2020 NFL Betting Props






These are my 2020 NFL Betting Props. I've done well with these props over the past couple of years. My dollar count for win totals since 2014 is +$2,240. Here's what I'm planning on betting this year (results will be added to the regular-season winnings/losses on the NFL Picks page after the Super Bowl is over):

Updated May 22, 2020



2020 NFL Betting Props: Win Totals

Chicago Bears: Under 8 Wins
I don't think the public recognizes how bad the Bears are. Their defense, while still very good, isn't as dominant as it once was. The problem is that their offensive line was horrible last year, and there's no hope of it improving, thanks to Kyle Long's retirement. Chicago is one of the worst teams in the NFL, so three or four wins is possible. The under eight looks amazing.

Betting 6 Units (-120) at Bookmaker or 5Dimes (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Green Bay Packers: Under 9 Wins
The Packers are one of the more overrated teams in the NFL. They reached the NFC Championship last year, but didn't belong. Then, instead of upgading their roster, they began rebuilding for the future. I'm not in love with fading Aaron Rodgers, but the Packers should have trouble getting to double-digit wins. Besides, it's not like Rodgers has the best history with his durability.

Betting 2 Units (+100) at Heritage (locked in as of 5/22/20)



Indianapolis Colts: Over 8.5 Wins
I love the Colts this year. They already had one of the top rosters in the NFL entering the offseason, and they added Philip Rivers and DeForest Buckner. They could be the team to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this year.

Betting 3 Units (-143) at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 4.5 Wins
The Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL, and it wouldn't surprise me if they finished 2-14 or worse. They're tanking for Trevor Lawrence, so it would actually be in the best interest to lose as many games as possible.

Betting 5 Units (+103) at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Kansas City Chiefs: Over 11 Wins
The Chiefs must go 12-4 or better for this to win. That may scare off some bettors, but I think it's a good play. Unless Patrick Mahomes suffers an injury, it's going to be very difficult for the Chiefs to lose. Mahomes even missed two games last year, and yet the Chiefs went 12-4.

Betting 2 Units (-143) at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Los Angeles Chargers: Under 8 Wins
I'll be pretty surprised if the Chargers have a winning record in 2020. They have a great defense, and their offensive line has improved, but they have no running game or viable starting quarterback at the moment. Will Tyrod Taylor or a raw Justin Herbert win nine games this year? I don't think so.

Betting 4 Units (-105) at Heritage (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Los Angeles Rams: Under 8.5 Wins
The Rams had a horrible offseason. They failed to upgrade their abysmal offensive line at all, while their defense got worse in the wake of Corey Littleton's departure. The Rams also have to somehow navigate one of the better divisions in the NFL.

Betting 4 Units (-120) at BetUS or 5Dimes (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Miami Dolphins: Under 6.5 Wins
I'm still tilted that I didn't win the Dolphins Under 5 bet last year. It looked like a lock until they pulled a huge upset over the Patriots in Week 17. Still, it wasn't a loss, and I think the Dolphins will have trouble getting to seven wins. They'll be a playoff contender with a healthy Tua Tagovailoa in 2021, but they'll win 4-6 games in 2020. I'm a bit scared of Brian Flores' great coaching, but Miami should go under this time.

Betting 1 Unit (-128) at 5Dimes (locked in as of 5/22/20)

New York Giants: Over 6 Wins
This is my favorite over play. The Giants are a dark-horse Super Bowl sleeper of mine, so you have to believe I think they'll win seven or more games. Their roster has improved greatly this offseason, while Daniel Jones will improve exponentially with some experience under his belt.

Betting 6 Units (-120) at Bookmaker (locked in as of 5/22/20)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 9.5 Wins
I haven't posted my season previews yet, but I'm thinking about having the Buccaneers win the Super Bowl. They already had a great roster prior to this offseason, and yet they managed to add Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski and talented tackle Tristan Wirfs to the team. A determined Brady, throwing to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, will dominate this year, and he shouldn't have any issues getting double-digit victories.

Betting 4 Units (-110) at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/22/20)

For more on the 2020 NFL Win Total Props, check out our YouTube video on the subject, and please hit subscribe to support us!





2020 NFL Betting Props: Super Bowl Odds

Indianapolis Colts: 28/1
It could be argued that the Colts have the best roster in the NFL. Their offensive line is elite; their running game should be very potent with Jonathan Taylor on the roster; their defensive line is much better with DeForest Buckner; and the secondary has great potential if Xavier Rhodes can rebound. Philip Rivers is a question mark, but he should be much better this year behind his elite blocking unit.

Betting 1 Unit to win 28 at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/23/20)

Kansas City Chiefs: 6.5/1
I felt like both a genius and an idiot during the Super Bowl. I had the 49ers at 40/1 last year, so I was set for a big pay day if San Francisco pulled out the victory. However, I picked the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl on this Web site during the preceding summer. I didn't bet the Chiefs because the odds weren't great, but I suppose I should have done so in order to hedge. I've learned my lesson, so I'm going to bet on the two teams I believe are the most likely to win the Super Bowl. The Chiefs are one of them.

Betting 2 Units to win 13 at Heritage (locked in as of 5/23/20)



New Orleans Saints: 13/1
I love New Orleans' roster. The team has endured horrible luck in recent playoff ventures, but variance has to go their way eventually, right? Barring several key injuries, the Saints will have one of the top records in the NFL this year, so they'll have a chance at a second Lombardi.

Betting 1 Unit to win 13 at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/23/20)

New York Giants: 145/1
I LOVE the Giants to be a dark-horse sleeper this year. They should be the next of the teams with second-year quarterbacks to make a huge leap. I saw that they were 90/1 in several sportsbooks, but they're a ridiculous 145/1 at Bookmaker. I will wager $100 in hopes of winning $14,500!

Betting 1 Unit to win 145 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 5/23/20)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13/1
The Buccaneers are the second team I believe to have the best chance of winning the Super Bowl. I've heard the comparisons of the 2020 Buccaneers being like the first year LeBron James and Chris Bosh joined the Heat, but Tampa Bay has an amazing roster. The team has very few holes and some major strengths (receiving corps, defensive line.) I also trust Bruce Arians to get the most out of his team.

Betting 2 Unit to win 26 at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/23/20)

Honorable Mentions: Eagles (23.5/1 at Bookmaker); Steelers (28/1 at DraftKings); Seahawks (30/1 at BetUS)

I'm close to betting these teams, and I may do so based on reports later this summer. If Andre Dillard looks great in practice, Philadelphia will look much better. Ben Roethlisberger at 100 percent will give the Steelers a good chance, but how healthy is he? And with the Seahawks, if they get Jadeveon Clowney back and manage to luck out with Quinton Dunbar staying out of prison, they'll certainly be in the mix for the Super Bowl.





2020 NFL Betting Props: Other

New York Giants to win NFC East: +1800
I think the Giants are good enough to contend for the Super Bowl, so they obviously have a legitimate chance to win the NFC East. At 18/1, they're an absolute steal.

Betting 1 Unit to win 18 at Bookmaker (locked in as of 5/24/20)

New York Jets to win AFC East: +850
The Bills are the best team in the AFC East, but I expect the Jets to be improved as well. They could take the AFC East if Buffalo suffers some injuries. I think 8.5/1 odds are pretty good for them.

Betting 0.5 Units to win 4.25 at Bovada (locked in as of 5/24/20)

Tua Tagovailoa: Under 3,200 Passing Yards (-120)
I love Tua Tagovailoa's outlook for 2021 and beyond, but it doesn't seem very feasible for him to play very much as a rookie, given the injury he suffered last year. Also, his own agent, Leigh Steinberg, opined that rookie quarterbacks should sit. Steinberg knows best, given that his best client is Patrick Mahomes, who stood on the sideline in his rookie year and is now the best quarterback in the NFL. Perhaps Tagovailoa makes some miraculous recovery and burns me, but I'll still be shocked if that happens. I'm only betting a unit here because that's the max risk on BetUS.

Betting 1.2 Unit to win 1 at BetUS (locked in as of 5/24/20)

Tua Tagovailoa: Under 19 Passing Touchdowns (-120)
Same as above. Again, I'm only betting a unit here because that's the max risk on BetUS.

Betting 1.2 Unit to win 1 at BetUS (locked in as of 5/24/20)

Tua Tagovailoa: Under 15.5 Interceptions (-120)
Same as above. If Tua Tagovailoa's not playing, he's not going to throw interceptions. Again, I'm only betting a unit here because that's the max risk on BetUS.

Betting 1.2 Unit to win 1 at BetUS (locked in as of 5/24/20)



Josh Jacobs: Most Rushing Yards (16/1)
This seems like good value. The Raiders have a great offensive line, so Josh Jacobs would have a good chance to win the rushing title regardless. Now in his second year, Jacobs will have even more trust from the coaching staff, and with the defense improving this offseason, he'll have more rushing opportunities late in games.

Betting 1 Unit to win 16 at BetUS (locked in as of 5/24/20)

Tom Brady: MVP (16/1)
I was looking for a good number on Tom Brady to win MVP, and I think this qualifies. Brady is basically going to be in FU Mode the entire year, as he tries to prove that he can win without Bill Belichick. He'll be paired with the best supporting cast he's had since the Randy Moss and Wes Welker days.

Betting 1 Unit to win 16 at DraftKings (locked in as of 5/24/20)

Daniel Jones: MVP (100/1)
Here's another long-shot bet I like concerning the Giants. I worry about Saquon Barkley potentially stealing this, but I expect big things from Daniel Jones this year, so the media could give the award to him for his vastly improved play being so "unexpected."

Betting 0.5 Units to win 50 at 5Dimes (locked in as of 5/24/20)

D'Andre Swift: Offensive Rookie of the Year (16/1)
I love D'Andre Swift. I think he's the best running back in the 2020 class. Unless the Lions suffer a torrent of injuries - which is definitely possible - Swift will have every opportunity to be the best rookie this year. Most sites have Swift at 10/1 or so, but DraftKings has him listed at 16/1.

By the way, make sure you buy some DraftKings stock (DKNG). It's currently sub $30 as of this writing, which seems insanely low to me.

Betting 0.5 Units to win 50 at 5Dimes (locked in as of 5/24/20)






Advance Spreads

To be posted later.



Other Sports Betting Props

I've wagered on the following teams to win the championship in their respective sports. I'll add the winnings/losses to the NBA/MLB pages upon completion of the season.

To be posted later.


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