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NFL Matchup Hub 2026 › Week 10 matchup
Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · Line: Saints -1.5 (Circa)
Every number below comes from the two team pages. The highlighted side and the arrow mark the better number in each row; ties are marked even, n/a = nothing to compare yet. No predictions.
| Panthers | Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | Power rank ◀ | #24 |
| 3-5 | Record (straight up) even | 3-5 |
| 3-5 | Against the spread even | 3-5 |
| 2-2on the road | ATS on the road / at home ◀ | 0-4at home |
| 1-3as underdog | ATS as favorite / underdog even | 1-3as favorite |
| -2.1pts per game | Avg. cover margin ◀ | -2.5pts per game |
| -20 | Point differential ◀ | -31 |
| 19.2avg. opp. rank | Strength of schedule so far ▶ | 18.0avg. opp. rank |
| #20 | Net EPA rank ◀ | #25 |
Strength of schedule: average power rank of opponents at kickoff, lower = tougher, so the tougher schedule is marked. EPA ranks: Week 2 onward, #1 is best on both sides of the ball.
| Panthers offense | Saints defense | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | EPA per play ◀ | #27 |
| #15 | Dropback EPA ◀ | #24 |
| #11 | Rush EPA ◀ | #24 |
| #15 | Success rate ◀ | #23 |
| #3236.7% of dropbacks | Pressure rate allowed vs. pressure rate even | #3222.1% of dropbacks |
| Panthers defense | Saints offense | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | EPA per play ▶ | #20 |
| #27 | Dropback EPA ▶ | #17 |
| #18 | Rush EPA ◀ | #27 |
| #27 | Success rate ◀ | #30 |
| #1828.4% of dropbacks | Pressure rate vs. pressure rate allowed ▶ | #1227.9% of dropbacks |
Every game in order, Week 1 first. Opp. rank = where I had the opponent in my power rankings in effect at kickoff. Recaps are mine, word for word.
Opponent's group in my power rankings at kickoff: Group A Group B Group C Group D Group F
Carolina PanthersBears 59, PANTHERS 37 (CAR +3). The Bears made a couple of mistakes to allow the Panthers to hang around. It was 21-all, but Chicago's offense was far too much for a Carolina defense that couldn't stop anything the opposition was doing. 552-478 CHI, 7.9-7.7 CHI
Panthers 34, FALCONS 3 (ATL +2.5). The Falcons had a pathetic offense that made lots of mistakes the entire game. Bryce Young made some great throws in the second half. 340-286 CAR, 5.7-4.3 CAR
BROWNS 21, Panthers 18 (CLE +2.5). The Panthers were the better team in this game, but squandered some drives by failing on fourth down, giving the Browns points on one occasion. The Panthers took an 18-13 lead late in the game and sealed the victory, but a roughing-the-passer penalty helped the Browns get a win. 360-259 CAR, 4.9-4.1 CAR
PANTHERS 32, Lions 26 (CAR +3.5). Bryce Young was on fire, and Tetairoa McMillan couldn't be stopped. The Panthers were up two touchdowns to begin the fourth quarter before a garbage-time Detroit score. 452-445 DET, 6.6-6.2 DET
Panthers 25, EAGLES 14 (PHI +1). Tanner McKee was outmatched against the Eagles defense, but it was the Eagles special teams that was primarily responsible for this loss with a horrible punt and a blocked punt. 399-222 CAR, 5.4-3.6 CAR
Buccaneers 43, PANTHERS 13 (CAR -3). The Buccaneers ran all over the Panthers, who looked like they had one eye on the Packers game on Thursday. Baker Mayfield threw just 11 passes in his return, while Bryce Young had numerous turnovers. 322-266 TB, 5.4-4.9 TB
PACKERS 27, Panthers 19 (GB -3.5). The Packers made special teams mistakes and fumbles to allow the Panthers to hang around for a while, but Carolina forgot to run the ball after having success early to allow the Packers to take control of this game. This was 27-13 before a late touchdown. 354-258 GB, 5.3-3.7 GB
Broncos 26, PANTHERS 21 (CAR +2.5). The Broncos led 10-0 before the Panthers rallied and took a 14-13 lead, but a very weird interception in the red zone completely flipped the game, with Denver scoring twice to put the game out of reach. 353-312 CAR, 5.7-4.8 CAR
New Orleans SaintsLIONS 31, Saints 30 (DET -7). The Lions scored early and the Saints got off to a slow start, but the switch flipped on for Tyler Shough in the second half. The Lions were sluggish for a while, allowing the Saints to come back. Detroit went down the field in overtime, and the Saints did the same, but missed on the two-point conversion. 469-369 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO
Saints 24, RAVENS 17 (BAL -8.5). The Ravens got out to an early double-digit lead and could have led by more if they didn't make mistakes, but they fell asleep at the wheel in the second half, allowing Tyler Shough to mount a great comeback. 312-298 BAL, 5.6-4.7 BAL
Raiders 35, SAINTS 27 (NO -3). Brock Bowers made some huge plays early in this game, but the Saints got out to a big lead. The Raiders stormed back with two strip-sacks of Tyler Shough and then a Juwan Johnson fumble. 381-340 NO, 5.4-5.3 LV
Falcons 45, SAINTS 24 (NO -2.5). The Falcons ran all over the inept Saints defense. Tyler Shough had no time to throw, and a chunk of his yardage came in garbage time. 420-320 ATL, 7.5-4.6 ATL
Vikings 23, SAINTS 13 (NO +2). The Vikings made some mistakes, including an Aaron Jones fumble in the red zone and a Myles Price returned fumble for a touchdown, but Kyler Murray completed most of his passes and made plays with his legs to get the victory. 364-142 MIN, 5.4-3.3 MIN
Saints 34, GIANTS 27 (NYG +1). The Giants were up 10-0 early, but the Saints got momentum with a touchdown right before halftime and then another one afterward. The Saints were up 34-10 in this game before pulling their starters and seeing the Giants nearly pull a comeback with J.J. McCarthy catching fire in the fourth quarter. 461-319 NYG, 6.4-4.7 NYG
Steelers 16, Saints 10 (NO +3). The Steelers ran all over the Saints, who had just two drives in the second half. Tyler Shough was intercepted in the red zone and then was sacked on third down. The Saints made multiple mistakes in the second half and wasted too many downs running. 343-281 PIT, 5.4-4.9 PIT
SAINTS 23, Browns 22 (NO -3). Both teams messed up throughout the game, constantly turning the ball over or failing to score near the goal line. Chris Olave and Harold Fannin made big plays late in the game, and the Browns had to go for two in overtime because there was one minute left. 396-355 NO, 5.5-5.1 NO
Key: F = Full in practice · L = Limited in practice · D = Did not practice · IR = Injured Reserve · PUP = Physically unable to perform · CE = Commissioner's Exempt List. Numbers are game weeks.
All Week 10 matchups · Carolina Panthers team page · New Orleans Saints team page
