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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 8 matchup
Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Line: Buccaneers -2 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Falcons | Buccaneers | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Power rank ◀ | #23 |
| 3-4 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 2-5 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread even | 3-4 |
| 2-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 1-3at home |
| 3-2as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 0-1as favorite |
| +1.4pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | +3.4pts per game |
| -2 | Point differential ▶ | +11 |
| 14.6avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 17.1avg. opp. rank |
| #11 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #15 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-2, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Falcons offense | Buccaneers defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | EPA per play ▶ | #3 |
| #25 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #3 |
| #5 | Rush EPA even | #5 |
| #14 | Success rate ▶ | #6 |
| #424.4% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀ | #2923.6% of dropbacks |
| Falcons defense | Buccaneers offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | EPA per play ◀ | #28 |
| #9 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #30 |
| #30 | Rush EPA ▶ | #6 |
| #15 | Success rate ◀ | #25 |
| #334.7% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ◀ | #1227.9% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Atlanta FalconsSTEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR
Falcons 35, PACKERS 14 (GB -4.5). The Packers couldn't pass protect or run the ball, and they had severe issues stopping Bijan Robinson. The Packers went up 7-0 but allowed 27 consecutive points after that. 498-328 ATL, 7.5-5.2 ATL
Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL
Ravens 30, FALCONS 23 (ATL -3.5). The Falcons led for most of the game because of Mark Andrews' mistakes, but Tyler Huntley caught fire at the end of the game leading drives to tie at the end of regulation and in overtime to win it. Michael Penix got hurt at the end. 391-367 BAL, 5.7-5.5 ATL
Bears 31, FALCONS 23 (ATL PK). The Bears got out to a 31-7 lead in this game with great Caleb Williams passing and some turnovers forced on Atlanta. The Falcons got garbage time and made this game interesting very late, but Chicago's defense shut the door on Michael Penix Jr. 368-257 CHI, 5.1-5.0 ATL
FALCONS 29, 49ers 20 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons were down 7-0 and 14-9, but Christian McCaffrey got hurt and the 49ers had some turnovers. It looked like San Francisco ran out of gas in the second half. 400-295 SF, 6.2-4.7 SF
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBENGALS 33, Buccaneers 27 (CIN -3.5). The Buccaneers gave this game away with four lost fumbles. They were down big, but made the game interesting. They couldn't get off the field on the final Cincinnati drive, however. 351-282 CIN, 5.6-5.4 CIN
Browns 23, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB -8.5). Baker Mayfield made many terrible throws in this game. One of his few good ones gave the Buccaneers a 16-6 lead, but Tampa Bay couldn't stop the Browns at all late in the game. A 2-and-a-half thunderstorm delayed the inevitable. 313-267 TB, 5.0-4.9 TB
Vikings 23, BUCCANEERS 16 (TB +1). The Buccaneers looked in disarray the entire game. They made many mistakes, including allowing a punt return touchdown and having a hold negate an 87-yard touchdown pass to Chris Godwin. Baker Mayfield got hurt at the end. 243-230 TB, 4.2-3.8 MIN
Packers 17, BUCCANEERS 14 (TB +3.5). The Packers squandered numerous opportunities in the red zone with turnovers, and they were given those scoring chances because Jalon Daniels gave them possessions on two interceptions. 283-275 GB, 5.1-4.5 GB
Buccaneers 24, COWBOYS 16 (DAL -8). The Cowboys put forth no effort in this game. They were lethargic and the Buccaneers played with much more emotion. A chunk of Dallas' yards came in garbage time when it was 24-10. 419-366 TB, 6.7-6.4 DAL
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
Buccaneers 43, PANTHERS 13 (CAR -3). The Buccaneers ran all over the Panthers, who looked like they had one eye on the Packers game on Thursday. Baker Mayfield threw just 11 passes in his return, while Bryce Young had numerous turnovers. 322-266 TB, 5.4-4.9 TB
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 8 matchups · Atlanta Falcons team page · Tampa Bay Buccaneers team page
