Baseball Picks (April 13-19, 2009): +$1,500
Baseball Picks (April 20-26, 2009): -$480
Baseball Picks (April 27-May 3, 2009): -$1,480
Baseball Picks (May 4-10, 2009): -$130
Baseball Picks (May 11-17, 2009): -$1,515
Baseball Picks (May 18-24, 2009): -$1,000
Baseball Picks (May 25-31, 2009): -$175
Baseball Picks (June 1-7, 2009): +$1,810
Baseball Picks (June 8-14, 2009): +$390
Baseball Picks (June 15-21, 2009): -$1,330
Baseball Picks (June 22-28, 2009): +$1,060
Baseball Picks (June 29-July 5, 2009): -$220
Baseball Picks (July 6-12, 2009): +$340
Baseball Picks (July 13-19, 2009): +$850
Baseball Picks (July 20-26, 2009): +$170
Baseball Picks (July 27-Aug. 2, 2009): +$1,800
Baseball Picks (Aug. 3-9, 2009): +$710
Baseball Picks (Aug. 10-16, 2009): -$290
Baseball Picks (Aug. 17-23, 2009): +$70
Baseball Picks (Aug. 24-30, 2009): +$310
Baseball Picks (Aug. 31-Sept. 6, 2009): -$1,060
2009 Season Winnings (as of Sept. 6): +$110
Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Tigers +155; Rays -165.
Note: Now that September is upon us, a number of teams have quit for the year, making it more difficult to handicap baseball using my strategy. So, with that in mind, I’m packing it in for the year and walking away with a slim 1.1-unit profit (which I’m proud of, considering I was down 45 units in late May.) See you in April.
The Tigers have just played a bunch of games at home, so with a nice winning streak going, they’re pretty overvalued here. Tampa Bay is a good bargain.
Prediction: Rays 5, Tigers 3
Rays -165 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays
Line: Tigers -115; Rays +105.
The Tigers have just played a bunch of games at home, so with a nice winning streak going, they’re pretty overvalued here. Tampa Bay is a good bargain.
Prediction: Rays 4, Tigers 1
Rays +105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs
Line: White Sox +160; Cubs -170.
I had a doctor’s appointment at 3:30 yesterday. At 3:15, I saw that I had a 2-0 Twins lead with two outs in the top of the ninth. Joe Nathan was on the mound, so I confidently put my screen saver on and left my house. As you probably can imagine, I thought I was high and/or drunk when I saw the White Sox won 4-2.
Prediction: Cubs 7, White Sox 5
Cubs -170 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$340
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox -115; Twins +105.
This series will be the nail in Chicago’s coffin. The Homer Dome is their house of horrors.
Prediction: Twins 3, White Sox 1
Twins +105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox -125; Twins +115.
This series will be the nail in Chicago’s coffin. The Homer Dome is their house of horrors.
Prediction: Twins 5, White Sox 4
Twins +115 (2 Units) — Correct; +$230
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Line: Rays +100; Tigers -110.
The Tigers are coming off a tough 3-3 road trip, so things will be a lot easier for them at home. Good value with Detroit here.
Prediction: Tigers 1, Rays 0
Tigers -110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Line: Rays +140; Tigers -150.
The Tigers are coming off a tough 3-3 road trip, so things will be a lot easier for them at home. Good value with Detroit here.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Rays 2
Tigers -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Line: Rays -140; Tigers +130.
The Tigers are coming off a tough 3-3 road trip, so things will be a lot easier for them at home. Good value with Detroit here.
Prediction: Tigers 3, Rays 2
Tigers +130 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners
Line: Royals +120; Mariners -130.
Since playing the Royals on Aug. 6, the Mariners haven’t had an easy series at home. They’ve lost a ton of games, so we’re getting good value here.
Prediction: Mariners 9, Royals 7
Mariners -130 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Line: Rays -130; Tigers +120.
The Tigers are coming off a tough 3-3 road trip, so things will be a lot easier for them at home. Good value with Detroit here.
Prediction: Tigers 6, Rays 1
Tigers +130 (2 Units) — Correct; +$260
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Line: Diamondbacks +125; Giants -135.
The Giants just lost a bunch of games at Colorado, so we’re getting them at the right price at home versus a crappy opponent.
Prediction: Giants 9, Diamondbacks 8
Giants -135 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$270
Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners
Line: Royals +135; Mariners -145.
Since playing the Royals on Aug. 6, the Mariners haven’t had an easy series at home. They’ve lost a ton of games, so we’re getting good value here.
Prediction: Mariners 4, Royals 3
Mariners -145 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$290
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Line: Diamondbacks +120; Giants -130.
The Giants just lost a bunch of games at Colorado, so we’re getting them at the right price at home versus a crappy opponent.
Prediction: Giants 6, Diamondbacks 2
Giants -130 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners
Line: Athletics +115; Mariners -125.
Since playing the Royals on Aug. 6, the Mariners haven’t had an easy series at home. They’ve lost a ton of games, so we’re getting good value here.
Prediction: Mariners 7, Athletics 3
Mariners -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Line: Diamondbacks +130; Giants -140.
The Giants just lost a bunch of games at Colorado, so we’re getting them at the right price at home versus a crappy opponent.
Prediction: Giants 3, Diamondbacks 2
Giants -140 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels
Line: Tigers +155; Angels -165.
The Tigers have had a bunch of easy series and have consequently beefed up their record. We’re getting nice value with the Angels.
Prediction: Angles 5, Tigers 1
Angels -165 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$330
Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners
Line: Athletics +115; Mariners -125.
Since playing the Royals on Aug. 6, the Mariners haven’t had an easy series at home. They’ve lost a ton of games, so we’re getting good value here.
Prediction: Mariners 6, Athletics 5
Mariners -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels
Line: Tigers +120; Angels -130.
The Tigers have had a bunch of easy series and have consequently beefed up their record. We’re getting nice value with the Angels.
Prediction: Angles 2, Tigers 0
Angels -130 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$260
Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners
Line: Athletics +110; Mariners -120.
Since playing the Royals on Aug. 6, the Mariners haven’t had an easy series at home. They’ve lost a ton of games, so we’re getting good value here.
Prediction: Mariners 10, Athletics 5
Mariners -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Line: Yankees +100; Red Sox -110.
The Yankees own the Red Sox now, and Boston has proven that it can only beat mediocre teams at home and crappy squads on the road.
Prediction: Yankees 1, Red Sox 0
Yankees +100 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Cubs +160; Dodgers -170.
This is the Dodgers’ easiest series in a while.
Prediction: Dodgers 3, Cubs 1
Dodgers -170 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$340
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Line: Yankees -155; Red Sox +145.
The Yankees own the Red Sox now, and Boston has proven that it can only beat mediocre teams at home and crappy squads on the road.
Prediction: Yankees 6, Red Sox 0
Yankees -155 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$310
Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Cubs +105; Dodgers -115.
This is the Dodgers’ easiest series in a while.
Prediction: Dodgers 5, Cubs 3
Dodgers -115 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Line: Yankees -120; Red Sox +110.
The Yankees own the Red Sox now, and Boston has proven that it can only beat mediocre teams at home and crappy squads on the road.
Prediction: Yankees 3, Red Sox 1
Yankees -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Cubs +130; Dodgers -140.
This is a late add early Friday evening. I missed this game and wanted to take the Dodgers, as this is their easiest series in a while.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Cubs 2
Dodgers -140 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals
Line: Rockies -160; Nationals +150.
I should have looked into backing the Rockies this series; beating up on the Nats is much easier than playing at Florida.
Prediction: Rockies 3, Nationals 2
Rockies -160 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Line: Twins +185; Rangers -200.
The Rangers blew a 5-0 lead on Tuesday and a 3-0 lead last night. Let’s see how they can screw me this time.
Prediction: Rangers 11, Twins 9
Rangers -200 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Line: Twins +130; Rangers -140.
How did the Rangers lose last night? They were up 5-0 and I stopped checking the score.
Prediction: Rangers 4, Twins 0
Rangers -140 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$280
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Line: Twins +140; Rangers -150.
Going with the Rangers again; they should be able to keep winning at home.
Prediction: Rangers 5, Twins 2
Rangers -150 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$300
Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
Line: Twins +125; Rangers -135.
Going with the Rangers again; they should be able to keep winning at home.
Prediction: Rangers 2, Twins 1
Rangers -135 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers
Line: Astros +100; Brewers -110.
The Astros won some games at home recently, but it’s not surprising to see them struggle at home. Milwaukee just beat San Diego and I expect them to keep that momentum going.
Prediction: Brewers 4, Astros 1
Brewers -110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: Red Sox +105; Rangers -115.
Good to see the Rangers not blow a 7-2 lead last night.
Prediction: Rangers 3, Red Sox 1
Rangers -115 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers
Line: Astros +135; Brewers -145.
The Astros won some games at home recently, but it’s not surprising to see them struggle at home. Milwaukee just beat San Diego and I expect them to keep that momentum going.
Prediction: Brewers 9, Astros 6
Brewers -145 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: Red Sox +100; Rangers -110.
Damn you Rangers for blowing a 4-2 lead in the ninth.
Prediction: Rangers 8, Red Sox 6
Rangers -110 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers
Line: Astros +125; Brewers -135.
The Astros won some games at home recently, but it’s not surprising to see them struggle at home. Milwaukee just beat San Diego and I expect them to keep that momentum going.
Prediction: Brewers 4, Astros 3
Brewers -135 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Line: Royals +100; Tigers -110.
The Tigers just had a tough series at Boston, but things will be a little bit easier at home against Kansas City.
Prediction: Tigers 2, Royals 0
Tigers -110 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
Line: Red Sox -120; Rangers +110.
I think the Red Sox are a little overrated right now after beating up on Detroit. Their lineup still stinks, while the Rangers are very talented.
Prediction: Rangers 4, Red Sox 1
Rangers +110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox
Line: Tigers -115; Red Sox +105.
I can’t believe I haven’t been backing the Red Sox the past few days; this is the type of series that has brought me back to the black.
Prediction: Red Sox 3, Tigers 2
Red Sox +105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
Line: Padres +125; Brewers -135.
The Brewers are coming off two tough road series. Hosting the crappy Padres should net them a few victories.
Prediction: Brewers 7, Padres 4
Brewers -135 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$270
Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Athletics +125; Orioles -135.
Other than one four-game set against the Royals, I don’t think Baltimore has had an easy series in more than a month. The Orioles are better than their record indicates, and I still think we’re getting great value here.
Prediction: Orioles 9, Athletics 5
Orioles -135 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$270
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
Line: Padres +130; Brewers -140.
The Brewers are coming off two tough road series. Hosting the crappy Padres should net them a few victories.
Prediction: Brewers 8, Padres 2
Brewers -140 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$280
Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Athletics +115; Orioles -125.
Other than one four-game set against the Royals, I don’t think Baltimore has had an easy series in more than a month. The Orioles are better than their record indicates, and I still think we’re getting great value here.
Prediction: Orioles 9, Athletics 4
Orioles -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Line: Cubs +130; Rockies -140.
The Cubs have beefed up their record, but they’ve done so with meaningless wins against Cincinnati, Houston and Washington. Things will be harder at Coors Field.
Prediction: Rockies 4, Cubs 1
Rockies -140 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles
Line: Athletics +115; Orioles -125.
Other than one four-game set against the Royals, I don’t think Baltimore has had an easy series in more than a month. The Orioles are better than their record indicates, and I think we’re getting great value here.
Prediction: Orioles 10, Athletics 9
Orioles -125 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$250
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Line: Cubs -115; Rockies +105.
The Cubs have beefed up their record, but they’ve done so with meaningless wins against Cincinnati, Houston and Washington. Things will be harder at Coors Field.
Prediction: Rockies 5, Cubs 2
Rockies +105 (2 Units) — Correct; +$210
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
Line: Twins +110; Tigers -120.
Going with the Tigers again; it’s the fourth time in the past five days that they’ve been undervalued.
Prediction: Tigers 2, Twins 1
Tigers -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Line: Cubs +135; Rockies -145.
The Cubs have beefed up their record, but they’ve done so with meaningless wins against Cincinnati, Houston and Washington. Things will be harder at Coors Field.
Prediction: Rockies 7, Cubs 3
Rockies -145 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$145
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Line: Cubs +110; Rockies -120.
The Cubs have beefed up their record, but they’ve done so with meaningless wins against Cincinnati, Houston and Washington. Things will be harder at Coors Field.
Prediction: Rockies 4, Cubs 3
Rockies -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
Line: Twins +110; Tigers -120.
Going with the Tigers again; it’s the third day in a row that they’ve been undervalued.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Twins 1
Tigers -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Line: Orioles +130; Tigers -140.
Going with the Tigers again; it’s the second day in a row that they’ve been undervalued.
Prediction: Tigers 5, Orioles 2
Tigers -140 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Line: Orioles +185; Tigers -205.
As crazy as it sounds, $2.05 is very low; the Tigers should be much more expensive given the pitching matchup.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Orioles 3
Tigers -205 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros
Line: Giants +100; Astros -110.
Forgive me, Giants fans, but I don’t think your team is that good. Your team is hot now because of some home wins, but the Phillies were distracted with the trade of Clifton Lee. Houston will play better at home.
Prediction: Astros 8, Giants 4
Astros -110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Line: Orioles +240; Tigers -280.
I’m making this one unit because the line is so damn high. The Tigers have been in a funk lately, but beating up on crappy teams at home should do the trick.
Prediction: Tigers 9, Orioles 3
Tigers -280 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Line: Mariners +170; Rangers -180.
I made such a big deal about being in the black that I went on and jinxed myself. Whoops.
Prediction: Rangers 6, Mariners 3
Rangers -180 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Line: Mariners -120; Rangers +110.
I don’t think the Mariners are that good. I firmly believe they’re 53-50 because they’ve beaten numerous inferior opponents lately.
Prediction: Rangers 3, Mariners 2
Rangers +110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Line: Mariners +155; Rangers -165.
I don’t think the Mariners are that good. I firmly believe they’re 53-49 because they’ve beaten numerous inferior opponents lately.
Prediction: Rangers 6, Mariners 1
Rangers -165 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals
Line: Astros +140; Cardinals -150.
The Astros were hot before, but they’ve started losing lately. Coincidentally, they’ve started playing tougher opponents. You know where I’m going with this…
Prediction: Cardinals 5, Astros 2
Cardinals -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Line: Mariners +140; Rangers -150.
I don’t think the Mariners are that good. I firmly believe they’re 53-48 because they’ve beaten numerous inferior opponents lately.
Prediction: Rangers 12, Mariners 6
Rangers -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants
Line: Pirates +140; Giants -150.
The talking heads on ESPN have made a big deal about the Giants struggling lately. Well, that’s going to happen when you have tough road games against the Rockies, Braves and the Bad News Pirates (before the Adam LaRoche trade).
Prediction: Giants 2, Pirates 1
Giants -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Line: Tigers -115; Rangers +105.
I feel as though the Tigers are a bit inflated because of some recent easy victories. Good value with Texas here.
Prediction: Rangers 4, Tigers 1
Rangers +105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +135; Twins -145.
The White Sox should continue their slide in their house of horrors.
Prediction: Twins 11, White Sox 4
Twins -145 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +115; Twins -125.
I think the White Sox will continue their slide… Curiously enough, Mark Buehrle is an underdog here. Smells like a trap.
Prediction: Twins 5, White Sox 2
Twins -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Line: Tigers +110; Rangers -120.
I feel as though the Tigers are a bit inflated because of some recent easy victories. Good value with Texas here.
Prediction: Rangers 6, Tigers 3
Rangers -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants
Line: Pirates +125; Giants -135.
The talking heads on ESPN have made a big deal about the Giants struggling lately. Well, that’s going to happen when you have tough road games against the Rockies, Braves and the Bad News Pirates (before the Adam LaRoche trade).
Prediction: Giants 8, Pirates 3
Giants -135 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +100; Twins -110.
I think the White Sox will continue their slide despite beating the Tigers last night.
Prediction: Twins 7, White Sox 5
Twins -110 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers
Line: Tigers +120; Rangers -130.
I feel as though the Tigers are a bit inflated because of some recent easy victories. Good value with Texas here.
Prediction: Rangers 3, Tigers 1
Rangers -130 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers
Line: White Sox +140; Tigers -150.
Goooooo Tigers!!!!! (You only get this sort of analysis on WalterFootball.com.)
Prediction: Tigers 5, White Sox 4
Tigers -150 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$300
Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Marlins +125; Dodgers -135.
I faded the Marlins against the Phillies, and I’m going to do the same thing here. Florida is overrated, and its 50-48 record is a byproduct of beating up on crappy opponents.
Prediction: Dodgers 8, Marlins 4
Dodgers -135 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$270
Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers
Line: White Sox +140; Tigers -150.
I honestly wanted to play the Tigers yesterday, but I was concerned about playing a double-header. Stupid me.
Prediction: Tigers 6, White Sox 1
Tigers -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Marlins +145; Dodgers -155.
I faded the Marlins against the Phillies, and I’m going to do the same thing here. Florida is overrated, and its 50-47 record is a byproduct of beating up on crappy opponents, though they did manage to somehow defeat the Dodgers yesterday.
Prediction: Dodgers 3, Marlins 2
Dodgers -155 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Marlins +140; Dodgers -150.
I faded the Marlins against the Phillies, and I’m going to do the same thing here. Florida is overrated, and its 49-47 record is a byproduct of beating up on crappy opponents.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Marlins 1
Dodgers -150 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$300
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Line: Orioles +140; Red Sox -150.
The Red Sox have dropped five in a row, prompting the front office to panic into making two trades. Don’t worry Red Sox Nation – your losses were because of tough road games. Boston will beat up on Baltimore this weekend.
Prediction: Red Sox 6, Orioles 2
Red Sox -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
Line: Mariners -105; Tigers -105.
The Mariners have been hot lately, but taking a closer look, most of their victories have come at home, or on the road against crappy opponents. They’ll have a tough time in Detroit, though they were able to win yesterday because of Felix Hernandez.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Mariners 2
Tigers -105 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$210
Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
Line: Rays +100; White Sox -110.
Glad to see the White Sox held their lead in the ninth yesterday. I like them here again versus overrated Tampa Bay.
Prediction: White Sox 7, Rays 5
White Sox -110 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
Line: Rays -135; White Sox +125.
Special thanks to Bobby Jinx, who blew a save yesterday to deny me a 2-0 record.
Prediction: White Sox 3, Rays 1
White Sox +125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$250
Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
Line: Mariners +145; Tigers -155.
The Mariners have been hot lately, but taking a closer look, most of their victories have come at home, or on the road against crappy opponents. They’ll have a tough time in Detroit.
Prediction: Tigers 8, Mariners 3
Tigers -155 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
Line: Rays -130; White Sox +120.
The Rays are a bit overrated right now; they’ve won seven of 10, but all of those victories have come against crap squads like Kansas City, Oakland and a Toronto team I’ve been fading all weekend.
Prediction: White Sox 5, Rays 4
White Sox +120 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
Line: Rays -110; White Sox +100.
The Rays are a bit overrated right now; they’ve won seven of nine, but all of those victories have come against crap squads like Kansas City, Oakland and a Toronto team I’ve been fading all weekend.
Prediction: White Sox 7, Rays 5
White Sox +100 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Line: Phillies -125; Marlins +115.
The Marlins have snuck into second place in the division thanks to wins over crap teams like Baltimore, Washington, Arizona and Pittsburgh. The Phillies are going to end this charade and establish complete control in the NL East. Yep, same write-up four days in a row.
Prediction: Phillies 4, Marlins 3
Phillies -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Line: Phillies +115; Marlins -125.
The Marlins have snuck into second place in the division thanks to wins over crap teams like Baltimore, Washington, Arizona and Pittsburgh. The Phillies are going to end this charade and establish complete control in the NL East.
Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 2
Phillies +115 (2 Units) — Game postponed; no action
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Red Sox -110; Blue Jays +100.
Toronto’s mediocrity was exposed after they stopped playing crap squads and began the difficult portion of their schedule. They’ll continue to lose against elite teams.
Prediction: Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4
Red Sox -110 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$220
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Line: Phillies -120; Marlins +110.
The Marlins have snuck into second place in the division thanks to wins over crap teams like Baltimore, Washington, Arizona and Pittsburgh. The Phillies are going to end this charade and establish complete control in the NL East.
Prediction: Phillies 9, Marlins 3
Phillies -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Line: Red Sox +120; Blue Jays -130.
Toronto’s mediocrity was exposed after they stopped playing crap squads and began the difficult portion of their schedule. They’ll continue to lose against elite teams.
Prediction: Red Sox 3, Blue Jays 1
Red Sox +120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$240
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Line: Phillies +115; Marlins -125.
The Marlins have snuck into second place in the division thanks to wins over crap teams like Baltimore, Washington, Arizona and Pittsburgh. The Phillies are going to end this charade and establish complete control in the NL East.
Prediction: Phillies 11, Marlins 4
Phillies +115 (2 Units) — Correct; +$230
American League at National League
Line: American -110; National +100.
The American League always wins this thing, and I’d like to continue betting on them.
Prediction: American 5, National 4
American -110 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers
Line: Indians +200; Tigers -220.
The Tigers are still not getting enough respect – this line should be -300/+250.
Prediction: Tigers 11, Indians 4
Tigers -220 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +110; Twins -120.
I have lots more plays below; I like playing home teams the day before the All-Star break.
Prediction: Twins 6, White Sox 5
Twins -120 (3 Units) — Correct; +$300
2 UNITS ON EACH (unless noted):
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers
Line: Indians +140; Tigers -150.
The Tigers are still not getting enough respect.
Prediction: Tigers 9, Indians 3
Tigers -150 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$300
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +105; Twins -115.
The White Sox have been beating up on the Indians and Royals the past 10 days, so their record is a bit inflated. Good value here with the Twins.
Prediction: Twins 4, White Sox 3
Twins -115 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$230
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Pirates +140; Phillies -150.
The Phillies mean business. It’s July, and they’re going to keep dispatching these crappy teams.
Prediction: Phillies 5, Reds 3
Phillies -150 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers
Line: Indians +135; Tigers -145.
Like the Phillies, the Tigers should be able to keep winning during this homestand.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Indians 1
Tigers -145 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
Line: White Sox +115; Twins -125.
The White Sox have been beating up on the Indians and Royals the past 10 days, so their record is a bit inflated. Good value here with the Twins.
Prediction: Twins 3, White Sox 2
Twins -125 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Reds +130; Phillies -140.
Should have went 2-0 yesterday. The Mariners held a 3-0 lead in the ninth, but somehow managed to lose 5-3. Good times.
Prediction: Phillies 7, Reds 4
Phillies -140 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Reds +150; Phillies -160.
The Phillies were 1-of-12 with runners in scoring position last night. No way they should have lost yesterday.
Prediction: Phillies 3, Reds 2
Phillies -160 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +120; Mariners -130.
So, it was 3-2 Mariners when I sat down for dinner. Afterward, I saw that it was 12-3 Orioles, but thought I misread the score whilst in a food coma. Guess not.
Prediction: Mariners 8, Orioles 6
Mariners -130 (3 Units) — Incorrect; -$390
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Reds +135; Phillies -145.
The Reds have been able to establish a non-losing record recently by beating up on crap teams. The Phillies seem to have things in order again, so this line, in my opinion, is a lot lower than it should be.
Prediction: Phillies 4, Reds 2
Phillies -145 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$290
Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
Line: Orioles +130; Mariners -140.
No one’s really talking about the Mariners right now, but they’re underrated. I like them here.
Prediction: Mariners 6, Orioles 4
Mariners -140 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$280
Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies
Line: Reds +145; Phillies -155.
The Reds have been able to establish a non-losing record recently by beating up on crap teams. The Phillies seem to have things in order again, so this line, in my opinion, is a lot lower than it should be.
Prediction: Phillies 3, Reds 1
Phillies -155 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Line: Royals +120; Tigers -130.
The Tigers are just 3-6 in their last nine, but they’ve gone through a few tough opponents recently. Beating up on Kansas City at home is a nice remedy.
Prediction: Tigers 8, Royals 2
Tigers -130 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$260
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Brewers +150; Cubs -160.
Stupid Cubs. They better win today.
Prediction: Cubs 4, Brewers 2
Cubs -160 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Line: Astros -110; Giants +100.
The Astros have been winning lately, but at home or against crappy teams on the road. Roy Oswalt’s good, but if you’ve bet against him all year, you’re up quite a bit.
Prediction: Giants 6, Astros 3
Giants +100 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Brewers +145; Cubs -155.
Going with the Cubs again – they haven’t been too hot lately, but should be better at home versus an inflated Brewers squad.
Prediction: Cubs 6, Brewers 4
Cubs -155 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$310
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Line: Astros +185; Giants -200.
The Astros have been winning lately, but at home or against crappy teams on the road. Just one unit because the juice is way too high.
Prediction: Giants 3, Astros 1
Giants -200 (1 Unit) — Correct; +$100
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Line: Brewers +145; Cubs -155.
Damn you, Pirates, for blowing a 5-0 lead. Awesome job.
Going with the Cubs today – they haven’t been too hot lately, but should be better at home versus an inflated Brewers squad.
Prediction: Cubs 4, Brewers 3
Cubs -155 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants
Line: Astros +110; Giants -120.
The Astros have been winning lately, but at home or against crappy teams on the road.
Prediction: Giants 3, Astros 1
Giants -120 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Mets +125; Pirates -135.
Considering how bad Tim Redding is, I think we’re getting a great deal on underrated Pittsburgh.
Prediction: Pirates 8, Mets 3
Pirates -135 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$270
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates
Line: Cubs -135; Pirates +125.
You had to see this one coming. I’ve been fading the Cubs and betting the Pirates, so this is a match made on WalterFootball.com.
Prediction: Pirates 3, Cubs 2
Pirates +125 (2 Units) — Incorrect; -$200
Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Line: Rockies +135; Dodgers -145.
As evidenced when the Rockies lost two of three against the Angels, they’re winning streak has been largely the result of beating up on teams at home and crappy squads on the road. I’ll take the Dodgers at a solid price.
Prediction: Dodgers 4, Rockies 3
Dodgers -145 (2 Units) — Correct; +$200
