NBA Picks Against the Spread

Jalen Brunson




NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025 (2-0, +$310)


Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Memphis Grizzlies at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: Bucks by 2.

8:30 PM ET

This is a tough spot for the Bucks. Not only are they going to be jet lagged from their West Coast trip; they’ll have one eye on a matchup against the Thunder the following night. The Grizzlies, by the way, are 14-4 against the spread against Eastern Conference teams.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Desmond Bane tonight. The Bucks already struggled against guards, and they might even be worse against Bane tonight because of the jet lag. The best number is over 21.5 points -118 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies +2 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Desmond Bane over 21.5 points -118 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 1, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


Phoenix Suns NBA Picks Against the Spread Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Phoenix Suns at Portland Trailblazers.
Line: Suns by 3.

10:00 PM ET

We were on the Blazers earlier, and we will be once again. They’ve been hot lately, covering seven games in a row. The Suns, meanwhile, had a tough game against the Warriors the prior night, so I don’t think they’ll be 100 percent in this game.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on DeAndre Ayton tonight. This is a solid matchup for Ayton, who has scored 15 or more points in the previous four games. This is also a revenge game for him. The best number is over 14.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +3 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: DeAndre Ayton over 14.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 31, 2025 (1-2, -$125)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Nuggets by 9.5.

7:30 PM ET

The 76ers have won four in a row, but they haven’t faced an opponent like this one. The Nuggets are on a three-game losing streak, but I have to think that ends tonight, as they put forth a full effort against Philadelphia.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Nikola Jokic tonight. Jokic brings it after a loss. He’s coming off his 11th defeat of the year. Following the previous 10 losses, Jokic has averaged 38.3 points per game. The best number is over 27.5 points -102 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -9.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic over 27.5 points -102 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Jokic 35+ points +400 (0.25 Units) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$25



NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 30, 2025 (1-1, -$100)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.

10:00 PM ET

Backing the Jazz may seem foolish because they have just 10 wins on the year, and they’ve lost seven in a row. However, they were shorthanded for many of those seven defeats, and they’ll have most of their core pieces back in action tonight. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are coming off a tough win against the Suns last night, so I can’t see them playing with high energy.

Player Prop: We’re going to fade Julius Randle tonight. Randle played 35 minutes last night, so given that the Timberwolves are coming off a win, he could play far fewer minutes in this game. Randle’s prop is 20.5, and yet he averages just 18.8 points per game on the road. The best number is under 20.5 -105 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Julius Randle under 20.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 29, 2025 (1-1, +$105)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Thunder by 9.5.

10:00 PM ET

The Thunder have failed to cover four of their previous five games, as their spreads have become inflated. That’s the case in this game. I like the Warriors tonight. Don’t be afraid of them being on a back-to-back. They played a lot of their backups last night versus the Jazz, and Steph Curry even sat out in anticipation of this contest.

Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. The Warriors have the third-best defense against point guards, and Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 29.5 points per game versus the Warriors in two meetings this year. The best number is under 32.5 -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Warriors +9.5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 32.5 points -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025 (2-0, +$310)


Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Rockets by 5.

7:30 PM ET

We bet the Rockets yesterday and managed to win. The game went down to the wire with the Celtics, so the Houston players figure to be exhausted for this game. This is also a back-to-back for the Hawks, but it’s not a true back-to-back because some key players like Trae Young and Dyson Daniels didn’t play. It’s a bit risky to bet the Hawks right now with Young questionable, but I believe he sat out last night’s game to play in this one.

Player Prop: We’re going to fade Alperen Sengun tonight. The Hawks defend centers decently well, and Sengun averages two fewer points per game on the road than he does at home. The best number is under 20.5 -110 at BetMGM. You can Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets on BetMGM by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Hawks +5 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Alperen Sengun under 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 27, 2025 (2-0, +$305)


Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread
Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics.
Line: Celtics by 5.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Rockets have been on a tear lately. They’ve taken down the Cavaliers twice, as well as the Nuggets. This number is too high considering how well they’ve played. The Celtics, meanwhile, have just returned home from their West Coast trip, so they could be jet lagged.

Player Prop: We were fading Jayson Tatum in home games during the playoffs last year. His splits once again favor him on the road. Furthermore, the Rockets are No. 1 in defense against wings. Tatum scored 20 points in the previous meeting versus Houston. The best number is under 25.5 points -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Rockets +5.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$205
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum under 25.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, Jan. 25, 2025 (1-1, -$100)


Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls.
Line: Bulls by 4.5.

8:00 PM ET

Unreal finish to last night’s game. We had the Pelicans at +10.5, and they were up seven at halftime. Memphis couldn’t miss in the second half. The Grizzlies took the lead, which expanded so much that the Pelicans pulled their starters with three minutes to go. This included Trey Murphy, who had 22 points, which was half a point shy of his prop.

I like the Bulls tonight. The public is all over Philadelphia, but it’s pretty clear that the 76ers shot their load last night versus the Cavaliers. I don’t expect them to play nearly as well in this game. Player Prop: The 76ers can’t defend wings, and their tired legs will allow Zach LaVine to have an even better game than he normally would. LaVine dropped 30 against the 76ers in the only other matchup this year. The best number is over 24.5 points -107 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls -4.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Zach LaVine over 24.5 points -107 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Jan. 24, 2025 (0-2, -$315)


New Orleans Pelicans NBA Picks Against the Spread Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 10.5.

8:00 PM ET

This spread is too high. The Pelicans have played good basketball lately, going 7-3 in their previous 10 games. They even lost to Boston by only one point. They should keep this game close. Player Prop: The Pelicans are down two scorers, so Trey Murphy’s point total looks great. The last time he played Memphis, he scored 35! The best number is over 22.5 points -113 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pelicans +10.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Trey Murphy over 22.5 points -113 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Thursday, Jan. 23, 2025 (1-1, +$80)


Portland Trailblazers NBA Picks Against the Spread Orlando Magic NBA Picks Against the Spread
Portland Trailblazers at Orlando Magic.
Line: Magic by 8.

7:00 PM ET

We got royally screwed yesterday with Kyrie Irving hitting a “meaningless” three at the buzzer. Let’s bounce back today with the Blazers, who have kept many of their games close recently. The Magic are in a bit of a slump, and it doesn’t appear as though anyone has noticed, based on this spread. Player Prop: We’re going to a different game for this one. Actually, we’re re-visiting a prop that didn’t work. I don’t know why Nikola Vucevic didn’t grab any rebounds in the opening half versus the Clippers, but I think he’ll redeem himself tonight against the Warriors, who allow a ton of rebounds to the opposition and are shorthanded in the front court. The best number is over 10.5 rebounds -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Trailblazers +8 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Jan. 22, 2025 (0-2, -$305)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Dallas Mavericks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks.
Line: Timberwolves by 4.

7:30 PM ET

This is a major revenge spot for the Timberwolves, who get to take advantage of a very wounded Mavericks team. Dallas also has bigger fish to fry with a game against the Thunder tomorrow night. Player Prop: I like Spencer Dinwiddie over points + rebounds + assists. As mentioned, Dallas is very shorthanded, so Dinwiddie will have to do a lot tonight. The best number is over 21.5 PRA -106 at Caesars. You can Get $1,000 First Bet on Caesars by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves -4 +105 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie over 21.5 PRA -106 (1 Unit) – Caesars — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Brooklyn Nets NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets.
Line: Knicks by 11.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Knicks are coming off a tough battle against the Hawks last night in which the starters played a ton of minutes. The Nets haven’t played since Sunday, so they should be able to play with more energy tonight and keep this game close. Player Prop: I like D’Angelo Russell over points + rebounds + assists. Ben Simmons is out, so Russell’s usage will go through the roof. The best number is over 25.5 PRA -104 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Nets +11.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: D’Angelo Russell over 25.5 PRA -104 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Monday, Jan. 20, 2025 (1-1, +$90)


Chicago Bulls NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 5.5.

10:30 PM ET

Our NBA picks are back! I wanted to do this two weeks ago when the NFL regular season ended, but I have two kids under three (37 months, technically), and I had the flu, and then they got sick. My apologies.

I like the Bulls tonight. The Clippers have been on a tear since the wildfires, but they’re due for some regression. They had a tough game against the Lakers last night, so there’s a natural letdown in play in this game. Player Prop: I like Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds. Vucevic has gotten to double-digit rebounds in the past four games, and opposing rebounders have an easier time against the Clippers than most teams. The best number is over 9.5 -125 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bulls +5.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Nikola Vucevic over 9.5 rebounds -120 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$120