NFL Betting Trends: Losing as a Favorite



It's no secret that every NFL head coach has a different style. Some like to yell. Some are calm. Some are geniuses. Others are clueless (cough, Marty Mornhinweg, Art Shell, sneeze).

I thought it would be interesting to see how each coach reacts coming off a loss as a favorite - both as a favorite and an underdog in the next contest.

The results were pretty remarkable. For example, Joe Gibbs (not listed), is 2-8 against the spread after losing as a favorite. He's a Hall-of-Fame coach, but perhaps Gibbs should have bought a couple of Herm Edwards' motivational DVDs.

On second thought, after looking at Edwards' records, maybe that's not such a good idea.

All records since 2002.


Team
Coach
ATS Record After Losing as a Favorite
As a Favorite
As a Dog
ARZ
Kliff Kingsbury
4-6
1-4
3-2
ARZ
Steve Wilks
0-2
0-0
0-2
ARZ
Bruce Arians
4-4
1-4
3-0
ARZ
Ken Whisenhunt
6-5
0-2
6-3
ATL
Arthur Smith
1-1
0-0
1-1
ATL
Raheem Morris
2-0
0-0
2-0
ATL
Dan Quinn
5-15
3-6
2-9
ATL
Mike Smith
8-4
5-2
3-2
BAL
John Harbaugh
15-17
7-12
8-5
BUF
Sean McDermott
4-4
4-1
0-3
BUF
Rex Ryan
1-1
1-0
0-1
BUF
Doug Marrone
1-2
0-0
1-2
BUF
Chan Gailey
1-3
0-0
1-3
BUF
Dick Jauron
4-6
2-2
2-4
CAR
Matt Rhule
3-3
0-1
3-2
CAR
Ron Rivera
11-10
2-7
9-3
CAR
John Fox
14-8
5-3
9-5
CHI
Matt Nagy
2-4
0-2
2-2
CHI
John Fox
2-5
0-1
2-4
CHI
Marc Trestman
1-1
0-0
1-1
CHI
Lovie Smith
8-9
2-4
6-5
CIN
Zac Taylor
1-2
0-1
1-1
CIN
Marvin Lewis
17-19
6-8
11-11
CLE
Kevin Stefanski
2-1
1-1
1-0
CLE
Freddie Kitchens
1-1
1-0
0-1
CLE
Hue Jackson
0-1
0-0
0-1
CLE
Mike Pettine
3-1
0-0
3-1
CLE
Rob Chudzinski
1-3
0-1
1-2
CLE
Pat Shurmur
1-0
1-0
0-0
CLE
Eric Mangini
1-1
0-0
1-1
CLE
Romeo Crennel
3-5
1-1
2-4
DAL
Mike McCarthy
3-3
3-2
0-1
DAL
Jason Garrett
9-11
5-8
4-3
DAL
Wade Phillips
3-11
2-8
1-3
DEN
Vic Fangio
2-3
0-2
2-1
DEN
Vance Joseph
3-5
1-2
2-3
DEN
Gary Kubiak
2-1
2-1
0-0
DEN
John Fox
3-2
3-2
0-0
DEN
Eric Studesville
0-1
0-0
0-1
DEN
Josh McDaniels
2-2
0-0
2-2
DEN
Mike Shanahan
13-12
9-5
4-7
DET
Matt Patricia
1-2
0-0
1-2
DET
Jim Caldwell
4-1
1-0
3-1
DET
Jim Schwartz
3-9
3-5
0-4
DET
Rod Marinelli
0-4
0-0
0-4
GB
Matt LaFleur
5-0
3-0
2-0
GB
Joe Philbin
1-0
1-0
0-0
GB
Mike McCarthy
15-10
9-9
6-1
HOU
David Caldwell
0-0
0-1
0-1
HOU
Romeo Crennel
1-0
0-0
1-0
HOU
Bill O'Brien
9-3
5-1
4-2
HOU
Gary Kubiak
9-11
6-5
3-6
IND
Frank Reich
6-2
3-2
3-0
IND
Chuck Pagano
5-3
2-2
3-1
IND
Jim Caldwell
2-3
2-2
0-1
IND
Tony Dungy
6-10
4-9
2-1
JAX
Urban Meyer
0-2
0-0
0-2
JAX
Doug Marrone
6-4
3-1
3-3
JAX
Gus Bradley
1-3
0-0
1-3
JAX
Mike Mularkey
0-1
0-0
0-1
JAX
Jack Del Rio
12-9
6-4
6-5
KC
Andy Reid
11-11
8-7
3-4
KC
Romeo Crennel
1-0
0-0
1-0
KC
Todd Haley
2-4
1-1
1-3
KC
Herman Edwards
1-5
0-2
1-3
LAC
Brandon Staley
4-1
2-1
2-0
LAC
Anthony Lynn
6-5
5-2
1-3
LAR
Sean McVay
8-4
7-3
1-1
LV
Rich Bisaccia
0-2
0-0
0-2
LV
Jon Gruden
2-3
1-1
1-2
MIA
Brian Flores
2-0
1-0
1-0
MIA
Adam Gase
1-2
1-0
0-2
MIA
PC Head Coach
1-0
0-0
1-0
MIA
Joe Philbin
1-7
1-2
0-5
MIA
Todd Bowles
1-0
0-0
1-0
MIA
Tony Sparano
4-4
0-1
4-3
MIN
Mike Zimmer
5-9
2-5
3-4
MIN
Leslie Frazier
3-2
1-0
2-2
MIN
Brad Childress
4-6
3-4
1-2
NE
Bill Belichick
34-15
21-14
13-1
NO
Interim Coach
1-2
0-2
1-0
NO
Sean Payton
26-14
15-10
11-4
NYG
Joe Judge
1-0
0-0
1-0
NYG
Pat Shurmur
1-0
0-0
1-0
NYG
Ben McAdoo
4-1
0-0
4-1
NYG
Tom Coughlin
17-12
12-5
5-7
NYJ
Adam Gase
1-2
0-1
1-1
NYJ
Todd Bowles
2-3
2-2
0-1
NYJ
Rex Ryan
5-9
2-4
3-5
NYJ
Eric Mangini
2-6
0-4
2-2
OAK
Jack Del Rio
2-4
2-2
0-2
OAK
Tony Sparano
0-1
0-0
0-1
OAK
Dennis Allen
2-1
0-0
2-1
OAK
Hue Jackson
1-0
0-0
1-0
OAK
Tom Cable
2-1
0-0
2-1
OAK
Lane Kiffin
2-1
0-0
2-1
PHI
Nick Sirianni
1-0
1-0
0-0
PHI
Doug Pederson
6-8
2-5
4-3
PHI
Pat Shurmur
1-0
0-0
1-0
PHI
Chip Kelly
5-5
2-4
3-1
PHI
Andy Reid
20-17
15-13
5-4
PIT
Mike Tomlin
24-19
14-12
10-7
SD
Mike McCoy
4-2
0-0
4-2
SD
Norv Turner
15-7
13-3
2-4
SEA
Pete Carroll
20-10
11-8
9-2
SEA
Jim Mora Jr.
0-1
0-0
0-1
SEA
Mike Holmgren
10-7
5-5
5-2
SF
Kyle Shanahan
8-3
4-2
4-1
SF
Chip Kelly
0-2
0-1
0-1
SF
Jim Harbaugh
6-3
5-2
1-1
SF
Mike Singletary
7-0
4-0
3-0
SF
Mike Nolan
2-0
0-0
2-0
LA
Jeff Fisher
2-3
0-1
2-2
STL
Steve Spagnuolo
1-2
1-1
0-1
STL
Scott Linehan
2-3
0-1
2-2
TB
Bruce Arians
5-1
2-1
3-0
TB
Dirk Koetter
0-1
0-1
0-0
TB
Lovie Smith
2-3
0-0
2-3
TB
Greg Schiano
2-1
0-0
2-1
TB
Raheem Morris
1-1
1-0
0-1
TB
Jon Gruden
12-11
11-5
1-6
TEN
Mike Vrabel
5-5
4-1
1-4
TEN
Mike Mularkey
4-1
3-0
1-1
TEN
Ken Whisenhunt
1-1
0-0
1-1
TEN
Mike Munchak
2-3
1-1
1-2
TEN
Jeff Fisher
9-12
3-5
6-7
WAS
Ron Rivera
1-1
0-1
1-0
WAS
Jay Gruden
7-3
1-0
6-3
WAS
Mike Shanahan
2-4
0-1
2-3
WAS
Jim Zorn
1-3
0-2
1-1
Total Record
604-552
309-280
295-272



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