



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    NFL Betting Trends:

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    NFL Betting Trends: Random NFL Trends
    NFL Betting Trends: Divisional Rivalry History
    NFL Betting Trends: Beating the Champ
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