I love Malik Nabers. I think there’s a good chance he’s the WR1 at this time next year. He sees tons of targets and has no competition for them. Even though Russell Wilson isn’t very good, he’ll be a big upgrade over what Nabers had to work with at the end of the 2024 season, which was Drew Lock and Tommy DeVito. Nabers had the fourth-most unrealized air yards as a rookie, so that’ll improve with upgraded quarterback play. Nabers’ toe injury scares me, but he’s had that problem since college, and has been dominant at every opportunity.

Christian McCaffrey has great upside based on what he’s accomplished in the past, but he’s now an older running back with an extensive injury history. I always say that you can’t win your fantasy drafts in the first couple of rounds because half the league will draft a stud, but you can lose you fantasy draft by selecting a bust. No one in the first round has greater bust potential than McCaffrey, who hasn’t been able to finish three of his previous five seasons. McCaffrey, who has chronic Achillies tendonitis, has missed 43 percent of his games since 2020.

A.J. Brown was a first-round pick last year. Despite nothing changing, Brown is now being chosen in the middle of the second round. Brown has great upside and will continue to be the No. 1 receiver in an explosive offense, so he’s a bargain at ADP 2.06.

Tyreek Hill is now in his 30s, and he looked like he lost a step last year. Miami also doesn’t have the offensive line to support his downfield targets. Tua Tagovailoa’s poor health is an issue as well. Oh, and if that wasn’t enough, Hill could be thrown in jail at some point soon.

Omarion Hampton’s ADP has risen a whole round recently, but for good reason. Najee Harris’ vision has been compromised by a fireworks accident, so it seems as though Hampton will control the entire backfield. Playing in a great offense, Hampton will have tons of great opportunities.

Here’s another old receiver who relies on speed. Mike Evans is 32 and has a history of hamstring issues. There’s a good chance Emeka Ebguka takes over as the No. 1 receiver in Tampa Bay this year.

Round 4 is a complete dead zone. I don’t like any running backs or receivers chosen in this round, so I usually find myself targeting a quarterback or George Kittle unless I’m lucky enough to land a third-round player in this range. If I had to pick a quarterback or Kittle that I want more than anyone else, it’s Jayden Daniels, who will likely expand upon his rookie campaign with Laremy Tunsil and Deebo Samuel enhancing his supporting cast.

Xavier Worthy is the No. 2 receiver on an offense that hasn’t been very explosive in years. Worthy would be a fine option if Rashee Rice were sidelined for most of the year again, but his return complicates matters, even with the looming suspension.

I think people forgot how great Calvin Ridley can be because of last year’s results where he was playing with Will Levis and Mason Rudolph. Ridley led the NFL in unrealized air yards in 2024, which basically means that he would’ve enjoyed a massive season with improved quarterbacking. Cam Ward is unproven, but will almost certainly be a massive upgrade over Levis and Rudolph. Ridley’s situation reminds me of Terry McLaurin’s heading into 2024, so Ridley could enjoy the type of season McLaurin just had.

Tetairoa McMillan was a top-10 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but he wouldn’t have been chosen in the top 10 in a normal year. Heck, he wouldn’t have even been a top-10 pick this year had meddlesome owner Axe Tepper not gotten involved with the decision-making once again. McMillan admittedly doesn’t love football, so will he put forth the work effort to be a great pro? It seems like he has “bust” written all over him.

I love both Bears players in this round- Rome Odunze, D’Andre Swift – but I’ll go with the higher upside. Some of Charlie Campbell’s team sources thought so highly of Odunze that they graded him very closely with Marvin Harrison Jr. and Malik Nabers. Second-year receivers typically get the greatest bump, and I think we’re going to see that with Odunze, thanks to Caleb Williams’ experience, Keenan Allen’s departure, Ben Johnson’s hiring, and the offensive line’s improvement. There’s a good chance Odunze overtakes D.J. Moore as the No. 1 receiver on Chicago’s roster.

Stefon Diggs in the sixth round seems rather horrible. Diggs is a 31-year-old receiver coming off a torn ACL, and he’ll be playing in a run-first offense for the first time in his career. I wouldn’t even draft him in the ninth round.

Emeka Egbuka could be a potential league winner. He’s an incredibly talented rookie receiver who appears to be in a crowded situation. This is deceiving, however. Chris Godwin is already iffy to play in Week 1, so he may not be able to be on the field very much this season. Egbuka will be ahead of Jalen McMillan as well. And Mike Evans is 32, so he could break down at any moment.

Travis Kelce is useless at this stage of his career. He tends to save himself for the playoffs, and yet he barely did anything in the playoffs last year. Kelce and Rashee Rice operate in the same area on the field, so Kelce could be even less productive than he was in 2024.

Round 8 isn’t great now that Emeka Egbuka and Ricky Pearsall have moved into Round 7. Josh Downs isn’t bad though. He had a high ankle sprain entering 2024, and yet he had a strong season despite the injury and the bad quarterbacking. The Colts will have a better passing attack this year.

Chris Godwin is a truly awful pick in the eighth round. There’s already pessimism about him being available for Week 1, and yet it’s only early July. This reminds me so much of the Christian McCaffrey situation last year. It wouldn’t be shocking at all to see Godwin play only a handful of games this year.

Could Tyler Warren repeat what Brock Bowers did last year? Warren is ultra athletic and will be a dominant force over the middle of the field for the Colts. Warren will also steal some touchdowns via the tush push.

Travis Etienne has had his chance to prove himself in the NFL. He has failed at every opportunity. He was even benched in favor of Tank Bigsby last year. So, why is he going in the ninth round when Jacksonville added another running back?

There’s a good chance Kenneth Walker is dealt at the trade deadline. Walker is in his contract year, and the Seahawks are not going to be a good team. If I’m right, Zach Charbonnet could be a monster during the second half of the season.

I referenced Cam Skattebo a bit earlier. Everyone remembers Skattebo’s great game versus Texas in the college football playoff, which is causing him to be severely overdrafted. Skattebo should be a 14th-round pick, as he’s currently third in the pecking order of a three-man committee.

Tucker Kraft is the best tight end value in fantasy this year. He should be going in the ninth or perhaps even the eighth round instead of the 11th. He had some big performances last year, and Matthew Golden’s presence will open things up for him over the middle of the field.

Marvin Mims is being overdrafted because he had two great games to close out 2024. However, Sean Payton is infatuated with size from his receivers, which is why he used a third-round pick on Pat Bryant. It’s likely that Mims will be relegated to special teams this year with Bryant or Troy Franklin being an upgrade across from Courtland Sutton.

Isaac Guerendo is another potential league winner. Christian McCaffrey has failed to finish three of his previous five seasons. Guerendo could post massive numbers if McCaffrey gets hurt again.

It’s puzzling that Luther Burden is going so early. The Bears have such a crowded receiver group, and Burden has been injured. Ben Johnson has even expressed frustration with Burden’s poor health.