NBA Picks Against the Spread

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander




NBA Picks for Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


Philadelphia 76ers NBA Picks Against the Spread Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks.
Line: 76ers by 3.5.

2:00 PM ET

I can’t believe the 76ers are favored by 3.5 in Milwaukee. I know Giannis Antetokounmpo is out, but he’s the only significant Milwaukee player who is out for this game. The Bucks should still be able to beat the 76ers. I know they’ve struggled lately, but they’ve had just one home game since Jan. 23. The 76ers aren’t playing well either, as Joel Embiid has ruined this team’s chemistry since his return to action.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Damian Lillard. Here are Lillard’s point totals in games without Antetokoumpo this year: 36, 37, 29, 29, and 23. He scored 30 points against the 76ers in the first meeting this year. The best number is over 26.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Bucks +3.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Damian Lillard over 26.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread Memphis Grizzlies NBA Picks Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies.
Line: Thunder by 2.5.

8:00 PM ET

The bookmakers are pricing this line down lower than it should be because the Thunder are on a back-to-back, but the starters didn’t play in the fourth quarter because the game was such a blowout. Despite this, it still looked like the Thunder were holding back and saving themselves for this important game. I like them on this reduced line.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jalen Williams. The Grizzlies are very weak against forwards, and Williams has gone over his posted total in four of his previous five games. The best number is over 20.5 points -110 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Thunder -2.5 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jalen Williams over 20.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Friday, Feb. 7, 2025 (1-1, +$85)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks.
Line: Bucks by 4.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Bucks have been a money pit lately, failing to cover their previous five games. Their defense has fallen apart, and there will be an adjustment period as they welcome Kyle Kuzma to their team. The Hawks, meanwhile, have covered most of their games lately. They need this victory to help them in their playoff hunt.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Trae Young. As mentioned, Milwaukee’s defense is a disaster, and Young has been on a scoring spree lately. The best number is over 27.5 points -125 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Hawks +4.5 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$210
NBA Player Prop: Trae Young over 27.5 points -125 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$125



NBA Picks for Thursday, Feb. 6, 2025 (0-2, -$315)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Los Angeles Lakers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 6.5.

7:30 PM ET

We bet against the Warriors last night, but we’ll be on them in this game. They were saving up their energy for battling the Lakers, so they’ll be at 100 percent following their loss. The Lakers, meanwhile, have been playing great basketball lately, but they are likely to regress to the mean, at least until Luka Doncic is available.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Buddy Hield. His usage will be higher than usual tonight with some players sidelined. He has a great matchup as well. The best number is over 14.5 points -115 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Warriors +6.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Buddy Hield over 14.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


Golden State Warriors NBA Picks Against the Spread Utah Jazz NBA Picks Against the Spread
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz.
Line: Warriors by 5.5.

7:30 PM ET

The Warriors have a big game against the Lakers tomorrow night, so I don’t think they’ll be fully focused for this game. They have three key questionable players, so I imagine most of them will sit. The Jazz, meanwhile, have covered two in a row and have shown signs of life now that they’re healthier.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jordan Clarkson. His usage will be high tonight with Collin Sexton sidelined. He’s scored 18-plus points in the previous 10 games in which Sexton has been out of the lineup. The best number is over 18.5 points -115 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Jazz +5.5 +101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Jordan Clarkson over 18.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Correct; +$100



NBA Picks for Tuesday, Feb. 4, 2025 (0-2, -$315)


Boston Celtics NBA Picks Against the Spread Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks Against the Spread
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers.
Line: Cavaliers by 1.5.

7:30 PM ET

This Celtics team is not the dominant one we saw last year. Perhaps they’ll get there come May and June, but we haven’t seen it yet. They’ve struggled defensively, especially while playing on the road. The Cavaliers are the better team now that Evan Mobley is back in action. This line should be higher than -1.5.

Player Prop: We’re going to bet on Jayson Tatum. I’ve spoken about how Tatum is way more active on the road. The last time he visited Cleveland, he scored 33 points in a four-point loss. We may see someting similar tonight. The best number is over 25.5 points -115 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.

NBA Pick: Cavaliers -1.5 +102 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jayson Tatum over 25.5 points -115 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$115



NBA Picks for Monday, Feb. 3, 2025 (2-0, +$300)


Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks Against the Spread Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Picks Against the Spread
Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder.
Line: Thunder by 15.5.

8:00 PM ET

We’re fading the Bucks again tonight, but for a different reason. They are punting this game by sitting all of their starters. They’ve already announced Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis out, and Brook Lopez and Damian Lillard are both questionable, so they could be sidelined as well. This line could rise toward -20 by tip-off if Lopez and Lillard are ruled out.

Player Prop: We’re going to fade Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight. That didn’t work out so well last time, but this figures to be a disgusting blowout, so Gilgeous-Alexander likely won’t be playing in the fourth quarter. He typically scores 30 or fewer points in lopsided affairs. The best number is under 35.5 points -120 at BetMGM.

NBA Pick: Thunder -15.5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 35.5 points -120 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100



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