NFL DraftKings Picks: Week 11

I’ll be posting NFL DraftKings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.

Week 11: Cowboys at Raiders Showdown Slate

Top Captains: Brock Bowers (12000). How is Brock Bowers only $12,000 as a captain? I don’t get it.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Ashton Jeanty (10000), Javonte Williams (9800). Ashton Jeanty has gotten more involved in the passing game recently. Meanwhile, if the Cowboys are playing in front, they’ll run more than pass.

Top Value: Michael Mayer (4000), Tyler Lockett (3400). Playing double tight end could be contrarian. Michael Mayer has seen a big uptick in workload. Tyler Lockett has been more involved in the passing game.

Top Punt Play: Dont’e Thornton (2000). Dont’e Thornton gets 2-3 targets per game and will catch a deep pass one of these days.

Player to Avoid: Jake Ferguson (7400). Jake Ferguson’s production has plummeted since CeeDee Lamb’s return, and the Raiders are oddly solid against tight ends.

Week 11: Main Slate

I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules. I will be trying something different this year, which is to rank my order of preferences by position taking price into account.

Top DFS Quarterbacks:

Matthew Stafford, $6,600 (vs. Seahawks)
Josh Allen, $7,000 (vs. Buccaneers)
Sam Darnold, $5,700 (at Rams)
J.J. McCarthy, $5,200 (vs. Bears)
Joe Flacco, $5,500 (at Steelers)
Jacoby Brissett, $4,900 (vs. 49ers)
Michael Penix Jr., $4,700 (vs. Falcons)
Aaron Rodgers, $5,400 (vs. Bengals)

The Seahawks have a pass-funnel defense, so perhaps Matthew Stafford will be able to duplicate what Baker Mayfield accomplished against them earlier in the year. Josh Allen is always an option, especially versus another pass-funnel defense. The best of the cheap options is Jameis Winston because we know what he can do.

Top DFS Running Backs:

Chase Brown, $5,700 (at Steelers)
R.J. Harvey, $5,400 (vs. Chiefs)
Josh Jacobs, $7,800 (at Giants)
Rico Dowdle, $6,800 (at Falcons)
Jaylen Warren, $6,100 (vs. Bengals)
Christian McCaffrey, $9,000 (at Cardinals)
Bijan Robinson, $8,300 (vs. Panthers)
James Cook, $7,300 (vs. Buccaneers)
Rachaad White, $6,200 (at Bills)
Kimani Vidal, $5,900 (at Jaguars)
Woody Marks, $5,400 (at Titans)

Chase Brown has gotten hot lately, as he’s been more productive with Joe Flacco under center. R.J. Harvey is an obvious option with J.K. Dobbins sidelined.

Top DFS Wide Receivers:

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, $8,900 (at Rams)
Ja’Marr Chase, $8,500 (at Steelers)
Puka Nacua, $8,700 (vs. Seahawks)
Greg Dortch, $3,300 (vs. 49ers)
Ladd McConkey, $6,500 (at Jaguars)
Khalil Shakir, $5,300 (vs. Buccaneers)
DK Metcalf, $5,700 (vs. Bengals)
Tez Johnson, $4,700 (at Bills)
Justin Jefferson, $7,500 (vs. Bears)
Emeka Egbuka, $7,200 (at Bills)
Rashee Rice, $7,900 (at Broncos)
Darius Slayton, $4,800 (vs. Packers)
Calvin Austin, $4,000 (vs. Bengals)
Jalen Coker, $3,100 (at Falcons)

The spend-ups look great this week. We have some solid values as well. Greg Dortch is a solid cheap option with Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined.

Top DFS Tight Ends:

Trey McBride, $6,300 (vs. 49ers)
T.J. Hockenson, $3,000 (vs. Bears)
George Kittle, $5,000 (at Cardinals)
Kyle Pitts, $4,000 (vs. Panthers)
Dalton Schultz, $3,900 (at Titans)
Theo Johnson, $4,100 (vs. Packers)
Pat Freiermuth, $3,200 (vs. Bengals)
Tyler Higbee, $2,700 (vs. Seahawks)
Jonnu Smith, $2,900 (vs. Bengals)
Dawson Knox, $3,300 (vs. Buccaneers)

Trey McBride continues to dominate, but I don’t consider him a must-play like I did last week. There are plenty of solid cheap options, including T.J. Hockenson, Pat Freiermuth, and Jonnu Smith, all of whom have terrific matchups.

Top DFS Defenses:

Ravens, $3,800 (at Browns)
Texans, $3,700 (at Titans)
Packers, $3,600 (at Giants)
Chiefs, $3,100 (at Broncos)
Chargers, $2,800 (at Jaguars)
Vikings, $3,000 (vs. Bears)

Dillon Gabriel probably wouldn’t cut it in the CFL, so Baltimore’s defense looks great this week. The Texans obviously have a great matchup against Tennessee..

Players to Avoid: Kyren Williams (6900), Keenan Allen (5300). The Seahawks are the best team in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. Keenan Allen is playing about half the snaps.

Week 11: Redskins vs. Dolphins Showdown Slate

Top Captains: De’Von Achane (18300). De’Von Achane will be a popular captain play, but he has the best matchup in this game because of Washington’s slow linebackers.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Marcus Mariota (9800). Marcus Mariota doesn’t have to battle a top defense this week. He could get there with his rushing ability.

Top Value: Zach Ertz (5800). The Dolphins are awful against tight ends, so Zach Ertz could be Mariota’s primary weapon.

Top Punt Play: Greg Dulcich (2800). Greg Dulcich has gotten nine targets in the past two games, and Washington also struggles against tight ends.

Player to Avoid: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (7000). Jacory Croskey-Merritt hasn’t scored more than 7.7 DK points since Week 3.

Week 11: Lions at Eagles Showdown Slate

Top Captains: Jalen Hurts (15600). Jalen Hurts seems to be the best play in this game against a Detroit pass-funnel defense. The Lions also tend to struggle against mobile quarterbacks.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): DeVonta Smith (8400), Jameson Williams (7600). DeVonta Smith has been a bigger producer than A.J. Brown. As for Jameson Williams, the Lions seem to be more determined to get him the ball lately.

Top Value: Dallas Goedert (5600). The Lions are just mediocre against tight ends, so Dallas Goedert is a solid option.

Top Punt Play: Brock Wright (1600), Ross Dwelley (200). Sam LaPorta is out. Brock Wright is questionable. If Wright plays, you can use him. If not, it’s Ross Dwelley.

Player to Avoid: Jahmyr Gibbs (10600). Jahmyr Gibbs just had a monster game, but he now faces Philadelphia’s fourth-ranked run defense.