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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 7 matchup
Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25 · Line: 49ers -4.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| 49ers | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Power rank ◀ | #17 |
| 6-0 | Record (straight up) ◀ | 2-4 |
| 4-2 | Against the spread ◀ | 2-4 |
| 1-0on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 0-3at home |
| 2-2as favorite | ATS as favorite / underdog even | 2-2as underdog |
| +7.1pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -0.2pts per game |
| +67 | Point differential ◀ | -11 |
| 15.7avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ◀ | 16.8avg. opp. rank |
| #1 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #14 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Weeks 2-6, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| 49ers offense | Falcons defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | EPA per play ◀ | #20 |
| #1 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #16 |
| #12 | Rush EPA ◀ | #23 |
| #3 | Success rate ◀ | #17 |
| #223.4% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate ◀ | #334.7% of dropbacks |
| 49ers defense | Falcons offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | EPA per play ◀ | #9 |
| #9 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #23 |
| #5 | Rush EPA ▶ | #2 |
| #10 | Success rate ◀ | #12 |
| #832.2% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #424.4% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
San Francisco 49ers49ers 27, Rams 7 (LAR -4). This was an even game in the first half, but the 49ers controlled the ball in the second half, as the Rams looked exhausted from traveling 24 hours beforehand, whereas the 49ers traveled a week earlier. 379-290 SF, 5.9-5.1 SF
49ERS 35, Dolphins 13 (SF -13). The 49ers dominated this game offensively, with Brock Purdy going 20-of-22. The Dolphins kept up for a while in the first half, but couldn't do anything outside of a garbage time touchdown in the second half. 382-284 SF, 7.8-5.1 SF
49ERS 36, Cardinals 30 (SF -8.5). The 49ers had great offenive production in this game until Mike Evans and Trent Williams got hurt. The 49ers were up big, but Jacoby Brissett garbage time and a muffed punt made this game close. 437 SF, 8.7-4.5 SF
49ERS 24, Broncos 14 (SF -2.5). This was a punting fest in the first half, but things opened up for the 49ers when the Broncos lost Patrick Surtain and Riley Moss to injury. This was still a close game, but George Kittle broke it wide open with a long touchdown. 358-296 SF, 5.5-4.6 SF
49ers 32, SEAHAWKS 29 (SEA -3). The Seahawks committed a number of mistakes throughout the game, giving the 49ers plenty of scoring opportunities. Mike Evans took advantage with a dominant performance. The Seahawks still had a chance to win, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba dropped a pass in field goal range. 269-251 SF, 4.8-4.2 SF
49ERS 23, Redskins 17 (SF -7.5). The 49ers led 23-3 and were dominating with Jayden Daniels being scared to run, but Mike Evans got hurt and the 49ers didn't score again. The Redskins nearly took the lead, but had some terrible play-calling late in the game. 375-314 SF, 6.3-5.1 SF
Atlanta FalconsSTEELERS 20, Falcons 13 (PIT -3.5). The Steelers allowed the Falcons to hang around with some sluggish offense and a Jaylen Warren fumble, but the Steelers came up big with huge plays against Cooper Rush. 264-238 PIT, 4.2-4.1 ATL
Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR
Falcons 35, PACKERS 14 (GB -4.5). The Packers couldn't pass protect or run the ball, and they had severe issues stopping Bijan Robinson. The Packers went up 7-0 but allowed 27 consecutive points after that. 498-328 ATL, 7.5-5.2 ATL
Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL
Ravens 30, FALCONS 23 (ATL -3.5). The Falcons led for most of the game because of Mark Andrews' mistakes, but Tyler Huntley caught fire at the end of the game leading drives to tie at the end of regulation and in overtime to win it. Michael Penix got hurt at the end. 391-367 BAL, 5.7-5.5 ATL
Bears 31, FALCONS 23 (ATL PK). The Bears got out to a 31-7 lead in this game with great Caleb Williams passing and some turnovers forced on Atlanta. The Falcons got garbage time and made this game interesting very late, but Chicago's defense shut the door on Michael Penix Jr. 368-257 CHI, 5.1-5.0 ATL
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 7 matchups · San Francisco 49ers team page · Atlanta Falcons team page
