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2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Rankings: Point Guards 1-20 | PGs 21-40
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Chris Paul, Hornets
If you ended with Chris Paul on draft night, you were probably thrilled. By February you were probably scrambling to pick up Darren Collison as Paul ended up missing 37 games due to injury. Paul is healthy and should return to his old form being one of the top overall picks. He shoots a solid percentage from the free throw line and improved his three-point shooting before suffering the injury. I have a feeling Paul will be playing with a chip on his shoulder this season after a summer full of trade rumors.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 22.0 ppg, 10.5 apg, 4.5 rpg, 2.5 spg, 90 3PTM, 49.0 FG%, 86.0 FT%
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Deron Williams, Jazz
Utah underwent a bit of a facelift this offseason losing Carlos Boozer, Kyle Korver and Wesley Matthews in free agency. While they acquired Al Jefferson to replace Boozer’s production, there is a question as to who will score on the wing meaning Deron Williams will probably shoulder more of a scoring load this season. I would feel good taking him in the late first round in a 10- or 12-person league.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 21.0 ppg, 10.5 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.25 spg, 105 3PTM, 47.0 FG%, 82.0 FT%
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Stephen Curry, Warriors
He certainly answered all the questions about his ability to run the point in the NBA during his rookie season. Playing in Golden State’s up-tempo offense makes him very valuable in fantasy hoops (assuming that style is still incorporated even though Don Nelson is no longer in charge.) His long-range bombing ability is a huge asset and he should see more assist opportunities with David Lee around.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 19.0 ppg, 7.0 apg, 4.5 rpg, 1.75 spg, 180 3PTM, 46.0 FG%, 90.0 FT%
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Rajon Rondo, Celtics
Rondo made the leap to an elite fantasy point guard last season and if he plays like he did in the postseason, he will only be more valuable this year. He is not a big scorer or three-point threat, and his free throw percentage is at the bottom end for point guards. Now entering his fifth season as a pro and being the energizer on an aging team, his opportunities should only increase in 2010-11.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.5 ppg, 9.0 apg, 5.5 rpg, 2.5 spg, 20 3PTM, 49.5 FG%, 63.0 FT%
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Steve Nash, Suns
Will this be the year that age finally catches up to Nash? For the fifth straight season, his playing time dipped a little bit and with Goran Dragic starting to figure it out, that could mean even less minutes. Plus you have to consider how Amare’s departure from the Desert will effect his numbers. One belief is that the 36-year-old will not be as productive without Stoudemire while the other is that Nash will have to shoulder more of the load. I would make sure to draft a solid backup for Nash if you are going to use a high pick on Nash.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 16.0 ppg, 9.5 apg, 3.0 rpg, 0.75 spg, 130 3PTM, 49.5 FG%, 93.0 FT%
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Jason Kidd, Mavericks
I think this is the year Kidd suffers a setback in not only his playing time but also production. Having Roddy Beaubois waiting in the wings will cut into Kidd’s playing time as Dallas will try to make sure he is fresh for the postseason. With that being said, Kidd is still a valuable option due to his ability to put up solid numbers across the board. Shooting has never been his forte, but the 37-year-old did top his single season three-pointers by 37 last season.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 9.5 ppg, 8.0 apg, 5.0 rpg, 1.5 spg, 125 3PTM, 41.5 FG%, 81.5 FT%
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Derrick Rose, Bulls
The addition of Carlos Boozer finally gives Rose an interior scorer who should help his numbers (even though Boozer will miss the first two months.) Entering his third season, Rose is on the brink of vaulting himself into elite point guard status. He is not a great outside shooter, but should be improved in that area this season. Having played for Team USA at the World Championships only made him a better player and his risk/reward is probably far greater than Steve Nash or Jason Kidd.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 22.5 ppg, 7.0 apg, 4.0 rpg, 1.0 spg, 40 3PTM, 49.0 FG%, 79.0 FT%
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Russell Westbrook, Thunder
It is scary that Westbrook only turns 22 in November. As a result of Kevin Durant’s leap into superstardom, Westbrook’s assist numbers increased last season and should only go up this year. He will not do much for your three-point total but makes up for it in other areas. I would not take him ahead of Kidd or Nash, but it might be worth a roll of the dice.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 17.0 ppg, 9.0 apg, 5.0 rpg, 1.5 spg, 30 3PTM, 42.0 FG%, 80.0 FT%
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Aaron Brooks, Rockets
The NBA’s Most Improved Player, Brooks was probably a steal for whoever drafted him in your league. With Yao returning, his scoring numbers will probably dip a little bit, but Brooks will be a huge asset in helping you win the three pointers category where he led the league last season. He does not put up great assist numbers but is still worthy of being a No. 1 point guard if you do not grab one of the guys ahead of him.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 17.5 ppg, 6.0 apg, 2.5 rpg, 0.75 spg, 190 3PTM, 44.0 FG%, 84.0 FT%
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Chauncey Billups, Nuggets
You have to assume that Carmelo Anthony will not finish the season as a member of the Nuggets. When that deal happens is anyone’s guess so for the time being I would be careful when drafting Billups as the Nuggets could soon be a completely different team. Still, he will hit threes, shoot a high percentage from the free throw line, and put up solid numbers. He will be most valuable at the beginning of the season when Anthony is around and Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen are sidelined with injuries. I would have a solid backup though if you take Billups as your No. 1 point guard.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 18.5 ppg, 6.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.00 spg, 150 3PTM, 41.0 FG%, 90.0 FT%
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Mo Williams, Cavaliers
Somebody is going to have to step up for the LeBron-less Cavs and Williams will likely become the go-to scorer meaning he should see a spike in his scoring and three pointers. He should also see more time with the ball in his hands which will help his assist total. Expect Cleveland to use Williams at the two frequently this season due to Ramon Sessions’ acquisition.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 19.0 ppg, 6.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.00 spg, 190 3PTM, 45.0 FG%, 90.0 FT%
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Devin Harris, Nets
After a breakout season in 2008-2009, Harris suffered a setback last year due to injuries and playing for an awful Nets team. New Jersey is improved this season as the additions of Troy Murphy and Anthony Morrow along with the continued improvement of Brook Lopez should help Harris’ assist numbers. He is not a great shooter and I wouldn’t expect him to reach his totals from two years ago, but he should be a better option than he was last season.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 18.0 ppg, 7.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.25 spg, 80 3PTM, 43.0 FG%, 81.5 FT%
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Darren Collison, Pacers
Collison capitalized on Chris Paul’s injury proving he could be a starting point guard in the NBA. That type of play led to Collison’s trade to Indy where he becomes the full-time starter jumping his value at least spots. I would not go too nuts and over-value Collison on draft day especially because he turns the ball over at a high rate, but there could be tremendous reward potential if he takes advantage of his new opportunity.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 7.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.50 spg, 75 3PTM, 46.0 FG%, 87.0 FT%
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Brandon Jennings, Bucks
After a scorching hot start to the season, Jennings saw a slow, but steady decline as the season progressed. With Andrew Bogut back from injury and the acquisitions of Corey Maggette and Chris Douglas-Roberts, Jennings might not score as much as he did last season, but should become more of a distributor in his second season. You also have to figure in Luke Ridnour’s exit from Milwaukee which will mean more minutes for the young Buck.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 14.5 ppg, 7.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.50 spg, 125 3PTM, 40.0 FG%, 83.0 FT%
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Baron Davis, Clippers
His numbers have dipped since arriving in Clipperland and injuries are always a concern when you draft Davis. Having Blake Griffin in the fold should help assist numbers for whoever is running the show but with the additions of Randy Foye and Eric Bledsoe, Davis could see less playing time. I would not draft Davis on my team, but he is solid number two option at the point.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.5 ppg, 7.5 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.5 spg, 100 3PTM, 40.0 FG%, 80.5 FT%
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Raymond Felton, Knicks
Switching from a slow paced Bobcat team to the up-tempo style that Mike D’Antoni runs in New York should translate into an increase in productivity for Felton. There is the possibility of �Melo ending up with the Knicks before the season ends which would bump Felton’s numbers down.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 15.0 ppg, 7.5 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.5 spg, 85 3PTM, 43.5 FG%, 78.0 FT%
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Tony Parker, Spurs
Parker suffered his worst statistical season since 2003-2004 partially due to injury and partially due to the continued development of George Hill. If I was running an NBA franchise, I would love to have his leadership and poise, but in fantasy his value is not that high especially since he is not a threat from downtown.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 17.0 ppg, 6.0 apg, 3.0 rpg, 0.75 spg, 20 3PTM, 49.5 FG%, 77.0 FT%
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Jonny Flynn, Timberwolves
Flynn suffered through plenty of growing pains during his first season in the association. He ended up splitting time with Ramon Sessions at the point and will probably be in a similar situation this year with Luke Ridnour. The Timberwolves are a bit of a mess this year and do not have a lead scorer which could result in a slight bump in scoring, but I would expect similar numbers as last year.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 14.0 ppg, 5.0 apg, 2.5 rpg, 1.00 spg, 90 3PTM, 42.5 FG%, 83.0 FT%
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John Wall, Wizards
He is incredibly talented and an NBA game, but how will he mesh in the same backcourt as Gilbert Arenas while Kirk Hinrich waits to come in off the bench. His turnover total will probably be very high and he is not a great outside shooter, but he will get every chance to run the show for the Wiz. My guess is that he will be over-valued on draft day so if you really want him, you may have to take him a couple rounds earlier than you were hoping to.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 13.0 ppg, 5.0 apg, 4.0 rpg, 1.25 spg, 30 3PTM, 38.5 FG%, 72.0 FT%
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Jameer Nelson, Magic
Recent history now puts Nelson in the �injury risk category as he has missed 57 games during the past two seasons. Vince Carter’s arrival last season resulted in a decrease in point production without helping his assist numbers. With the off-season signing of Chris Duhon, Orlando has a solid option behind Nelson as well.
Projected 2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Stats: 13.5 ppg, 5.5 apg, 3.0 rpg, .75 spg, 100 3PTM, 47.0 FG%, 86.0 FT%
2010-11 Fantasy Basketball Rankings: Point Guards 1-20 | PGs 21-40
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Written by Paul Banks of the Washington Times, and David Kay of the The Sports Bank.
Send Paul an e-mail here: paulb05 AT hotmail DOT com.
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