MLB Picks (May 5-11) (+$40)
MLB Picks (May 12-18) (-$320)
MLB Picks (May 19-25) (+$430)
2025 MLB Prop Bet Picks: (+$1,295)
Follow @walterfootball for updates.
MLB Prop Bet Picks for the 2025 Season:
Were going to bet high-value MLB prop bets on this page whenever profit boosts and no-sweat bets are available at varius sportsbooks. For instance, FanDuel has profit boosts every Tuesday for home run bets, while DraftKings has no-sweat bets every day where you get $20 back if your bet loses. Our strategy here is to collect these no-sweat bets and use them to bet NFL exactas on DraftKings (Team A to beat Team B in the Super Bowl) because they have high payouts.
MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday, May 25, 2025
Bryce Harper to hit a home run +525; Aaron Judge to hit a home run +345.
FanDuel has a 50-percent profit boost available, so we’ll be taking Bryce Harper from +350 to +525. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
DraftKings has a +200 odds boost. We’re betting Aaron Juge at +345 instead of +145. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link. We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
I may post another pick later. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
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MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Brent Rooker to hit a home run +510 (0.2 Units to win 1) – BetMGM
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +345 (0.25 Units to win 0.85) – DraftKings Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings
MLB Player Prop Bets for Saturday, May 24, 2025 (+$75)
Brent Rooker to hit a home run +510; Bryce Harper to hit a home run +492.
BetMGM has a 20-percent profit boost available, so we’ll be taking Kyle Schwarber from +425 to +510.
DraftKings has a 33-percent live boost. We’re betting Bryce Harper at +492. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link. We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Brent Rooker to hit a home run +510 (0.2 Units to win 1) – BetMGM — Correct; +$100
Bryce Harper to hit a home run +492 (0.25 Units to win 1.3) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25
MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday, May 23, 2025
Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +324; Brent Rooker to hit a home run +665.
BetMGM has a 20-percent profit boost available, so we’ll be taking Kyle Schwarber from +270 to +324.
We lost our no-sweat bet yesterday, so I’ll be adding that to the NFL Futures Bets page soon.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +324 (0.2 Units to win 0.65) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Brent Rooker to hit a home run +665 (0.25 Units to win 1.65) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +339; Ezequiel Tovar to hit a home run +625.
DraftKings has a live bet boost today. We’ll be looking to bet Aaron Judge. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
BetMGM has a $10 no-sweat bet on any sport. Let’s put that on Ezequiel Tovar at +625.
We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Aaron Judge to hit a home run +339 (0.25 Units to win 0.85) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$25
Ezequiel Tovar to hit a home run +625 (0.1 Units to win 0.6) no sweat – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$10
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +600; Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run +495; Brandon Lowe to hit a home run +500; Isaac Paredes to hit a home run +500.
It’s Tuesday, so FanDuel once again has two 50-percent profit boosts on home runs. We’ll be using them on Kerry Carpenter and Connor Norby. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Update: Connor Norby didn’t play, so we got our boost back. Let’s use it on Tyler Soderstrom, taking him from +330 to +495.
Even better, there’s a no-sweat bet on DraftKings once again. We’ll be using Brandon Lowe +500. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
BetMGM also has a no-sweat bet, albeit up to just $10. We’ll be betting Isaac Paredes +500. We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +600 (0.5 Units to win 3) – FanDuel — Correct; +$300
Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run +495 (0.5 Units to win 2.45) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Brandon Lowe to hit a home run +500 (0.2 Units to win 1) no sweat – DraftKings — No action; $0
Isaac Paredes to hit a home run +500 (0.1 Units to win 0.5) no sweat – BetMGM — Correct; +$50
Live bets from Wednesday, posted on Twitter (0.75 Units) – FanDuel/DraftKings — Incorrect; -$75
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +319
There’s a live 33-percent boost on DraftKings, so we’re going to bet Shohei Ohtani right now, bringing him from +240 to +319. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +319 (0.5 Units to win 1.6) – DraftKings — Correct; +$160
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +300; Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +415
We have some great boosts today. FanDuel has a 50-percent profit boost for baseball, so we’re going to take Aaron Judge from +200 to +300. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
DraftKings has an even better promo where you can add +200 to any home run bet, so we’ll take Shohei Ohtani from +215 to +415. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Aaron Judge to hit a home run +300 (0.5 Units to win 1.5) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$20
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +415 (0.5 Units to win 2.05) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$20
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +330
There’s a 20-percent profit boost on BetMGM. The best value on there with the boost is Cedric Mullins, taking him from +450 to +540. I also considered Aaron Judge.
We have no free bets from no-sweat bets to report.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Cedric Mullins to hit a home run +540 (0.2 Units to win 1.1) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +330
There’s a 20-percent profit boost on BetMGM. The best value on there with the boost is Kerry Carpenter, taking him from +275 to +330.
We lost our no-sweat bet yesterday, so I’ll be adding that to the NFL Futures Bets page soon.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +330 (0.2 Units to win 0.65) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Will Castro to hit a home run +775
We bet Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run yesterday. He hit a home run – but in the second game of the double-header; not the first. Very tilting. Hopefully we’ll bounce back with Will Castro, who has great odds at +775. BetMGM has a no-sweat bet, so we’ll be wagering on him at that sportsbook.
We didn’t have a no-sweat bet yesterday.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Will Castro to hit a home run +775 (0.1 Units to win 0.75) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$10
Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +510
FanDuel has a live 30-percent profit boost, so we’re going to bet Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run at around +507. Keep in mind this is for the game that begins at 1:05 p.m.; not the one that will start around 6 o’clock.
We lost our no-sweat bet yesterday, so I’ll be adding that to the NFL Futures Bets page soon.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run +510 (0.5 Units to win 2.55) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Lawrence Butler to hit a home run +675; Brandon Lowe to hit a home run +900; Eugenio Suarez to hit a home run +500
We have a couple of things tonight. On FanDuel, we once again have two 50-percent profit boosts. We’ll be betting Lawrence Butler up to +675 and Brandon Lowe to +900. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
DraftKings brought back its no-sweat home run bet! We’ll be using that on Cedric Mullins +700. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
Update: The Baltimore game was postponed, so we’ll use the DraftKings no-sweat bet on Eugenio Suarez +500.
There was no no-sweat bet yesterday, so nothing to report for our NFL futures.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Lawrence Butler to hit a home run +675 (0.5 Units to win 3.35) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Brandon Lowe to hit a home run +900 (0.5 Units to win 4.5) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Eugenio Suarez to hit a home run +500 (0.2 Units to win 1) – DraftKings (no sweat) — Incorrect; -$20
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +398; Aaron Judge to hit a home run +330
We have a few bonuses today. Beginning on FanDuel, we have a 50-percent profit boost up to $50. I’m betting Shohei Ohtani, taking him from +265 to +398. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
DraftKings has a couple of bonuses. There’s a promo where you can add +150 to any home run bet. We’re going to take Aaron Judge from +180 to +330.
DraftKings also has a live 50-percent boost today (and every day this weekend) that we’ll be looking to exploit when the games begin. I’ll announce the play on Twitter. It most likely will be on Brent Rooker. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
There was no no-sweat bet yesterday, so nothing to report for our NFL futures.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +398 (0.5 Units to win 2) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +330 (0.5 Units to win 1.65) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$50
Brent Rooker to hit a home run +400 (0.5 Units to win 2) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$50
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +336
BetMGM has a 20-percent profit boost on home runs today, so we’ll bet Shohei Ohtani to go from +280 to +336.
DraftKings has a live 50-percent boost today (and every day this weekend) that we’ll be looking to exploit when the games begin. I’ll announce the play on Twitter.
There was no no-sweat bet yesterday, so nothing to report for our NFL futures.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +336 (0.2 Units to win 0.65) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Jackson Merrill to hit a home run +412 (0.5 Units to win 2.05) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$50
Jackson Merrill to hit a home run +480
BetMGM has a 20-percent profit boost on home runs today, so we’ll bet Jackson Merrill to go from +400 to +480.
DraftKings has a live 50-percent boost today (and every day this weekend) that we’ll be looking to exploit when the games begin. I’ll announce the play on Twitter.
We won our no-sweat bet yesterday, so nothing to add to our NFL futures.
Update: I’m betting Brent Rooker live at a 33-percent boost on DraftKings at +426. You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Jackson Merrill to hit a home run +480 (0.2 Units to win 0.95) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Brent Rooker to hit a home run +426 (0.5 Units to win 2.15) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$50
Yandy Diaz to hit a home run +475
DraftKings has a live boost today that we’ll be looking to exploit when the second Tigers-Rockies game begins, so make sure you follow me on Twitter for that one. In the meantime, BetMGM has a no-sweat token for $10, which we’ll use to bet Yandy Diaz.
We have a $50 no-sweat token from Tuesday. We’ll be using it on Chiefs to beat Redskins in the Super Bowl at +8493 odds. For details, check the NFL Futures Bets page.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Yandy Diaz to hit a home run +475 (0.1 Units to win 0.45) – BetMGM — Correct; +$45
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +432 (0.5 Units to win 2.15) – DraftKings (made on Twitter) — Incorrect; -$50
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +316; Jesus Sanchez to hit a home run +630; Yandy Diaz to hit a home run +725; Shea Langeliers to hit a home run +510
FanDuel has some great offers today. They have the usual Tuesday two 50-percent profit boosts for home runs, so we’ll bet two of the favorites to hit home runs. We can turn Aaron Judge’s odds from +210 to +316, and Kerry Carpenter’s odds from +350 to +525. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
FanDuel and BetMGM both have no-sweat bets available as well, capped at $50 and $10, respectively. We’ll be betting some of the longer shots with those. Jesus Sanchez is a great value found on FanDuel at +630. On BetMGM, Yandy Diaz +725 is great.
Update: Kerry Carpenter’s game was rained out, so that bet was voided. We’re going to use our other 50-percent boost on Shea Langeliers +510.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Aaron Judge to hit a home run +316 (0.5 Units to win 1.6) – FanDuel — Correct; +$160
Kerry Carpenter to hit a home run +525 (0.5 Units to win 2.6) – FanDuel — Voided; $0
Jesus Sanchez to hit a home run +630 (0.5 Units to win 3.15) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Yandy Diaz to hit a home run +725 (0.1 Units to win 0.7) – BetMGM — Correct; +$70
Shea Langeliers to hit a home run +510 (0.5 Units to win 2.55) – FanDuel — Incorrect; -$50
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +260 (0.5 Units to win 1.3) – FanDuel (made Wednesday on Twitter) — Incorrect; -$50
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +510
FanDuel has a 100-percent profit boost today on wagers up to $50. Shohei Ohtani is +255 at FanDuel, but we can turn that into +510! You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
No no-sweat home run bets to report. Hopefully we’ll get one tomorrow.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +510 (0.5 Units to win 2.55) – FanDuel — Correct; +$255
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +320; Weston Wilson to hit a home run +1020
DraftKings doesn’t have a no-sweat bet today, but they have a +150 surge, so we’re putting it on the favorite. Aaron Judge goes from +170 to +320! You can Get $250 in bonus bets from DraftKings by clicking the link.
We’re already getting strong value with Weston Wilson at +680 on FanDuel. With a 50-percent profit boost, he’s +1020! You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
No no-sweat home run bets to report. Hopefully we’ll get one tomorrow.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Aaron Judge to hit a home run +320 (0.5 Units to win 1.6) – DraftKings — Incorrect; -$50
Weston Wilson to hit a home run +1020 (0.5 Units to win 5.1) – FanDuel — Correct; +$510
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to hit a home run +630
BetMGM has another 20-percent profit boost today, albeit on a $20 limit. The best value I could find for this is Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
No no-sweat home run bets to report. Hopefully we’ll get one tomorrow.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to hit a home run +630 (0.2 Units to win 1.25) – BetMGM — Correct; +$125
Brent Rooker to hit a home run +480
Once again, no no-sweat home run promo on DraftKings today. It appears as though the promo is finished. BetMGM, however, has a 20-percent profit boost, albeit on a $20 limit. We will use that on Brent Rooker.
Our no-sweat home run lost yesterday, so we have a free $10 to put on anything. I’ll continue with Bills over Redskins exact result +6600 at BetMGM.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Brent Rooker to hit a home run +480 (0.2 Units to win 0.95) – BetMGM — Incorrect; -$20
Steven Kwan to hit a home run +950
Unfortunately, there’s no no-sweat home run promo on DraftKings today. I fear as though it may be over now that it’s May. We have a $10 no-sweat promo on BetMGM today, however.
Steven Kwan will be our no-sweat bet on BetMGM. Our no-sweat home run lost yesterday, so we have a free $20 to put on anything. I’m going to begin with Bills over Redskins exact result +7000.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Steven Kwan to hit a home run +950 (0.1 Units to win 0.95) – BetMGM (no sweat) — Incorrect; -$10
Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run +400
Wow, what a start to this. Be warned that these will lose more often than win, but with great value plays, it’s likely that we will make money in the long run.
Teoscar Hernandez will be our no-sweat bet on DraftKings. If it loses, I’ll specify how we’ll use the free bet tomorrow. Our no-sweat bet hit yesterday.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run +400 (0.5 Units to win 2) – DraftKings (no sweat) — Incorrect; -$50
Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run +400
Wow, what a start to this. Be warned that these will lose more often than win, but with great value plays, it’s likely that we will make money in the long run.
Teoscar Hernandez will be our no-sweat bet on DraftKings. If it loses, I’ll specify how we’ll use the free bet tomorrow. Our no-sweat bet hit yesterday.
I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Teoscar Hernandez to hit a home run +400 (0.5 Units to win 2) – DraftKings (no sweat) — Incorrect; -$50
Aaron Judge to hit a home run +346
Gavin Lux to hit a home run +1020
Trent Grisham to hit a home run +550
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +376
Aaron Judge and Gavin Lux provide the best values on FanDuel, especially when factoring in the profit boosts. You can Get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel by clicking the link.
Trent Grisham will be our no-sweat bet on DraftKings. If it loses, I’ll specify how we’ll use the free bet tomorrow.
Update: The Cincinnati game was rained out, so we still have one more profit boost. I put it on Shohei Ohtani.
I may post another pick later or add a unit to this game. If so, I’ll tweet it out. I’ll have updates on Twitter – @walterfootball.
MLB Player Prop Bet Picks: Aaron Judge to hit a home run +346 (0.5 Units to win 1.75) – FanDuel — Correct; +$175
Gavin Lux to hit a home run +1020 (0.5 Units to win 5.1) – FanDuel — No action; game postponed
Trent Grisham to hit a home run +550 (0.5 Units to win 2.75) – DraftKings (no sweat) — Correct; +$275
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run +376 (0.5 Units to win 1.9) – FanDuel — Correct; +$190
