The Matchup. Edge: Colts.

My overrated-underrated feature was posted in this spot the past couple of years. I thought it would be better if there was less clutter on this page, so I set up a new NFL Overrated and Underrated Teams page that will be updated every Monday. I have overrated and underrated teams listed there, and some may shock you!

BOYCOTT GAME: I will be boycotting this game, and I urge all of you to do the same. When the NFL had one game in Europe and played it at 1 p.m. Eastern, I was fine with it. Two games began pushing it, and then three games were unacceptable. Now, there are seven European games, and they all begin at 6:30 a.m. on the West Coast, which absolutely screws everyone living in that time zone. Football needs to be in America; not Europe. The NFL needs to go back to just one European game. Tell Roger Goodell to f**k off and buy this Make Football American Again t-shirt:

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: The Colts entered Week 9 with the highest-scoring offense in the NFL, but following an impressive opening drive, they couldn’t generate anything. The Steelers clamped down on the Colts, who scored only 20 points.

The Falcons are also ranked highly on the defensive side of the ball, coming in at seventh in EPA. However, there’s reason to believe that the Colts will have more success scoring this week. For one, it’s possible that they were simply caught looking ahead to playing overseas, and given how bad the Steelers looked on national TV the prior week, the Colts didn’t take them seriously. Two, the Falcons are not good against the run. We saw the Dolphins gash them two weeks ago. Atlanta is just 23rd versus the rush.

Daniel Jones won’t have as much success throwing the ball as Jonathan Taylor will have running it. The Falcons generate a strong pass rush and cover well. However, Jones will be able to feed off Taylor’s great runs in favorable down-and-distance situations. He’ll also be able to scramble for some yardage.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: The Colts are not known as a team that generates lots of heat on opposing quarterbacks, so most people might be surprised that they ranked third in pressures heading into Week 9. They’ve needed to generate lots of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, given the injuries they have in the secondary.

Michael Penix Jr. can’t be happy to hear that the Colts are able to get after the quarterback frequently. This is because the Falcons are among the worst 10 teams at surrendering pressure in the NFL. Penix isn’t great at avoiding the pass rush right now, which might explain why the Falcons averaged 5.0 or worse yards per play in the two games this year against teams currently in the top 10 of pressure rate.

Making matters worse for the Falcons, it’s apparent that Bijan Robinson won’t be able to run very well in this matchup. The Colts have the interior defensive line personnel to handle opposing rushing attacks favorably, so Robinson will have to do a lot of his work through the air.

RECAP: My rule for international games is the same one as the one I have for Thursday games: Back the superior team as long as they’re focused. The reason for this is that the inferior team won’t have the adequate preparation time it needs to overcome a difficult opponent.

I’m confident in saying that the Colts are better than the Falcons. However, they’re not that far apart for Indianapolis to be favored by 5.5 points on a neutral field. I made this line Indianapolis -3.5.

However, this isn’t a normal game. It’s difficult to quantify how much the international effect favors the better team, and really, we don’t even know if it’ll benefit the Colts because some of the players and coaches may have more issues with jetlag than their counterparts. These are just things we don’t know.

Given the matchup and the talent between these teams, I’m going to side with the Colts. However, I have no desire to bet one of these international bulls**t games. Boycott!

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The boycott will continue. I really have no interest in betting this game. Tweet at @nflcommish and tell him how stupid he is for scheduling these horrible games.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Colts won’t have DeForest Buckner or Samson Ebukam, so their pass rush will be weaker than usual. This has to sound good to the Falcons, who won’t have one of their guards, Matthew Bergeron. I still have no interest in betting this international exhibition game.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps haven’t touched this game. Perhaps they’re also tired from these stupid international exhibition games. The best line is -6 -108 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Falcons.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Colts -3.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -7.

Computer Model: Colts -3.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Colts.

Decent action on the Colts.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 67% (159,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

Opening Line: Colts -6.5.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 48 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Colts.

My overrated-underrated feature was posted in this spot the past couple of years. I thought it would be better if there was less clutter on this page, so I set up a new NFL Overrated and Underrated Teams page that will be updated every Monday. I have overrated and underrated teams listed there, and some may shock you!

BOYCOTT GAME: I will be boycotting this game, and I urge all of you to do the same. When the NFL had one game in Europe and played it at 1 p.m. Eastern, I was fine with it. Two games began pushing it, and then three games were unacceptable. Now, there are seven European games, and they all begin at 6:30 a.m. on the West Coast, which absolutely screws everyone living in that time zone. Football needs to be in America; not Europe. The NFL needs to go back to just one European game. Tell Roger Goodell to f**k off and buy this Make Football American Again t-shirt:

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: The Colts entered Week 9 with the highest-scoring offense in the NFL, but following an impressive opening drive, they couldn’t generate anything. The Steelers clamped down on the Colts, who scored only 20 points.

The Falcons are also ranked highly on the defensive side of the ball, coming in at seventh in EPA. However, there’s reason to believe that the Colts will have more success scoring this week. For one, it’s possible that they were simply caught looking ahead to playing overseas, and given how bad the Steelers looked on national TV the prior week, the Colts didn’t take them seriously. Two, the Falcons are not good against the run. We saw the Dolphins gash them two weeks ago. Atlanta is just 23rd versus the rush.

Daniel Jones won’t have as much success throwing the ball as Jonathan Taylor will have running it. The Falcons generate a strong pass rush and cover well. However, Jones will be able to feed off Taylor’s great runs in favorable down-and-distance situations. He’ll also be able to scramble for some yardage.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: The Colts are not known as a team that generates lots of heat on opposing quarterbacks, so most people might be surprised that they ranked third in pressures heading into Week 9. They’ve needed to generate lots of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, given the injuries they have in the secondary.

Michael Penix Jr. can’t be happy to hear that the Colts are able to get after the quarterback frequently. This is because the Falcons are among the worst 10 teams at surrendering pressure in the NFL. Penix isn’t great at avoiding the pass rush right now, which might explain why the Falcons averaged 5.0 or worse yards per play in the two games this year against teams currently in the top 10 of pressure rate.

Making matters worse for the Falcons, it’s apparent that Bijan Robinson won’t be able to run very well in this matchup. The Colts have the interior defensive line personnel to handle opposing rushing attacks favorably, so Robinson will have to do a lot of his work through the air.

RECAP: My rule for international games is the same one as the one I have for Thursday games: Back the superior team as long as they’re focused. The reason for this is that the inferior team won’t have the adequate preparation time it needs to overcome a difficult opponent.

I’m confident in saying that the Colts are better than the Falcons. However, they’re not that far apart for Indianapolis to be favored by 5.5 points on a neutral field. I made this line Indianapolis -3.5.

However, this isn’t a normal game. It’s difficult to quantify how much the international effect favors the better team, and really, we don’t even know if it’ll benefit the Colts because some of the players and coaches may have more issues with jetlag than their counterparts. These are just things we don’t know.

Given the matchup and the talent between these teams, I’m going to side with the Colts. However, I have no desire to bet one of these international bulls**t games. Boycott!

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The boycott will continue. I really have no interest in betting this game. Tweet at @nflcommish and tell him how stupid he is for scheduling these horrible games.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Colts won’t have DeForest Buckner or Samson Ebukam, so their pass rush will be weaker than usual. This has to sound good to the Falcons, who won’t have one of their guards, Matthew Bergeron. I still have no interest in betting this international exhibition game.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps haven’t touched this game. Perhaps they’re also tired from these stupid international exhibition games. The best line is -6 -108 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Falcons.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Colts -3.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -7.

Computer Model: Colts -3.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Colts.

Decent action on the Colts.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 67% (159,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

Opening Line: Colts -6.5.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 48 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Colts.

My overrated-underrated feature was posted in this spot the past couple of years. I thought it would be better if there was less clutter on this page, so I set up a new NFL Overrated and Underrated Teams page that will be updated every Monday. I have overrated and underrated teams listed there, and some may shock you!

BOYCOTT GAME: I will be boycotting this game, and I urge all of you to do the same. When the NFL had one game in Europe and played it at 1 p.m. Eastern, I was fine with it. Two games began pushing it, and then three games were unacceptable. Now, there are seven European games, and they all begin at 6:30 a.m. on the West Coast, which absolutely screws everyone living in that time zone. Football needs to be in America; not Europe. The NFL needs to go back to just one European game. Tell Roger Goodell to f**k off and buy this Make Football American Again t-shirt:

INDIANAPOLIS OFFENSE: The Colts entered Week 9 with the highest-scoring offense in the NFL, but following an impressive opening drive, they couldn’t generate anything. The Steelers clamped down on the Colts, who scored only 20 points.

The Falcons are also ranked highly on the defensive side of the ball, coming in at seventh in EPA. However, there’s reason to believe that the Colts will have more success scoring this week. For one, it’s possible that they were simply caught looking ahead to playing overseas, and given how bad the Steelers looked on national TV the prior week, the Colts didn’t take them seriously. Two, the Falcons are not good against the run. We saw the Dolphins gash them two weeks ago. Atlanta is just 23rd versus the rush.

Daniel Jones won’t have as much success throwing the ball as Jonathan Taylor will have running it. The Falcons generate a strong pass rush and cover well. However, Jones will be able to feed off Taylor’s great runs in favorable down-and-distance situations. He’ll also be able to scramble for some yardage.

ATLANTA OFFENSE: The Colts are not known as a team that generates lots of heat on opposing quarterbacks, so most people might be surprised that they ranked third in pressures heading into Week 9. They’ve needed to generate lots of pressure on opposing quarterbacks, given the injuries they have in the secondary.

Michael Penix Jr. can’t be happy to hear that the Colts are able to get after the quarterback frequently. This is because the Falcons are among the worst 10 teams at surrendering pressure in the NFL. Penix isn’t great at avoiding the pass rush right now, which might explain why the Falcons averaged 5.0 or worse yards per play in the two games this year against teams currently in the top 10 of pressure rate.

Making matters worse for the Falcons, it’s apparent that Bijan Robinson won’t be able to run very well in this matchup. The Colts have the interior defensive line personnel to handle opposing rushing attacks favorably, so Robinson will have to do a lot of his work through the air.

RECAP: My rule for international games is the same one as the one I have for Thursday games: Back the superior team as long as they’re focused. The reason for this is that the inferior team won’t have the adequate preparation time it needs to overcome a difficult opponent.

I’m confident in saying that the Colts are better than the Falcons. However, they’re not that far apart for Indianapolis to be favored by 5.5 points on a neutral field. I made this line Indianapolis -3.5.

However, this isn’t a normal game. It’s difficult to quantify how much the international effect favors the better team, and really, we don’t even know if it’ll benefit the Colts because some of the players and coaches may have more issues with jetlag than their counterparts. These are just things we don’t know.

Given the matchup and the talent between these teams, I’m going to side with the Colts. However, I have no desire to bet one of these international bulls**t games. Boycott!

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The boycott will continue. I really have no interest in betting this game. Tweet at @nflcommish and tell him how stupid he is for scheduling these horrible games.

SATURDAY NOTES: The Colts won’t have DeForest Buckner or Samson Ebukam, so their pass rush will be weaker than usual. This has to sound good to the Falcons, who won’t have one of their guards, Matthew Bergeron. I still have no interest in betting this international exhibition game.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The sharps haven’t touched this game. Perhaps they’re also tired from these stupid international exhibition games. The best line is -6 -108 at Bookmaker. You can Bet on WalterFootball’s favorite sportsbook, Bookmaker by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: Falcons.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Colts -3.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -7.

Computer Model: Colts -3.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Colts.

Decent action on the Colts.

Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 67% (159,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Colts.

Opening Line: Colts -6.5.

Opening Total: 48.5.

Weather: Cloudy, 48 degrees. Light wind.