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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Line: Lions -3 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Packers | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Power rank ▶ | #13 |
| 4-2 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 3-2 |
| 2-4 | Against the spread ▶ | 2-3 |
| 0-3on the road | ATS on the road / at home ▶ | 1-1at home |
| 1-1as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog even | 2-2as favorite |
| -1.2pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | -0.2pts per game |
| +2 | Point differential ▶ | +16 |
| 20.0avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 18.2avg. opp. rank |
| #8 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #18 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Packers offense | Lions defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | EPA per play ◀ | #31 |
| #12 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #29 |
| #29 | Rush EPA ▶ | #25 |
| #23 | Success rate ◀ | #30 |
| #2330.6% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #1430.4% of dropbacks |
| Packers defense | Lions offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | EPA per play ▶ | #3 |
| #2 | Dropback EPA even | #2 |
| #26 | Rush EPA ▶ | #5 |
| #24 | Success rate ▶ | #4 |
| #2128.4% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #926.1% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Green Bay PackersVIKINGS 39, Packers 22 (MIN -1.5). The Vikings couldn't get anything going for most of the afternoon with Carson Wentz, while the Packers hit numerous big plays. Everything changed in the fourth quarter. The Vikings were bailed out by numerous defensive penalties on route to a touchdown and then they pressured Jordan Love heavily. 419-239 GB, 6.3-3.9 GB
Packers 20, JETS 17 (NYJ +3.5). The Jets were up 17-3 with their defense smothering Jordan Love, but Jordan Love led a comeback with some clutch plays by Jordan Love and increased pressure from Lukas Van Ness. The Jets helped with a personal foul penalty in overtime. 285-199 NYJ, 4.0-4.0 tie
Falcons 35, PACKERS 14 (GB -4.5). The Packers couldn't pass protect or run the ball, and they had severe issues stopping Bijan Robinson. The Packers went up 7-0 but allowed 27 consecutive points after that. 498-328 ATL, 7.5-5.2 ATL
Packers 17, BUCCANEERS 14 (TB +3.5). The Packers squandered numerous opportunities in the red zone with turnovers, and they were given those scoring chances because Jalon Daniels gave them possessions on two interceptions. 283-275 GB, 5.1-4.5 GB
PACKERS 31, Bears 7 (GB +1.5). Jordan Love completed a million Hail Marys in this game despite getting nothing from his running game, while Tyson Bagent was so bad that he was benched for Case Keenum. 428-246 GB, 7.3-3.6 GB
PACKERS 23, Cowboys 13 (GB -1). The Packers converted all of their third-and-longs, while the Cowboys managed only seven points until the final minute because their receivers inexplicably couldn't get open. Dallas committed two turnovers just outside the red zone. 318-303 GB, 4.5-4.3 GB
Detroit LionsLIONS 31, Saints 30 (DET -7). The Lions scored early and the Saints got off to a slow start, but the switch flipped on for Tyler Shough in the second half. The Lions were sluggish for a while, allowing the Saints to come back. Detroit went down the field in overtime, and the Saints did the same, but missed on the two-point conversion. 469-369 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO
BILLS 41, Lions 31 (BUF -5.5). The Lions repeatedly shot themselves in the foot with penalties, while the offensive line couldn't block because three linemen were sidelined. The Lions were down 27-7 and got most of their yardage in garbage time. 446-355 BUF, 6.5-5.7 BUF
LIONS 31, Jets 24 (DET -6.5). This game was close for a while, but the Jets couldn't convert some red zone tries. The Lions went up 24-10, but the Jets stormed back with some great plays by Garrett Wilson and a Jahmyr Gibbs stuff. The Lions scored quickly after that with Isaac TeSlaa and Gibbs hitting big plays, and then Wilson got hurt on the ensuing drive before Geno Smith fumbled to end the game. 381-335 DET, 6.0-5.5 NYJ
PANTHERS 32, Lions 26 (CAR +3.5). Bryce Young was on fire, and Tetairoa McMillan couldn't be stopped. The Panthers were up two touchdowns to begin the fourth quarter before a garbage-time Detroit score. 452-445 DET, 6.6-6.2 DET
Lions 45, CARDINALS 21 (ARZ +5.5). The Cardinals went up early with a touchdown drive and the Lions had two scoreless possessions. After that, Detroit couldn't stop scoring. The Cardinals couldn't keep up and got two touchdowns in garbage time. 412-327 DET, 6.3-4.6 DET
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · Green Bay Packers team page · Detroit Lions team page
