2025 NFL Picks – Week 14: Titans at Browns

The Matchup. Edge: Browns.

HATE MAIL: We’re going to post hate mail here this year. Here’s something from Twitter:

I love when people post hate for a pick of mine before the result is complete because I can make them look dumb when it wins.

This Buster Skrine fellow continued to expose his mom as a Tylenol user:

Imagine betting the Panthers in that game. No wonder he’s so angry.

This is from Black Friday:

So, what am I supposed to do, not bet something lucrative if another wager of mine is losing? This guy’s mom took extra-strength Tylenol.

Speaking of people whose moms abused Tylenol, this guy needs Web sites to be pretty because he doesn’t understand content:

If I had to guess, this guy has only read books with colorful pictures in them.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: The Browns suffered horrible special teams/fumble luck against the 49ers, but if that wasn’t enough, they also sustained multiple injuries on both side of the front. Beginning with the offense, the Browns lost Ethan Pocic and Jack Conklin to various injuries.

The 49ers couldn’t fully take advantage of these injuries because they have no pass rush. The Titans don’t either, but at least they have Jeffery Simmons to disrupt the interior and cause some havoc for Shedeur Sanders, who has a habit of drifting back several yards in the pocket. Luckily for Sanders, Tennessee’s weak secondary won’t be able to clamp down on his targets.

Quinshon Judkins will be hurt by the absences of Pocic and Conklin as well. But not necessarily in this matchup. The Titans are better against the run than the pass, but only by default. Their ground defense ranks 22nd in the NFL.

TENNESSEE OFFENSE: As for the Cleveland injuries on this side of the ball, Maliek Collins and Shelby Harris both exited the 49ers game. This hurt more than the offensive line injuries because the Browns suddenly had diminished play on the defensive front and had issues clamping down on the 49ers in the red zone.

The Browns still have Myles Garrett, and he’ll present a nightmare for Cam Ward. It’s unclear why Ward ran only once last week after scrambling so often in the prior game. If Ward continues his aspiration to be a pocket passer, he’ll be crunched by Garrett, who continues to inch closer to the all-time single-season sack record.

Ward’s only hope will be to feed the ball to his running backs. The Browns are eighth against the run, but Harris’ absence will adversely affect Cleveland’s ability to clamp down on opposing backs.

RECAP: I can’t imagine betting this game. I have no desire to lay four points with an offensively challenged team with so many injuries. But what’s the alternative? Backing the Titans, who are 7-26 against the spread since Week 1 of last year? No thanks!

If I had to choose a side, I’d go with the Browns. Despite their injuries, they’re still a lot better than the Titans, who are a complete dumpster fire despite their three recent covers. Two of those covers involved a punt return touchdown by Chimere Dike, so unless that happens again, Cleveland will have a decent chance of beating the number.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Browns didn’t have Jack Conklin or Wyatt Teller in practice Wednesday. I’d like to fade the Browns, but I want to fade the Titans more. I’m not going to be betting this game.

SATURDAY NOTES: Evan made a strong argument for the Browns during our Thursday livestream:

However, the Browns have so many injuries. Jack Conklin and Wyatt Teller are out. Maliek Collins was put on IR. Mason Graham was downgraded to DNP on Friday. Devin Bush barely practiced. I still think the Browns will cover because the Titans are beyond atrocious, but such an injury-ravaged team could struggle to cover more than a field goal.

FINAL THOUGHTS: Believe it or not, but the sharps bet the Titans at +4.5 and +4. They haven’t touched this game at +3.5. The best line for the Browns now is -3.5 +102 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Browns.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Browns -4.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Browns -3.5.

Computer Model: Browns -6.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

More and more money on the Browns.

Percentage of money on Cleveland: 75% (75,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Kevin Stefanski is 15-24 ATS as a favorite.

Opening Line: Browns -3.5.

Opening Total: 34.5.

Weather: Likely snow, 34 degrees. Mild wind, 10 mph.