The Matchup. Edge: Browns.

VEGAS UPDATE: I’ll be posting how the Vegas sportsbooks have done the previous week in this spot. The highest-bet sides were: 34-42 in 2020, 48-37 in 2021, 32-35-1 in 2022, 31-27 ATS in 2023, and 49-45 in 2024. The public was 10-24 heading into Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets last week:

Chargers -9.5

Lions -8.5

Broncos +2.5

Rams -14

Ravens -7.5

Cowboys -3.5

The public went 1-4 in Week 1, 1-3 in Week 2, 0-3 in Week 3, 1-4 in Week 4, 1-3 in Week 5, and 1-3 in Week 6. The public finally had a winning week in Week 7, going 2-1. As for Week 8, the public was an even 3-3. It also went 3-3 in Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets this week:

Bills -9.5

Lions -8.5

Browns +1

Eagles +2.5

All four teams are on the road, with two being favorites and two being underdogs.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Jets have stated that they haven’t determined which quarterback will start for them this week, but it’s difficult to imagine it not being Justin Fields. Prior to the bye, Fields led the Jets to their first victory of the season, so it would send a bad message if he were suddenly benched. Also, Tyrod Taylor dealt with an injury ahead of Week 8, so the Jets can just say that he’s not 100 percent.

Fields was great versus the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as much success against the other Ohio team. I don’t need to tell you that there’s a huge difference between the Cincinnati and Cleveland defenses, especially when the Bengals don’t have Trey Hendrickson, which was the case in the second half of the Jets contest. While the Bengals are a bottom-three defense, the Browns are ranked in the top three. Myles Garrett will terrorize Fields, who will have problems throwing into Cleveland’s secondary.

The Jets won’t be able to run much either. Breece Hall had an explosive performance against the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as many running lanes versus the Browns’ second-ranked rush defense.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: If the Browns even had a mediocre defense, they’d be a shoo-in for the playoffs. That, however, is not the case. The Browns have some big problems on this side of the ball. The tackle play has been pedestrian this year, while Jerry Jeudy has been a huge disappointment after finishing strong in 2024. The biggest problem, of course, is the quarterback play, as Dillon Gabriel is a dink-and-dunk machine who doesn’t threaten defenses whatsoever.

Despite Gabriel starting again, the Browns will have a good chance to move the chains. That would be via Quinshon Judkins, who is the sole bright spot of the offense, aside from the tight end play. Judkins has been terrific since returning from what was perceived to be a sure suspension. He has a great matchup in this game, as he’ll be battling the Jets, who have been horrific against the rush for years. That includes this season, with their 25th ranking against the run.

Also, the Jets have traded two starting cornerbacks, including All-Pro Sauce Gardner, since the last time they took the field. Perhaps Jeudy, who has been a non-factor all year, will do something coming out of the bye.

RECAP: The Browns have the much better defense and slightly superior rushing attack (when factoring the defensive matchup), and yet we’re getting them as an underdog. It may not seem like a great situation to back Gabriel in a near-pick ’em game, but it worked against the Dolphins a few weeks ago. The Browns could treat the Jets similarly.

I like the Browns for a few units once again. In addition to backing the superior squad, we’re also able to fade a horrible team off a win, which is often a very profitable scenario.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Jets are now home underdogs in the wake of their two trades. I already liked the Browns, and now they’re even more appealing because Quinnen Williams won’t be around to rush the passer or help stop the run.

SATURDAY NOTES: Garrett Wilson is the only prominent Jet with an injury designation. He’s questionable, but he practiced fully on Friday, so it would be a surprise if he didn’t play. Of course, the Jets are missing Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, which makes their defense so much worse. The Browns, meanwhile, may not have talented linebacker Carson Schwesinger after he went DNP-DNP-limited this week.

GAME PROPS: This is a recommendation from the chat during Friday’s live stream (it may have been Thursday’s.) I’m betting Jets under 19.5 total points. I’m doing this at BetMGM, which has a 20-percent profit boost for the NFL.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The only piece of injury news is that the Jets will have Garrett Wilson. There was some sharp money on the Browns earlier in the week when they were underdogs. The best line is Browns -2 -108 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Browns.

The Jets are a horrible team coming off a win.

The Spread. Edge: Browns.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Browns -1.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jets -1.5.

Computer Model: Browns -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

The Browns were a public dog. Now they’re a public favorite.

Percentage of money on Cleveland: 57% (82,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Kevin Stefanski is 15-23 ATS as a favorite. ???

Opening Line: Jets -1.5.

Opening Total: 37.5.

Weather: Rain, 61 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Browns.

VEGAS UPDATE: I’ll be posting how the Vegas sportsbooks have done the previous week in this spot. The highest-bet sides were: 34-42 in 2020, 48-37 in 2021, 32-35-1 in 2022, 31-27 ATS in 2023, and 49-45 in 2024. The public was 10-24 heading into Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets last week:

Chargers -9.5

Lions -8.5

Broncos +2.5

Rams -14

Ravens -7.5

Cowboys -3.5

The public went 1-4 in Week 1, 1-3 in Week 2, 0-3 in Week 3, 1-4 in Week 4, 1-3 in Week 5, and 1-3 in Week 6. The public finally had a winning week in Week 7, going 2-1. As for Week 8, the public was an even 3-3. It also went 3-3 in Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets this week:

Bills -9.5

Lions -8.5

Browns +1

Eagles +2.5

All four teams are on the road, with two being favorites and two being underdogs.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Jets have stated that they haven’t determined which quarterback will start for them this week, but it’s difficult to imagine it not being Justin Fields. Prior to the bye, Fields led the Jets to their first victory of the season, so it would send a bad message if he were suddenly benched. Also, Tyrod Taylor dealt with an injury ahead of Week 8, so the Jets can just say that he’s not 100 percent.

Fields was great versus the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as much success against the other Ohio team. I don’t need to tell you that there’s a huge difference between the Cincinnati and Cleveland defenses, especially when the Bengals don’t have Trey Hendrickson, which was the case in the second half of the Jets contest. While the Bengals are a bottom-three defense, the Browns are ranked in the top three. Myles Garrett will terrorize Fields, who will have problems throwing into Cleveland’s secondary.

The Jets won’t be able to run much either. Breece Hall had an explosive performance against the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as many running lanes versus the Browns’ second-ranked rush defense.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: If the Browns even had a mediocre defense, they’d be a shoo-in for the playoffs. That, however, is not the case. The Browns have some big problems on this side of the ball. The tackle play has been pedestrian this year, while Jerry Jeudy has been a huge disappointment after finishing strong in 2024. The biggest problem, of course, is the quarterback play, as Dillon Gabriel is a dink-and-dunk machine who doesn’t threaten defenses whatsoever.

Despite Gabriel starting again, the Browns will have a good chance to move the chains. That would be via Quinshon Judkins, who is the sole bright spot of the offense, aside from the tight end play. Judkins has been terrific since returning from what was perceived to be a sure suspension. He has a great matchup in this game, as he’ll be battling the Jets, who have been horrific against the rush for years. That includes this season, with their 25th ranking against the run.

Also, the Jets have traded two starting cornerbacks, including All-Pro Sauce Gardner, since the last time they took the field. Perhaps Jeudy, who has been a non-factor all year, will do something coming out of the bye.

RECAP: The Browns have the much better defense and slightly superior rushing attack (when factoring the defensive matchup), and yet we’re getting them as an underdog. It may not seem like a great situation to back Gabriel in a near-pick ’em game, but it worked against the Dolphins a few weeks ago. The Browns could treat the Jets similarly.

I like the Browns for a few units once again. In addition to backing the superior squad, we’re also able to fade a horrible team off a win, which is often a very profitable scenario.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Jets are now home underdogs in the wake of their two trades. I already liked the Browns, and now they’re even more appealing because Quinnen Williams won’t be around to rush the passer or help stop the run.

SATURDAY NOTES: Garrett Wilson is the only prominent Jet with an injury designation. He’s questionable, but he practiced fully on Friday, so it would be a surprise if he didn’t play. Of course, the Jets are missing Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, which makes their defense so much worse. The Browns, meanwhile, may not have talented linebacker Carson Schwesinger after he went DNP-DNP-limited this week.

GAME PROPS: This is a recommendation from the chat during Friday’s live stream (it may have been Thursday’s.) I’m betting Jets under 19.5 total points. I’m doing this at BetMGM, which has a 20-percent profit boost for the NFL.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The only piece of injury news is that the Jets will have Garrett Wilson. There was some sharp money on the Browns earlier in the week when they were underdogs. The best line is Browns -2 -108 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Browns.

The Jets are a horrible team coming off a win.

The Spread. Edge: Browns.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Browns -1.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jets -1.5.

Computer Model: Browns -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

The Browns were a public dog. Now they’re a public favorite.

Percentage of money on Cleveland: 57% (82,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Kevin Stefanski is 15-23 ATS as a favorite. ???

Opening Line: Jets -1.5.

Opening Total: 37.5.

Weather: Rain, 61 degrees. Light wind.

The Matchup. Edge: Browns.

VEGAS UPDATE: I’ll be posting how the Vegas sportsbooks have done the previous week in this spot. The highest-bet sides were: 34-42 in 2020, 48-37 in 2021, 32-35-1 in 2022, 31-27 ATS in 2023, and 49-45 in 2024. The public was 10-24 heading into Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets last week:

Chargers -9.5

Lions -8.5

Broncos +2.5

Rams -14

Ravens -7.5

Cowboys -3.5

The public went 1-4 in Week 1, 1-3 in Week 2, 0-3 in Week 3, 1-4 in Week 4, 1-3 in Week 5, and 1-3 in Week 6. The public finally had a winning week in Week 7, going 2-1. As for Week 8, the public was an even 3-3. It also went 3-3 in Week 9.

Here are the teams getting the most bets this week:

Bills -9.5

Lions -8.5

Browns +1

Eagles +2.5

All four teams are on the road, with two being favorites and two being underdogs.

NEW YORK OFFENSE: The Jets have stated that they haven’t determined which quarterback will start for them this week, but it’s difficult to imagine it not being Justin Fields. Prior to the bye, Fields led the Jets to their first victory of the season, so it would send a bad message if he were suddenly benched. Also, Tyrod Taylor dealt with an injury ahead of Week 8, so the Jets can just say that he’s not 100 percent.

Fields was great versus the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as much success against the other Ohio team. I don’t need to tell you that there’s a huge difference between the Cincinnati and Cleveland defenses, especially when the Bengals don’t have Trey Hendrickson, which was the case in the second half of the Jets contest. While the Bengals are a bottom-three defense, the Browns are ranked in the top three. Myles Garrett will terrorize Fields, who will have problems throwing into Cleveland’s secondary.

The Jets won’t be able to run much either. Breece Hall had an explosive performance against the Bengals, but he won’t have nearly as many running lanes versus the Browns’ second-ranked rush defense.

CLEVELAND OFFENSE: If the Browns even had a mediocre defense, they’d be a shoo-in for the playoffs. That, however, is not the case. The Browns have some big problems on this side of the ball. The tackle play has been pedestrian this year, while Jerry Jeudy has been a huge disappointment after finishing strong in 2024. The biggest problem, of course, is the quarterback play, as Dillon Gabriel is a dink-and-dunk machine who doesn’t threaten defenses whatsoever.

Despite Gabriel starting again, the Browns will have a good chance to move the chains. That would be via Quinshon Judkins, who is the sole bright spot of the offense, aside from the tight end play. Judkins has been terrific since returning from what was perceived to be a sure suspension. He has a great matchup in this game, as he’ll be battling the Jets, who have been horrific against the rush for years. That includes this season, with their 25th ranking against the run.

Also, the Jets have traded two starting cornerbacks, including All-Pro Sauce Gardner, since the last time they took the field. Perhaps Jeudy, who has been a non-factor all year, will do something coming out of the bye.

RECAP: The Browns have the much better defense and slightly superior rushing attack (when factoring the defensive matchup), and yet we’re getting them as an underdog. It may not seem like a great situation to back Gabriel in a near-pick ’em game, but it worked against the Dolphins a few weeks ago. The Browns could treat the Jets similarly.

I like the Browns for a few units once again. In addition to backing the superior squad, we’re also able to fade a horrible team off a win, which is often a very profitable scenario.

THURSDAY THOUGHTS: The Jets are now home underdogs in the wake of their two trades. I already liked the Browns, and now they’re even more appealing because Quinnen Williams won’t be around to rush the passer or help stop the run.

SATURDAY NOTES: Garrett Wilson is the only prominent Jet with an injury designation. He’s questionable, but he practiced fully on Friday, so it would be a surprise if he didn’t play. Of course, the Jets are missing Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, which makes their defense so much worse. The Browns, meanwhile, may not have talented linebacker Carson Schwesinger after he went DNP-DNP-limited this week.

GAME PROPS: This is a recommendation from the chat during Friday’s live stream (it may have been Thursday’s.) I’m betting Jets under 19.5 total points. I’m doing this at BetMGM, which has a 20-percent profit boost for the NFL.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The only piece of injury news is that the Jets will have Garrett Wilson. There was some sharp money on the Browns earlier in the week when they were underdogs. The best line is Browns -2 -108 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

The Motivation. Edge: Browns.

The Jets are a horrible team coming off a win.

The Spread. Edge: Browns.

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: Browns -1.5.

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jets -1.5.

Computer Model: Browns -2.5.

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

The Browns were a public dog. Now they’re a public favorite.

Percentage of money on Cleveland: 57% (82,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Browns.

Kevin Stefanski is 15-23 ATS as a favorite. ???

Opening Line: Jets -1.5.

Opening Total: 37.5.

Weather: Rain, 61 degrees. Light wind.