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Dwight Howard, Magic
Howard saw a dip in his scoring last season due to a drop in touches (blame Vince Carter.) Still, he is one of the best big men fantasy-wise as his rebounds, blocks, and field goal percentage are always among the league leaders. He does turn it over a lot for a big and is a terrible free throw shooter which probably drops him to an early second round pick.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 19.5 ppg, 13.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.0 spg, 3.0 bpg, 59.5 FG%, 60.5 FT%
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David Lee, Warriors
Lee moves from one up-tempo team to another. There are more scorers in Golden State than there were in New York, but Lee will still . He is one of the best rebounders in the league, his shooting percentages are great, and he will get you an above average amount of steal and assists for a center. I wouldn’t use a first round pick on him, but would feel very safe snagging him in the second round.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 19.0 ppg, 11.5 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.0 spg, .5 bpg, 54.0 FG%, 81.0 FT%
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Brook Lopez, Nets
Lopez averaged nearly 19 and 9 in his second season on a terrible Nets team. Imagine what he can do on a halfway decent team. It is likely Troy Murphy and Derrick Favors could take away some of his touches, but they will also make defenses account for them which will leave Lopez in more 1-on-1 situations.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 18.0 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 2.5 apg, .75 spg, 1.75 bpg, 52.0 FG%, 81.5 FT%
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Tim Duncan, Spurs
I will repeat what I wrote last year, “Is this the year Duncan finally starts to break down?” He did not show his age last season by averaging almost 18 and 10 per game, but will probably see a slight dip in numbers since the Spurs frontcourt has a lot of depth and the team will want to keep Duncan healthy and fresh for the post-season.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 16.5 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, .5 spg, 1.5 bpg, 53.0 FG%, 73.0 FT%
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Al Horford, Hawks
Horford has always been a solid rebounder, but is really starting to make strides as a scorer which adds to his fantasy value. His shooting percentages drastically improved and he also helps you with blocks and steals.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 10.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, .75 spg, 1.25 bpg, 54.0 FG%, 77.5 FT%
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Andrew Bogut, Bucks
The Aussie really came into his own as a post scorer and shot blocker last season before suffering a freakish season-ending elbow injury. He has not been able to stay healthy during his career so be cautious of that, but if he returns to 100%, Bogut is one of the better center options.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, .5 spg, 2.0 bpg, 53.5 FG%, 61.0 FT%
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Marc Gasol, Grizzlies
Suddenly the Pau Gasol trade does not look that terrible since Marc has made a nice little career for himself in Memphis. I am worried that Hasheem Thabeet might steal some minutes from Gasol, but he is in a contract year so he will be motivated to have a great season.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.5 bpg, 56.0 FG%, 71.0 FT%
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Andrea Bargnani, Raptors
With Chris Bosh and Hedo Turkoglu gone, Bargnani suddenly becomes the top scorer in Toronto. He has never put up big rebounding numbers, but is a huge asset because of his ability to shoot the three. Expect his shooting percentage to dip a little since he will be forced to try and score more.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 18.0 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.5 apg, .5 spg, 1.25 bpg, 125 3-PT, 44.0 FG%, 79.5 FT%
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Joakim Noah, Bulls
Noah is coming off a breakout season in which he became one of the better rebounders in the league. With Carlos Boozer arriving in Chicago, Noah might not be as productive especially as a scorer but he should still be a double-double a night guy.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 10.0 ppg, 10.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, .75 spg, 1.75 bpg, 53.0 FG%, 73.0 FT%
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Chris Kaman, Clippers
Coming off a career scoring year, Kaman is almost guaranteed to see his production drop due to Blake Griffin being healthy. If he starts slipping towards the middle rounds, feel good about taking him but I would not jump the gun to grab him.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.5 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.5 apg, .5 spg, 1.5 bpg, 51.0 FG%, 74.0 FT%
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Marcus Camby, Blazers
The 14-year veteran continues to be a valuable fantasy commodity due to his rebounding and shot blocking. At this point of a career, he is not going to change his colors and all of a sudden start scoring 20 points per night. But with Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla banged up, he will see a good chunk of minutes in the middle.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 8.0 ppg, 11.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.0 spg, 2.0 bpg, 49.0 FG%, 65.5 FT%
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DeMarcus Cousins, Kings
I am buying into Cousins’ pro potential. I think he will have a massive chip on his shoulder this season and something to prove. He is an extremely skilled big man on the offensive and if he can stay out of foul trouble will see a lot of floor time in Sacramento.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 2.0 apg, .5 spg, 1.25 bpg, 53.0 FG%, 62.6 FT%
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Yao Ming, Rockets
Once a late-first round pick, Yao will fall quite a bit on draft night. His injury history is a huge concern and it is believed that he will have his minutes severely cut this season. He is a tough player to project this year but just be cautious about selecting him too early.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 14.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.5 apg, .5 spg, 1.5 bpg, 51.0 FG%, 84.0 FT%
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Andrew Bynum, Lakers
There is a whole lot of risk/reward with Bynum. When he is healthy, he has tremendous fantasy value. However, he is coming off a serious knee surgery and I just do not trust his full health. I would not count on him as my number one center, but if you are in the business of gambling, grab him in the mid rounds.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 13.5 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.0 apg, .5 spg, 1.5 bpg, 55.5 FG%, 74.5 FT%
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Nene Hilario, Nuggets
I am still going to be very skeptical of drafting any Nuggets because of the whole �Melo factor. If you are not scared off by that situation than Nene has mid-round value and could be a better producer early in the season when K-Mart and the Birdman are sidelined with injuries.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 13.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.25 spg, 1.25 bpg, 57.0 FG%, 72.5 FT%
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Emeka Okafor, Hornets
His numbers have really dropped off since his first couple of seasons in the league but Okafor still has mid-round value. The Hornets do not have a whole lot of depth inside, but having a healthy Chris Paul back should help.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 11.5 ppg, 9.5 rpg, .5 apg, .75 spg, 1.5 bpg, 54.5 FG%, 57.5 FT%
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JaVale McGee, Wizards
After spending a good chunk of the summer practicing with Team USA, McGee is a sexy sleeper pick this year. He does not have any real competition at center in Washington and will probably double his playing time from a season ago.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 12.5 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.0 apg, .75 spg, 2.75 bpg, 52.0 FG%, 66.5 FT%
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Roy Hibbert, Pacers
He is nothing more than a solid fantasy back-up who should see a slight bump in numbers due to the Pacers dealing Troy Murphy.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 9.0 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.0 bpg, 52.5 FG%, 64.5 FT%
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Anderson Varejao, Cavaliers
Varejao should see more minutes at the five this season since Shaq and Big Z are no longer in Cleveland. Plus, he will be part of the group effort to replace LeBron’s production. I think he could be great mid-late round value.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 9.0 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.0 bpg, 52.5 FG%, 64.5 FT%
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Andris Biedrins, Warriors
Biedrins fell off the fantasy map last season mostly because of injuries. Even when he was healthy, Biedrins was just not the same player. I would expect a little bit of a bounce back year now that he is paired up-front with David Lee but he probably falls into the later rounds.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 7.5 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 2.0 apg, .5 spg, 1.25 bpg, 60.5 FG%, 52.0 FT%
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Written by Paul Banks of the Washington Times, and David Kay of the The Sports Bank.
Send Paul an e-mail here: paulb05 AT hotmail DOT com.
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