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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 8 matchup
Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Line: Steelers -3 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Browns | Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Power rank ◀ | #21 |
| 5-2 | Record (straight up) even | 5-2 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread even | 5-2 |
| 2-2on the road | ATS on the road / at home ▶ | 3-0at home |
| 4-2as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog ▶ | 4-1as favorite |
| +2pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | +1.4pts per game |
| -13 | Point differential ▶ | +15 |
| 18.4avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 21.3avg. opp. rank |
| #13 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #20 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-2, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Browns offense | Steelers defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | EPA per play ▶ | #9 |
| #20 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #10 |
| #16 | Rush EPA ▶ | #8 |
| #19 | Success rate ▶ | #8 |
| #2833.6% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ▶ | #2724.9% of dropbacks |
| Browns defense | Steelers offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | EPA per play ◀ | #25 |
| #7 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #27 |
| #17 | Rush EPA ▶ | #8 |
| #7 | Success rate ◀ | #22 |
| #931.1% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed even | #926.9% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Cleveland BrownsJAGUARS 34, Browns 10 (JAX -8.5). Deshaun Watson was a disaster in this game with many turnovers. The Jaguars took advantage of all the errors. Cleveland's yardage came in garbage time. 360-272 JAX, 6.4-5.6 JAX
Browns 23, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB -8.5). Baker Mayfield made many terrible throws in this game. One of his few good ones gave the Buccaneers a 16-6 lead, but Tampa Bay couldn't stop the Browns at all late in the game. A 2-and-a-half thunderstorm delayed the inevitable. 313-267 TB, 5.0-4.9 TB
BROWNS 21, Panthers 18 (CLE +2.5). The Panthers were the better team in this game, but squandered some drives by failing on fourth down, giving the Browns points on one occasion. The Panthers took an 18-13 lead late in the game and sealed the victory, but a roughing-the-passer penalty helped the Browns get a win. 360-259 CAR, 4.9-4.1 CAR
BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE
JETS 17, Browns 12 (NYJ -1.5). The Jets led by one or four for most of the game, but allowed a long touchdown to Denzel Boston. The Browns gave them a short field on a botched snap that turned into a touchdown, and then New York's pass rush hounded Deshaun Watson. 276-198 NYJ, 4.2-3.0 NYJ
BROWNS 13, Ravens 10 (CLE +5.5). The Ravens ran well with Derrick Henry early in the game, going up 10-0. They forgot to run him in the second half and couldn't do anything offensively in the second half. The Browns eventually got enough together to win with a field goal at the end. 237-235 CLE, 4.1-4.0 BAL
Browns 27, TITANS 24 (TEN +2.5). The Titans got out to a 14-0 lead with some Tony Pollard runs, but forgot to run with Pollard near the goal line on one play. The Browns then bounced back with some big KC Concepcion and Quinshon Judkins plays. The Titans had a great drive to tie the game, but Harold Fannin made a big play to set up the winning field goal. 491-322 CLE, 7.4-5.2 CLE
Pittsburgh SteelersSTEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE
STEELERS 30, Bengals 27 (PIT +3.5). The Bengals couldn't stop Aaron Rodgers in the first half, but tightened up defensively for the most part in the second half. The Bengals had the lead twice and were set to get possession but they roughed the punter and later muffed the punt. Joe Burrow moved into field goal range at the end, but lost a strip-sack. 411-352 PIT, 7.0-6.3 PIT
BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
Steelers 16, Saints 10 (NO +3). The Steelers ran all over the Saints, who had just two drives in the second half. Tyler Shough was intercepted in the red zone and then was sacked on third down. The Saints made multiple mistakes in the second half and wasted too many downs running. 343-281 PIT, 5.4-4.9 PIT
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 8 matchups · Cleveland Browns team page · Pittsburgh Steelers team page
