NBA Picks for Sunday, May 4, 2025 (0-2, -$325)
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets.
Line: Rockers by 3.
8:30 PM ET
The Rockets seem to have figured out the Warriors. They’re owning them on the glass, while several Golden State players are banged up. The Rockets should be able to prevail tonight.
Player Prop: Although I believe the Warriors will lose, I expect Jimmy Butler to have a huge game. Unlike James Harden, Butler is a clutch player. He scored 27 points in Game 6 despite losing. The best number is over 23.5 -127 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
We lost our no-sweat same-game parlay last night because Kawhi Leonard was stuck on 22 points as a result of the blowout. We now have a $50 bonus bet on FanDuel. There are no exactas listed, but you can create a parlay where you parlay the Redskins to win the Super Bowl and the Bills to lose in the Super Bowl. We get +7834 odds for this parlay.
NBA Pick: Rockets -3 +104 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler over 23.5 points -127 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Incorrect; -$125
NBA Picks for Saturday, May 3, 2025 (2-0, +$250)
Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets.
Line: Nuggets by 2.
7:30 PM ET
We bet the Clippers in Game 6 – we lost because Kawhi Leonard missed the final free throw of the game – but we’re going back to Denver for Game 7. The Nuggets have a huge homecourt advantage in the altitude, which should come into play with the Clippers being tired. Also, it looked like the Clippers were scared down the stretch of Game 6 when Denver mounted a comeback.
Player Prop: Russell Westbrook averages three more points at home than he does on the road, so we’ll bet on him in Game 7. He has scored 21, 15, and 14 points in the three home games in this series, so sign me up for over 11.5. The best number is over 11.5 -110 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: FanDuel has a no-sweat same-game parlay offer. If we lose this, we will use the no-sweat bonus bet on an NFL future. Our same-game parlay is: Russell Westbrook over 11.5 points, Christian Braun 10+ points, Kawhi Leonard over 24.5 points. This pays +414 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Nuggets -2 -101 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Russell Westbrook over 11.5 points -110 (1 Unit) – BetRivers — Correct; +$100
No-Sweat Same-Game Parlay: Russell Westbrook over 11.5 points, Christian Braun 10+ points, Kawhi Leonard over 24.5 points (0.5 Units to win 2.05) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
NBA Picks for Friday, May 2, 2025 (0-2, -$300)
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors.
Line: Warriors by 6.
9:00 PM ET
The Warriors slacked off in Game 5, but they should respond well tonight. They’re the better team, as the Rockets usually have trouble scoring. Hopefully we don’t get screwed on a late missed free throw again!
Player Prop: I like to bet role players at home. One good role player to bet on tonight is Buddy Hield, who scored 15 and 17 in the two home games in this series. The best number is over 9.5 +100 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Warriors -6 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Buddy Hield over 9.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$100
NBA Picks for Thursday, May 1, 2025 (1-1, -$100)
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers.
Line: Clippers by 6.5.
10:00 PM ET
The Clippers haven’t tried their hardest at times in this series, but they’ll have to do so now with their backs against the wall. The Clippers are the better defensive team, and they’ll benefit from their role players performing better at home.
Player Prop: One of those role players is Norman Powell. He has scored in the 20s in the two home games in this series and has struggled in Denver. The best number is over 17.5 +100 at BetRivers. You can Get $500 in Second-Chance Bets from BetRivers by clicking the link.
I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 30, 2025 (1-1, +$105)
Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers.
Line: Lakers by 5.
10:00 PM ET
It’s difficult to close a team out on the road, but we have a five-point cushion to work with in this game. Besides, the Lakers have been losing despite shooting 40 percent from three. This is not sustainable.
Player Prop: Betting a superstar on the road didn’t work out so well last night. We’ll try again with Anthony Edwards, who can continue to exploit a Lakers defense that can’t stop shooting guards. The best number is over 28.5 -108 at FanDuel. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves +5 +107 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$215
NBA Player Prop: Anthony Edwards over 28.5 -108 (1 Unit) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$110
NBA Picks for Tuesday, April 29, 2025 (1-1, +$85)
Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks.
Line: Knicks by 5.
7:30 PM ET
Every game in this series has been a coin flip. I like getting +5 with a 50-50 proposition, especially when the Pistons will be playing with far more effort because they’re on the brink of elimination.
Player Prop: Like most superstars, Cade Cunningham is far more productive on the road. He’ll be doing everything possible to keep his team alive, so I think we’ll see a performance like he had in Game 2 when he scored 33 points. The best number is over 26.5 -115 at BetMGM.
NBA Pick: Pistons +5 +100 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Correct; +$200
NBA Player Prop: Cade Cunningham over 26.5 -115 (1 Unit) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$115
NBA Picks for Monday, April 28, 2025 (0-2, -$300)
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat.
Line: Cavaliers by 8.
7:30 PM ET
Something I missed a couple of days ago amid the NFL Draft frenzy was that it’s very difficult to close teams out on the road. The Grizzlies were competitive, even without Ja Morant, and I think we’ll see a similar performance out of Miami tonight.
Player Prop: The Cavaliers have a good defense, but they tend to be weak to power forwards. Thus, it’s no surprise that Bam Adebayo has scored in the 20s in two of the three games in this series. He’ll be playing all the minutes he can tonight in an elimination game. The best number is over 19.5 +100 at DraftKings. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
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NBA Pick: Heat +8 +106 (2 Units) – Bookmaker — Incorrect; -$200
NBA Player Prop: Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points +100 (1 Unit) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$100
