NBA Picks Against the Spread

Jalen Brunson




NBA Picks for Sunday, March 2, 2025 (0-2, -$305)


Los Angeles Clippers NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Clippers by 5.

9:30 PM ET

I’d be shocked if the Lakers didn’t punt this game. This is their seventh game in 12 days, and they’ve already ruled out Rui Hachimura and Austin Reaves have already been ruled out, and it wouldn’t surprise me if at least one of Luka Doncic or LeBron James sat as well.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on James Harden tonight. Harden is coming off one of the worst shooting performances of the year two nights ago, yet he still scored 18 points. The Laker defense struggles against point guards, so Harden should have a big game. The best number is over 21.5 points -106 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Clippers -5 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: James Harden over 21.5 points -106 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$105



NBA Picks for Saturday, March 1, 2025 (1-1, +$85)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers.
Line: Warriors by 7.5.

8:30 PM ET

The 76ers have been the worst team in the NBA recently because of their low effort. We saw a change on Wednesday, and it had to do with two things. First, Joel Embiid was shut down for the season. The Philadelphia players dislike Embiid because he’s a slacker who doesn’t want to play through minor injuries, so they’re happier without him. Second, Paul George has finally heard enough about his poor performances and has shut down his podcast to put more effort on the court. Meanwhile, Jimmy Butler could be sidelined tonight.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Paul George tonight. George has been a big disappointment this year, but there’s something to him being embarrassed enough to shut down his podcast. He had a great game versus the Knicks, and he should have another stellar performance against a Golden State team that struggles to defend wings. The best number is over 19.5 points -114 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: 76ers +7.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Paul George over 19.5 points -114 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 28, 2025 (1-1, -$100)


New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread
New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Grizzlies by 5.

8:00 PM ET

Let’s hope our awful week turns around tonight with the Grizzlies. The Knicks can’t beat good teams, and their defense sucks. The Grizzlies are the better team, and they’ve dominated the Eastern Conference.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Ja Morant tonight. I talked about how the Knicks can’t play defense. Morant should have a great performance in a big game. The best number is over 22.5 points -124 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Grizzlies -5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Ja Morant over 22.5 points -124 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025 (0-2, -$320)


Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Timberwolves by 5.5.

10:30 PM ET

What a disaster of a Wednesday night. Let’s rebound with the Timberwolves, who have lost by more than seven points just once since Jan. 4. The Lakers are coming off a big win versus Dallas and could be in for a letdown against Minnesota, especially with the Clippers on deck. There’s a chance the Lakers will sit some players, including LeBron James, who is questionable.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Naz Reid tonight. The Lakers have taken a hit to their frontcourt defense with Anthony Davis gone, and Reid has been on a tear lately. The best number is over 19.5 points -120 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5.5 +103 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Naz Reid over 19.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$120



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2025 (1-3, -$465)


Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread New York Knicks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 11.

7:00 PM ET

Two picks tonight! The first will be a fade of the 76ers, who are probably the worst team in the NBA right now. Joel Embiid has quit on the team and will be sidelined once again because he’s nursing his bogus injury. Paul George is not trying. There are plenty of other injuries as well. Meanwhile, the Knicks are coming off two consecutive losses against the Celtics and Cavaliers, so they’ll use this opportunity to bounce back with a win against a terrible team.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jalen Brunson’s three-pointer prop tonight. The 76ers are leaving players wide open beyond the arc because they just don’t care anymore. Brunson hit three threes the last time he battled Philadelphia. The best number is over 2.5 three-pointers +133 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Knicks -11 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson over 2.5 three-pointers +133 (0.5 Units) – BetRivers — Correct; +$65

San Antonio Spurs NBA Picks Against the Spread Houston Rockets NBA Picks Against the Spread
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockets by 8.5.

9:30 PM ET

We faded the Rockets a few nights ago when they battled the Jazz, and they lost outright. We’re going back to the well tonight. The Rockets have been a money pit, and they’re coming off a tough win versus the Bucks, so this feels like a letdown spot for them.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on De’Aaron Fox tonight. We won with Keyonte George against Houston’s poor point guard defense. Fox should do lots of damage to the Rockets tonight. The best number is over 22.5 points -128 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Spurs +8.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: De’Aaron Fox over 22.5 points -128 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$130



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2025 (1-1, +$90)


Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread Toronto Raptors NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors.
Line: Celtics by 11.

7:00 PM ET

The Celtics have caught fire lately, but they’re comfortably sitting with the No. 2 seed. They’re well ahead of third place, and it seems unlikely that they’re going to catch Cleveland, so I could see them taking some games off down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Raptors are fighting for their playoff lives. They’ve covered four of their previous six, and they just dismantled the Suns.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jayson Tatum tonight even though we’re betting against the Celtics. I’ve talked about how Tatum thrives on the road, and if this game is close, Tatum will do lots of scoring. The best number is over 25.5 points -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Raptors +10.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$110



NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 24, 2025 (0-2, -$305)


Denver Nuggets NBA Picks Against the Spread Indiana Pacers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers.
Line: Nuggets by 4.5.

7:00 PM ET

The Pacers are getting dinged as far as the point spread is concerned because this is the second leg of a back-to-back for them. However, they won easily yesterday, with no player logging more than 31 minutes. They’ll be fresh tonight against a Denver team that has gotten many of its recent wins versus bad competition.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Bennedict Mathurin tonight. The Nuggets don’t have a good defense, and they are at their worst defending wings. The best number is over 14.5 points -105 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Pacers +4.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bennedict Mathurin over 14.5 points -105 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$105



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