December 1, 2025
Premium Users get access to ad-free content on Debacled | Check-In.

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14, 2025 – Early Games

Walt011 mins
Lamar Jackson
2024 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2023): 143-141-10 (-$6,860)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Dec. X, 2:00 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.


Go to Week 14 NFL Picks – Late Games




Individual Game Pages

Cowboys at Lions  |  Redskins at Vikings  |  Dolphins at Jets  |  Titans at Browns  |  Steelers at Ravens  |  Seahawks at Falcons  |  Colts at Jaguars  |  Saints at Buccaneers  |  Bengals at Bills  |  Broncos at Raiders  |  Bears at Packers  |  Rams at Cardinals  |  Texans at Chiefs  |  Eagles at Chargers  | 

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 14 Early Games


Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) at Detroit Lions (7-5)
Line: Lions by 3. Total: 53.5.
Thursday, Dec. 4, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .


The Motivation. Edge: .


The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: .

Computer Model: .


The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


The Trends. Edge: Lions.

  • Dan Campbell is 14-5 ATS after a loss since his second season.
  • Dan Campbell is 7-1 ATS after losing as a favorite.
  • Opening Line: Lions -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 53.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Washington Redskins (3-9) at Minnesota Vikings (4-8)
    Line: Redskins by 1.5. Total: 41.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Vikings -2.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Vikings are 50-42 ATS at home since 2014 (19-27 ATS since 2020).
  • Opening Line: Vikings -2.5.
  • Opening Total: .
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Miami Dolphins (5-7) at New York Jets (3-9)
    Line: Dolphins by 2.5. Total: 41.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Dolphins -3.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Dolphins.

  • History: Dolphins have won 13 of the last 16 meetings.
  • Opening Line: Dolphins -3.
  • Opening Total: 41.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Tennessee Titans (1-11) at Cleveland Browns (3-9)
    Line: Browns by 3.5. Total: 33.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Browns -3.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Titans.

  • Kevin Stefanski is 15-24 ATS as a favorite.
  • Opening Line: Browns -3.5.
  • Opening Total: 34.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6) at Baltimore Ravens (6-6)
    Line: Ravens by 6.5. Total: 43.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Ravens -6.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • History: Steelers have won 8 of the last 11 meetings.
  • Mike Tomlin is 65-38 ATS as an underdog.
  • John Harbaugh is 15-9 ATS following a loss of 10+.
  • Opening Line: Ravens -6.5.
  • Opening Total: 47.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Seattle Seahawks (9-3) at Atlanta Falcons (4-8)
    Line: Seahawks by 7.5. Total: 43.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -7.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: None.

  • Mike Macdonald is 4-0 ATS in 1 p.m. East Coast games.
  • Raheem Morris is 7-1 ATS after losing as a favorite.
  • Opening Line: Seahawk -7.5.
  • Opening Total: 43.5.
  • Weather: Dome.




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Indianapolis Colts (8-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)
    Line: Colts by 1.5. Total: 47.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -2.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Jaguars.

  • History: Home Team has won 14 of the last 15 meetings.
  • Jaguars are 18-31 ATS as home favorites since 2008. ???
  • Opening Line: Colts -1.5.
  • Opening Total: 47.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    New Orleans Saints (3-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5)
    Line: Buccaneers by 8.5. Total: 43.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: Buccaneers -8.5.

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Saints.

  • History: Buccaneers have won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Road Team is 150-103 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.
  • Buccaneers are 46-79 ATS at home in the previous 124 instances.
  • Opening Line: Buccaneers -8.5.
  • Opening Total: 42.5.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:



    Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) at Buffalo Bills (8-4)
    Line: Bills by 5.5. Total: 51.5.
    Sunday, Dec. 7, 1:00 PM

    The Matchup. Edge: .


    The Motivation. Edge: .


    The Spread. Edge: .

    WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

    Westgate Advance Point Spread: .

    Computer Model: .


    The Vegas. Edge: None.

    Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)


    The Trends. Edge: Bengals.

  • Joe Burrow is 45-23 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (5-6 ATS otherwise).
  • Zac Taylor is 11-5 ATS in his second-consecutive road game.
  • Opening Line: Bills -5.5.
  • Opening Total: 52.
  • Weather: .




    • Week 14 NFL Pick:




    Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
    A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
    (Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

    NFL Picks Week 14 – Late Games

    Individual Game Pages

    Cowboys at Lions  |  Redskins at Vikings  |  Dolphins at Jets  |  Titans at Browns  |  Steelers at Ravens  |  Seahawks at Falcons  |  Colts at Jaguars  |  Saints at Buccaneers  |  Bengals at Bills  |  Broncos at Raiders  |  Bears at Packers  |  Rams at Cardinals  |  Texans at Chiefs  |  Eagles at Chargers  | 


    Comments on the 2025 NFL Season’s Games and Picks


    NFL Picks - Sept. 11


    Fantasy Football Rankings - Sept. 7


    2024 NFL Mock Draft - July 25


    NFL Power Rankings - June 2





    Review Walt’s Past Record Picking Games

    On the bottom half of our NFL Weekly Lander page is the history of picks Walt maintains. Walt’s Results

    Related News