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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 8 matchup
Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Line: Jaguars -10 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Colts | Jaguars | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Power rank ▶ | #6 |
| 2-5 | Record (straight up) ▶ | 4-2 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread ◀ | 3-3 |
| 2-1on the road | ATS on the road / at home ▶ | 2-0at home |
| 3-2as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 2-2as favorite |
| -2.3pts per game | Avg. cover margin ▶ | +5.6pts per game |
| -26 | Point differential ▶ | +50 |
| 18.4avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 15.5avg. opp. rank |
| #28 | Net EPA rank ▶ | #3 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-2, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Colts offense | Jaguars defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | EPA per play ▶ | #6 |
| #28 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #19 |
| #7 | Rush EPA ▶ | #1 |
| #20 | Success rate ▶ | #11 |
| #2331.0% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #831.1% of dropbacks |
| Colts defense | Jaguars offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | EPA per play ▶ | #9 |
| #21 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #7 |
| #19 | Rush EPA ▶ | #13 |
| #10 | Success rate ▶ | #8 |
| #3023.6% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #625.7% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Indianapolis ColtsRavens 41, COLTS 23 (IND +3.5). The Ravens dominated this game with so many big plays from the three primary players. This was a 28-6 game when the Colts did stuff in garbage time. 506-251 BAL, 7.9-4.7 BAL
CHIEFS 33, Colts 30 (KC -6.5). This was a back-and-forth game where barely any defense was played. The Chiefs won with two possessions in overtime compared to the Colts' one. 523-329 KC, 6.7-5.2 KC
COLTS 19, Texans 17 (IND +1.5). The Texans strip-sacked Daniel Jones twice in this game, but Jones otherwise shredded Houston's secondary, while C.J. Stroud couldn't get anything going on offensive. The Texans once again blew a scoring opportunity on a fourth-down stuff. 300-223 IND, 4.4-4.2 HOU
Colts 30, REDSKINS 13 (WAS +3.5). The Colts were trailing until Marcus Mariota got hurt. Athan Kaliakmanis gave the Colts a free touchdown. Jonathan Taylor took over in the second half, saving Daniel Jones from a poor performance. 317-257 WAS, 5.2-3.7 WAS
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Titans 26, COLTS 20 (IND -7). The Colts led 13-0, but Daniel Jones made some mistakes in the second half. The Titans got on the board and then scored a touchdown on a blocked punt. Their defense shut down Jones after that to get the win. 399-186 IND, 5.1-4.1 IND
VIKINGS 16, Colts 10 (MIN -6.5). The Colts went up 7-0 and 10-6 early with some big Jonathan Taylor runs, but the Vikings blanked the Colts in the second half with the help of two missed field goals. Kyler Murray had a long scramble to set up the go-ahead touchdown. 275-218 MIN, 4.9-3.7 MIN
Jacksonville JaguarsJAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX
BRONCOS 20, Jaguars 13 (DEN -2.5). The Jaguars led for most of this game, with Denver making mistakes on offense throughout the first half. That reversed in the second half with Brian Thomas Jr. drops and a Trevor Lawrencce interception. 392-268 DEN, 6.6-4.9 DEN
JAGUARS 35, Patriots 6 (JAX -3). The Jaguars dominated from start to finish, as the Patriots repeatedly shot themselves in the foot. New England got its yardage in garbage time. 317-315 NE, 5.3-5.3 tie
Jaguars 22, BENGALS 17 (CIN -2.5). The Bengals lost Ja'Marr Chase early and Joe Burrow threw two interceptions. The Jaguars couldn't distance themselves because of countless penalties and mistakes. 437-323 CIN, 6.2-6.0 CIN
Jaguars 19, Eagles 17 (JAX -7.5). The Jaguars outplayed the Eagles in all three facets, but constantly shot themselves in the foot with untimely penalties. The Eagles scored no points in the second half until a final-minute drive, but a great kickoff return set up Jacksonville with the decisive field goal. 408-232 JAX, 6.0-3.9 JAX
Texans 34, Jaguars 31 (JAX -2.5). The Jaguars had the body-clock advantage, but they were lethargic and sloppy in this game. They had first-half drives end at the Houston 32 and 5. They tried to play catch-up in the second half, but couldn't stop C.J. Stroud. They settled for a 60-yard field goal, giving the Texans a good chance to win. 426-412 HOU, 7.2-6.1 HOU
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 8 matchups · Indianapolis Colts team page · Jacksonville Jaguars team page
