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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · neutral site · Line: Steelers -2.5 (Circa)
Pittsburgh Steelers#23 Group DNeutral site · Team page ›
New Orleans Saints#27 Group DNeutral site · Team page ›
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Steelers | Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Power rank ◀ | #27 |
| 4-2 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 2-4 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread ◀ | 3-3 |
| 0-0neutral site | ATS at a neutral site n/a | 0-0neutral site |
| 3-1as favorite | ATS as favorite / underdog ◀ | 2-1as underdog |
| +1.1pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -2.5pts per game |
| +9 | Point differential ◀ | -26 |
| 20.3avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 16.3avg. opp. rank |
| #30 | Net EPA rank ▶ | #27 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Steelers offense | Saints defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | EPA per play ◀ | #32 |
| #26 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #27 |
| #4 | Rush EPA ◀ | #32 |
| #15 | Success rate ◀ | #32 |
| #1127.5% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀ | #3122.1% of dropbacks |
| Steelers defense | Saints offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #27 | EPA per play ▶ | #16 |
| #19 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #17 |
| #29 | Rush EPA ▶ | #16 |
| #19 | Success rate ◀ | #21 |
| #2426.2% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #2029.6% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Pittsburgh SteelersSTEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
PATRIOTS 20, Steelers 3 (NE -5.5). The Patriots began this game with a turnover in the red zone, but they smothered Aaron Rodgers and forced him into two turnovers, including a strip-six. 327-235 NE, 6.2-3.5 NE
STEELERS 30, Bengals 27 (PIT +3.5). The Bengals couldn't stop Aaron Rodgers in the first half, but tightened up defensively for the most part in the second half. The Bengals had the lead twice and were set to get possession but they roughed the punter and later muffed the punt. Joe Burrow moved into field goal range at the end, but lost a strip-sack. 411-352 PIT, 7.0-6.3 PIT
BROWNS 27, Steelers 24 (CLE +3). The Steelers went up 7-0, but the Browns dominated most of the game until late when there was a Deshaun Watson interception. The Steelers tied the game, but Watson came up big in the clutch. 372-361 CLE, 6.0-5.6 CLE
STEELERS 34, Colts 22 (PIT -2.5). This was a close game for most of the afternoon before the Steelers pulled away late. The Colts couldn't run the ball and constantly kicked in the red zone. Their defense looked tired from travel. 352-332 PIT, 6.5-4.8 PIT
Steelers 26, BUCCANEERS 19 (TB +2.5). The Buccaneers led 13-0 and 16-3, as the Steelers were very sloppy. Aaron Rodgers couldn't deal with Tampa Bay's pressure for most of the afternoon, but eventually overcame it with some great drives. Jalon Daniels made some great plays early, but turned into a pumpkin late. 300-224 PIT, 3.9-3.1 PIT
New Orleans SaintsLIONS 31, Saints 30 (DET -7). The Lions scored early and the Saints got off to a slow start, but the switch flipped on for Tyler Shough in the second half. The Lions were sluggish for a while, allowing the Saints to come back. Detroit went down the field in overtime, and the Saints did the same, but missed on the two-point conversion. 469-369 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO
Saints 24, RAVENS 17 (BAL -8.5). The Ravens got out to an early double-digit lead and could have led by more if they didn't make mistakes, but they fell asleep at the wheel in the second half, allowing Tyler Shough to mount a great comeback. 312-298 BAL, 5.6-4.7 BAL
Raiders 35, SAINTS 27 (NO -3). Brock Bowers made some huge plays early in this game, but the Saints got out to a big lead. The Raiders stormed back with two strip-sacks of Tyler Shough and then a Juwan Johnson fumble. 381-340 NO, 5.4-5.3 LV
Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL
Vikings 23, SAINTS 13 (NO +2). The Vikings made some mistakes, including an Aaron Jones fumble in the red zone and a Myles Price returned fumble for a touchdown, but Kyler Murray completed most of his passes and made plays with his legs to get the victory. 364-142 MIN, 5.4-3.3 MIN
Saints 34, GIANTS 27 (NYG +1). The Giants were up 10-0 early, but the Saints got momentum with a touchdown right before halftime and then another one afterward. The Saints were up 34-10 in this game before pulling their starters and seeing the Giants nearly pull a comeback with J.J. McCarthy catching fire in the fourth quarter. 461-319 NYG, 6.4-4.7 NYG
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · Pittsburgh Steelers team page · New Orleans Saints team page
