NBA Picks for Sunday, April 27, 2025 (2-0, +$305)
Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic.
Line: Celtics by 8.
7:00 PM ET
The Celtics lost Game 3 as some of their players were returning or playing through injury. They’ll be much better tonight, and the team as a whole will be focused following a loss. Boston should be able to win easily.
Player Prop: After watching Jamal Murray shoot like 20 percent from the field yesterday, let’s go back to an old, reliable tactic. This would be betting on Jayson Tatum on the road and fading him at home. Tatum has averaged 2.3 more points per game on the road this year, which fits historical trends. This is not factored into the prop odds, so we can take advantage of it. The best number is over 25.5 points -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Celtics -8 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Saturday, April 26, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 16.
3:30 PM ET
This number may seem high, but I don’t think it’s high enough. The Grizzlies couldn’t even compete with the Thunder in most circumstances, but now they have to do so without Ja Morant. This should be an easy blowout for the Thunder.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Jamal Murray’s over point total. Murray is way more productive on the road, and he’s exceeded the projected point total in all three games this series. The Clippers have allowed 24 points per game to opposing point guards all year, so why is this total only 20.5? The best number is over 20.5 points -125 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Thunder -16 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jamal Murray over 20.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Friday, April 25, 2025 (2-0, +$300)
Los Angeles Lakers at Minnesota Timberwolves.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.
9:30 PM ET
The Timberwolves suffered from poor shooting, foul trouble, and an Anthony Edwards shoulder issue in Game 2. Everything should be resolved in Game 3. The Timberwolves have the better defense and chemistry, so I like them to rebound from their loss.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Giannis Antetokounmpo’s over point total. This may seem high, but Antetokounmpo has scored 34-plus in his previous three matchups against the Pacers, who are woeful against power forward. Down 2-0 in this series, Antetokounmpo will do whatever it takes to keep his team alive. The best number is over 32.5 points -118 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 32.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, April 24, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 10.
9:30 PM ET
The Grizzlies played their best game possible in Game 2, and yet they still lost by 19. I don’t see how they can possibly compete with the Thunder, as they are coached poorly and don’t play good defense.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Jalen Brunson’s over point total. This may seem high, but Brunson has scored 31-plus in five of six games against Detroit this year. Brunson also has higher usage on the road. The best number is over 28.5 points -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Thunder -10 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 28.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 23, 2025 (0-2, -$320)
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 11.
7:30 PM ET
This line has plummeted because Jayson Tatum is likely out for this game. I expect the other players to perform at 110 percent, offsetting a potential letdown after the big Game 1 victory. The Celtics have won 83 percent of their games without Tatum over the past couple of seasons, and they should have a nice victory tonight against an Orlando team that can’t score outside of Paolo Banchero.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Bam Adebayo’s over point total. The Cavaliers surrender a ton of production to power forwards, which is why Adebayo has scored 24, 34, and 21 points againt Cleveland in his past three matchups against them. The best number is over 18.5 points -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Celtics -11 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo over 18.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 23, 2025 (0-2, -$320)
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 11.
7:30 PM ET
This line has plummeted because Jayson Tatum is likely out for this game. I expect the other players to perform at 110 percent, offsetting a potential letdown after the big Game 1 victory. The Celtics have won 83 percent of their games without Tatum over the past couple of seasons, and they should have a nice victory tonight against an Orlando team that can’t score outside of Paolo Banchero.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Bam Adebayo’s over point total. The Cavaliers surrender a ton of production to power forwards, which is why Adebayo has scored 24, 34, and 21 points againt Cleveland in his past three matchups against them. The best number is over 18.5 points -122 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Celtics -11 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo over 18.5 points -122 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120
NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 22, 2025 (1-1, +$95)
Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 15.
7:30 PM ET
We bet on the Thunder in Game 1, and we’re doing the same thing tonight. Oklahoma City beat the Grizzlies by 51 points in the first game despite not trying in the second half. It really could have been an 80-point margin had the Thunder desired it to be, so they shouldn’t have an issue covering the -15 against a Memphis team that is poorly coached and can’t play defense.
Player Prop: We’re going to a different game and betting Anthony Edwards again. Here’s why I bet him a few days ago: “Anthony Edwards’ over-under of [25.5] seems low, given that he averaged 27 points per game in the playoffs last year and is now shouldering more of the offensive workload. I love betting star players on the road, and it’s no surprise that Edwards averaged 2.9 more points per game on the road than he did at home this year.” The best number is over 25.5 points -115 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Thunder -15 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards over 25.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, April 21, 2025 (1-1, +$105)
Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Clippers by 2.
10:00 PM ET
The Nuggets needed a comeback and overtime to win Game 1, but I don’t think they’ll be able to repeat that tonight. Denver doesn’t have a real head coach, so it won’t be able to make the proper adjustments needed to combat what the Clippers will throw at them. The Clippers also have the superior defense, and they’ll have adjusted to the altitude by now.
Player Prop: The Nuggets have a poor defense. They can’t stop point guards; they surrender more than 24 points per game to them, and yet James Harden’s over-under for tonight is just 23.5. That’s just about right on the number, but keep in mind that this average is for all point guards; not just dynamic scorers like Harden. The best number is over 23.5 points -105 at ESPNBet.
NBA Pick: Clippers -2 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: James Harden over 23.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – ESPNBet — Incorrect; -$105
