2025 NFL Picks – Week 10: Other Games
NFL Picks Week 10 – Early Games
NFL Picks Week 10 – Late Games
New England Patriots (7-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2)
Line: Buccaneers by 3. Total: 48.5.
Sunday, Nov. 9, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: None.
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NEW ENGLAND OFFENSE: Drake Maye continues to impress. His potential MVP season now sees him with a 7-2 record, as he defeated another tough defense. He’s knocked off two top-10 defenses in consecutive weeks, vanquishing the Browns and Falcons.
Maye will face another difficult test this week. The Buccaneers logged the second-most pressures in the NFL heading into Week 9, trailing only the Broncos. Not only that; Tampa Bay has been excellent at defending mobile quarterbacks over the years, so Todd Bowles’ defense should have an answer for Maye’s scrambles. Maye also won’t be able to depend on his rushing attack to aid him, given how great the Buccaneers are at defending the run.
Another problem for Maye is that he may not have his favorite weapon, Kayshon Boutte, because the young receiver got banged up last week. Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry will still be available, but the depth concerning Maye’s weapons won’t be optimal.
TAMPA BAY OFFENSE: Baker Mayfield won’t feel very sorry for Maye. Mayfield, of course, has operated most of this season with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin sidelined. We projected all along that Godwin would return in November, so he could be available for this game. Still, he may not be 100 percent, so Mayfield will have to continue to rely on Emeka Egbuka.
Egbuka will look to pick up where Drake London left off last week. London had a monster game versus the Patriots, and Egbuka is talented enough to duplicate what London was able to produce. The question is if Mayfield will have ample time to find Egbuka, given that the Patriots tend to generate decent pressure on the quarterback.
Like the Buccaneers, the Patriots are also stout against the run. There’s a chance Bucky Irving will return this week, but even if he does, he won’t find much running room against New England’s stalwart front.
RECAP: I don’t really see much of an edge in this game. These teams are mostly evenly matched. I’d give the Patriots a slight edge, but it must be brought up that they haven’t beaten top competition this year outside of ther win against the Bills, who then went on to the Falcons. The Buccaneers also haven’t defeated top competition. However, they’ve had the luxury of a week off, so perhaps that will help in this matchup.
This is the toughest game of the week to handicap. I certainly won’t be betting it. It must be noted that the sharps have been betting Tampa Bay early in the week, so perhaps that’s a sign that the host is the right side.
THURSDAY THOUGHTS: Andy Iskoe said on our show that he loves the Buccaneers, citing the Patriots’ poor schedule so far:
SATURDAY NOTES: The good news for the Buccaneers is that they may get Luke Goedeke back from injury. The bad news is that Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, and Haason Reddick aren’t ready despite the bye. The Patriots won’t have Rhamondre Stevenson or Kayshon Boutte, but they should be fine. I’d pick them if I had to bet a side.
FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps haven’t touched this game, which isn’t a surprise. If I were betting this game, I’d pay up for the +3 -122 available at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.
The Motivation. Edge: None.
No edge found.
The Spread. Edge: None.
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Pick.
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Buccaneers -2.5.
Computer Model: Patriots -1.
The Vegas. Edge: None.
Slight lean on the Patriots.
Percentage of money on New England: 60% (111,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
Patriots +3 -122 (0 Units)
Over 48.5 (0 Units)
2025 NFL Picks – Week 10: Other Games
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On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results
