NFL DraftKings Picks



I'll be posting NFL Draft Kings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.

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Week 4: Sunday Main Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Quarterbacks: Josh Allen (8400), Lamar Jackson (8300), Jalen Hurts (8200), Russell Wilson (6700), Geno Smith (5400). Josh Allen is coming off a loss, so he'll be extra focused this week against a team that allowed six touchdowns to Tua Tagovailoa. Lamar Jackson is playing at a ridiculous level right now. He's difficult to ignore. Jalen Hurts may have to throw for the first time in the second half this week, which could inflate his stats even more. Russell Wilson has struggled thus far, but he has a very easy matchup against the Raiders. It's not crazy to play Geno Smith in a game with a 50-point total. Smith is terrific against the blitz thus far this season, and the Lions blitz often.

Top Running Backs: Jonathan Taylor (8800), Saquon Barkley (8000), Nick Chubb (7900), Austin Ekeler (7700), Javonte Williams (6600), Jamaal Williams (6100), Miles Sanders (6000), Khalil Herbert (5700), Breece Hall (5400), Rashaad Penny (4900). Jonathan Taylor is coming off a couple of dud performances, so he could rebound. He's below $9,000 for the first time this season. Saquon Barkley is too cheap for his potential, and he's in a great matchup. I'm not a huge fan of Nick Chubb in general on DraftKings because he doesn't catch any passes, but the Falcons have a dreadful run defense that will be exposed. Austin Ekeler has been a disappointment this year, but perhaps he'll finally have a great performance against a Houston defense that just allowed Khalil Herbert to look like Walter Payton.

Javonte Williams could replicate what Derrick Henry did to the Raiders. With David Montgomery out,, Khalil Herbert is a great play. Jamaal Williams is a chalk play, but should get there, given the easy matchup and opportunity. Miles Sanders has burned a lot of people, but he can break a long run on any touch. Plus, Boston Scott is out.

Breece Hall will go off one of these weeks, and I'd rather be early than late. Rashaad Penny doesn't do anything in the passing game, but he's in a great matchup and happens to be very cheap $4,900, so he'll easily pay off his price tag with 100 yards and a touchdown.

Top Wide Receivers: Stefon Diggs (8400), Davante Adams (8300), A.J. Brown (7400), Michael Pittman (7200), CeeDee Lamb (6700), Gabe Davis (6600), Terry McLaurin (6500), Courtland Sutton (6400), Tyler Lockett (5,900), DeVonta Smith (5800), Curtis Samuel (5700), Rashod Bateman (5600), Garrett Wilson (5400), D.J. Chark (5000), Romeo Doubs (4500), Jahan Dotson (4300), Richie James (4000), Keelan Cole (3000). Stefon Diggs is coming off a down week and is priced up $700, so perhaps he'll be less owned than usual. Davante Adams is in a tough matchup, but he can still be used. A.J. Brown is great to pair with Jalen Hurts. Michael Pittman is expensive, but Matt Ryan will continue to pepper him with tons of targets.

CeeDee Lamb has seen 23 targets in two games with Cooper Rush as his quarterback, and with Jason Peters giving Rush needed protection, Rush has the time in the pocket to locate Lamb. Gabe Davis is a bit expensive, but perhaps that means he won't be highly owned. Terry McLaurin has gotten 17 targets in the past two weeks and is going to have a breakout game at some point. Courtland Sutton will continue to be Russell Wilson's favorite target.

Tyler Lockett has caught nine of his 11 targets in each of his previous two games. DeVonta Smith is way too cheap for his talent level and situation. Curtis Samuel has seen 30 targets through three weeks as Carson Wentz's favorite receiver, so he can't be ignored. Rashod Bateman has an easy matchup against backup Buffalo cornerbacks. Garrett Wilson has been a monster thus far, seeing 32 targets. He'll continue to serve as the No. 1 receiver. D.J. Chark should see an increased target share with Amon-Ra St. Brown banged up and D'Andre Swift sidelined.

Romeo Doubs' price hasn't been adjusted enough for his rise into the starting lineup. Jahan Dotson is coming off a down week, but he saw eight targets in the loss to Philadelphia. He is very cheap at just $4,300. Richie James will see an increased target share with Sterling Shepard out for the year. Keelan Cole can be used as a punt play if Hunter Renfrow is out again. He played a lot last week and dropped a touchdown.

Top Tight Ends: Mark Andrews (7100), Darren Waller (5600), Kyle Pitts (5000), Dallas Goedert (4500), T.J. Hockenson (4100), Dalton Schultz (3900), Dawson Knox (3800), Tyler Conklin (3600), Logan Thomas (3300), Harrison Bryant (2900). The Bills aren't at their best when it comes to defending tight ends, and Mark Andrews is having a great stretch run right now. The Broncos aren't very good versus tight ends, so Darren Waller could have his best game of the year. Kyle Pitts should continue what he did in Week 3. Keep in mind that Marcus Mariota missed him on a deep throw.

Dallas Goedert is another player to pair with Hurts. T.J. Hockenson is in a nice matchup and will see an increased target share with D'Andre Swift injured and Amon-Ra St. Brown banged up. Dalton Schultz is in a great matchup, but it's unclear if he'll play. Dawson Knox has yet to do anything, but the Bills paid him big money for a reason. We'll see if Zach Wilson likes to target Tyler Conklin as much as Joe Flacco did. Logan Thomas nearly scored a touchdown last week and could once again be targeted frequently in garbage time. Everyone will be playing David Njoku, but Harrison Bryant could be the go-to tight end this week.

Top Defenses: Cowboys (3500), Cardinals (2800), Bears (2700), Titans (2500). We just saw what the Eagles did to the Redskins. Dallas' pass rush could get nine sacks as well. The Cardinals blitz frequently, and Baker Mayfield is awful against the blitz. Chicago has the No. 3 pressure rate in the NFL, and the Giants can't block. The Titans could do well versus Matt Ryan, who lost two fumbles last week.

Players to Avoid: Diontae Johnson (6000), Brandin Cooks (5800), Josh Jacobs (5500), D.J. Moore (5300), Mack Hollins (4200), David Njoku (3700). Diontae Johnson and Brandin Cooks are projected to be the second- and fourth-highest owned receivers, according to Stokastic. There's a great deal of varince when it comes to receivers, so I would avoid most of the highly owned wideouts. D.J. Jones is also expected to be highly owned, yet his quarterback stinks. Mack Hollins will be super popular, and he's unlikely to have the game of his life again. Everyone will be on the David Njoku hype train, but I would avoid that.



Week 4: Vikings-Saints Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Captains: Alvin Kamara (13800), Chris Olave (12900). I'm sure some have forgotten how good Alvin Kamara is. He's had two dud performances thus far, but has the potential to have a big game. And speaking of potential, Chris Olave has been amazing.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Justin Jefferson (11600), Andy Dalton (6000). I'm wondering if people will be hesitant to play Justin Jefferson because he's so expensive and hasn't done anything since Week 1. He'll be in my lineup. Andy Dalton is an obvious play because of his cheap price tag.

Top Value: Jarvis Landry (5600), Irv Smith Jr. (5000), Juwan Johnson (3000). Jarvis Landry has seen 19 targets through three games, and he could be targeted more if Michael Thomas is sidelined. Irv Smith Jr. is a tough matchup, but he has seen 14 targets the past two weeks. Juwan Johnson is coming off a doughnut game, but he could easily bounce back.

Top Punt Play: Johnny Mundt (1400). Johnny Mundt is getting about three targets per game. If one of those targets is in the end zone, your lineup will be looking good.

Player to Avoid: Dalvin Cook (10800). If Dalvin Cook plays, he may not see the entire workload. This also is not an easy matchup whatsoever, which is why I'm a bit hesitant to play Alexander Mattison as well. Mattison is at least cheaper, though not as cheap as you'd want him to be.





Week 4: Chiefs-Buccaneers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Captains: Patrick Mahomes (17100), JuJu Smith-Schuster (10500), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (8400). I would play someone from the Chiefs passing game because the Buccaneers have a pass-funnel defense. Patrick Mahomes could go off, so if you slot him in at captain, use at least two receivers in the flex, and also make sure you leave at least $1,500 on the table because he'll be the highest-ownerd player. Some of his receivers make sense at captain as well.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Travice Kelce (10800), Mike Evans (9400). These two are projected to be the top receiving producers in this game. Mike Evans can be used at captain. I'm not into Travis Kelce at captain as much because Mahomes isn't much more expensive.

Top Value: Cameron Brate (3600). Cameron Brate saw six targets last week. Granted, Mike Evans was out, but the Buccaneers have plenty of injuries at receiver.

Top Punt Play: Noah Gray (1600), Justin Watson (800). Noah Gray receives two or three targets per game. One could end up being in the end zone. Justin Watson is a fine option if Mecole Hardman is sidelined.

Player to Avoid: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (7800). The Chiefs split the running workload three ways, and Tampa is stout versus the rush.





Week 4: Rams-49ers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Captains: Cooper Kupp (18000), Deebo Samuel (15600), Brandon Aiyuk (11400). Cooper Kupp will always be in consideration at captain because of his immense upside. One of the two 49er receivers make sense as well, given that the Rams have plenty of injuries in their secondary.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Jeff Wilson Jr. (8200). Jeff Wilson Jr. is getting most of the workload, which includes three targets last week. The 49ers tend to run well on the Rams.

Top Value: Cam Akers (7000), Allen Robinson (6200), . Cam Akers is about the same price as Darrell Henderson even though he handled the entire workload in the second half of last week's game. Allen Robinson has been a disappointment this far, but he dropped two touchdowns last week, so it's not like he isn't getting opportunities.

Top Punt Play: Jauan Jennings (2000). Jauan Jennings is getting a few targets per week and could always score, especially against an injury-ravaged Rams secondary.

Player to Avoid: Both Quarterbacks. I don't think it's crazy to eschew both quarterbacks on this slate. Both are very expensive, and Matthew Stafford has a poor matchup. Jimmy Garoppolo has a better matchup, but he's .





Week 4: Dolphins-Bengals Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Captains: Ja'Marr Chase (16500), Tee Higgins (12300). I'm all over the Cincinnati passing attack. The Dolphins blitz frequently, and Joe Burrow is amazing versus the blitz. I'd rather use one of his receivers at captain, but Burrow makes for a fine captain as well.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Tyreek Hill (10800), Joe Burrow (9600), Joe Mixon (9000). Tyreek Hill obviously has monstrous upside, so he must be considered. I mentioned Burrow already; he'll be in most of my lineups. Joe Mixon might duplicate what Devin Singletary did to Miami's defense last week.

Top Value: Hayden Hurst (5400), Mike Gesicki (5000). I'd play one of the tight ends, particularly Hayden Hurst against a Miami defense that is weak to tight ends.

Top Punt Play: Durham Smythe (2800), River Cracraft (2400), Trent Sherfield (1400). With so many expensive top players, you may need a punt this week. With Jaylen Waddle banged up, one of Durham Smythe, River Cracraft or Trent Sherfield could do well.

Player to Avoid: Tyler Boyd (7000), Kicker Captains. Tyler Boyd is great to use when one of the top receivers is injured, but Chase and Higgins will play. Also, don't chase the kicker captain strategy. That seldom works, and only really does in a very sluggish, defensive game. That doesn't apply to this contest.







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