NFL DraftKings Picks



I'll be posting NFL Draft Kings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.

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Super Bowl LV: Chiefs-Buccaneers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Top Captains: Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette. All of the top play-makers are my favorite captains. Kelce and Hill are no-brainers because both usually post great numbers, no matter what. One of Godwin or Evans could go off, but my favorite Buccaneer is Fournette, who has been used much more than Ronald Jones in the playoffs. The Chiefs are weaker to the run than the pass.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Patrick Mahomes. I don't have an issue using Mahomes as captain, but he's so expensive that I'd rather just use him in the FLEX. Regardless, I want him in my lineup no matter what.

Top Value: Cameron Brate, Rob Gronkowski, Tanner Hudson*. Three Tampa tight ends!? Here's the deal: Brate was pulled from practice with a back injury. If he plays, he'll be low-owned because of the injury designation. Gronkowski, meanwhile, is very cheap at $3,000. He could see some end zone targets. I have no issue playing both. As for Hudson, he's a talented player who hasn't gotten a chance in Tampa because of all the great tight ends on the roster. If Brate is out, and Hudson is active, I'll have great interest in him at just $200.

Players to Avoid: Tom Brady, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Ronald Jones. I expect the Buccaneers to be playing with the lead, and like I said, Kansas City is weaker to the run. With that in mind, Brady is too expensive for me to roster. I have no interest in the two backs listed as well. The Buccaneers have the top run defense in the NFL, so Edwards-Helaire won't do much. Jones is seeing far less work now compared to Fournette. He's very cheap, but I think he's a trap.



Week 20: Main Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers. Brady is the only quarterback I wouldn't play against Green Bay's elite pass defense. The other three are good options. Josh Allen is probably the best option because he comes with a $700 discount from Patrick Mahomes.

Running Backs: Leonard Fournette, Darrel Williams, Ronald Jones, Devin Singletary. Williams is the best option if Clyde Edwards-Helaire is sidelined, and he could stil be used even if the rookie runner is active. One of Fournette or Jones will thrive, but it's unclear which one will do so. Singletary will catch ample passes out of the backfield.

Wide Receivers: Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Chris Godwin, John Brown, Allen Lazard, Cole Beasley. Adams is a no-brainer play. There are several other great choices, including some good choices cheaper than $4,500.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Robert Tonyan, Cameron Brate. Kelce is the No. 2 play on the slate after Adams. Tonyan and Brate are viable as well.

Defenses: All. All four defenses are in play, as you'll be going against an elite quarterback no matter what.

Players to Avoid: Aaron Jones, Mike Evans, Rob Gronkowski. It's impossible for running backs to find room against Tampa's elite defensive line. Jaire Alexander will clamp down on Evans. Gronkowski will have to block often, so the best Tampa tight end to use is Brate.





Week 19: Sunday Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Drew Brees. Mahomes is the top choice, by far. However, Brees must be considered because Taysom Hill is out.

Running Backs: Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Darrel Williams. Kamara won't run well, but he'll catch plenty of passes out of the backfield. One of Chubb or Hunt will have a big game, so good luck figuring out that one! Williams is a great, cheap option because he's the favorite to lead the Chiefs in backfield touches with Clyde Edwards-Helaire sidelined.

Wide Receivers: Tyreek Hill, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, Emmanuel Sanders, Demarcus Robinson, Rashard Higgins, Mecole Hardman, Byron Pringle. Hill and Thomas are obvious. Godwin is the best Tampa receiver with Marshon Lattimore bound to shut down Mike Evans. There are also plenty of good, cheap options this week, including Pringle, who should not be forgotten with Sammy Watkins unavailable.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Jared Cook, Austin Hooper, Cameron Brate. Basically, anyone but Gronkowski, who will have to do lots of blocking this week. Brate is a fine choice if I'm right about Gronkowski's blocking.

Defenses: Chiefs, Saints. These are the two teams I believe will win today. They have the best chances of getting a defensive touchdown.

Players to Avoid: Ronald Jones, Mike Evans. The Saints stuff the run well, so I'm staying away from Jones. Lattimore owns Evans.






Week 19: Main Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees. Allen is my favorite option this week. The matchup is tough, but no one has been able to slow down Buffalo's offense yet. Plus, he's the cheapest of the top three quarterbacks. I also added Brees because Taysom Hill is out.

Running Backs: Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, Nick Chubb, J.K. Dobbins, Cam Akers, Devin Singletary. Jones has a difficult matchup, but should do damage as a receiver out of the backfield. Chubb and Akers have the easiest matchups in this group. I added Kamara because Latavius Murray is out.

Wide Receivers: Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, John Brown, Emmanuel Sanders, Demarcus Robinson, Mecole Hardman, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Tre'Quan Smith, Josh Reynolds, Byron Pringle. Adams draws Jalen Ramsey, but I still trust him to do well. I prefer Hill, but you can't go wrong with either choice. Meanwhile, all of the Buffalo wideouts are in play because Allen is unstoppable. Tre'Quan Smith, Valdes-Scantling and Reynolds are cheap options to fill out your lineup. Note that I added Hardman, Robinson and Pringle to the list because of Sammy Watkins' absence.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Robert Tonyan, Jared Cook, Austin Hooper. I prefer Andrews to Kelce when factoring in the price. I also like Hooper as the cheapest option.

Defenses: Packers, Saints, Bills. The Saints are in play despite battling Tom Brady because I trust their defensive line to pressure Tom Brady, who has thrown five interceptions in two games versus New Orleans.

Players to Avoid: Ronald Jones, Mike Evans, Marquise Brown, Robert Woods. The Saints stuff the run well, so I'm not going with Jones. Marshon Lattimore, Tre'Davious White and Jaire Alexander will shut down Evans, Brown and Woods, respectively.





Week 18: Sunday Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Lamar Jackson, Ben Roethlisberger. Jackson has the highest upside, but there's a real discount to Roethlisberger, who could be battling a Cleveland secondary missing all of its cornerbacks.

Running Backs: Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, David Montgomery, J.K. Dobbins, Gus Edwards. You'll likely be paying up for one of the running backs. Montgomery is a no-brainer play because he's such a big part of the passing offense.

Wide Receivers: A.J. Brown, Allen Robinson, Michael Thomas, Diontae Johnson, Jarvis Landry, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquise Brown, Chase Claypool, Anthony Miller. It's wild how cheap Thomas is. He might be the highest-owned player on the slate, so I have more interest in Johnson. Brown, meanwhile, might be less popular because he was so inconsistent this year, but he has a great matchup. Miller is a good cheap option with Darnell Mooney sidelined.

Tight Ends: Mark Andrews, Jared Cook, Eric Ebron. Andrews is too cheap for his talent level. However, Ebron is good for a nice discount.

Defenses: Saints, Steelers, Titans. It's fine to get a discount with the Titans, as they seem to have Lamar Jackson's number.

Players to Avoid: Ryan Tannehill, Nick Chubb, James Conner. These players have very difficult matchups. Tannehill will be going against a Baltimore defense that is fully healthy this time. It'll be difficult for Chubb to run on the Steelers, while Conner has been awful in recent weeks.



Week 18: Saturday Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Josh Allen, Russell Wilson. Allen is the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he's the best option by far. Wilson is underrated - Seattle will have a fully intact offensive line for the second time since Week 4 - but the matchup is very difficult.

Running Backs: Chris Carson, Cam Akers, J.D. McKissic, Nyheim Hines. Wow, these running backs are unappealing. Jonathan Taylor is most expensive, but he won't get much action if the Colts are way behind. Carson has a very difficult matchup, but he can catch some passes out of the backfield. The same applies to Akers, McKissic and Hines.

Wide Receivers: Stefon Diggs, Chris Godwin, D.K. Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, Antonio Brown, John Brown, Cam Sims, Michael Pittman Jr. I'd pay down for running backs and pay up for receivers. Metcalf has a difficult matchup, but he's a stud and is a nice contrarian play. McLaurin will be a great option if he can suit up. Because he's questionable, put him in the flex so you can sub him out for Brown or Mike Evans right before kickoff (save $200 so you can pay up for Evans.)

Tight Ends: Logan Thomas, Rob Gronkowski. The tight end options beyond Thomas are meh.

Defenses: Bills, Buccaneers, Seahawks, Redskins. Seattle is a nice, cheap play because Jared Goff is hurt.

Players to Avoid: Jared Goff, Jonathan Taylor, Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp. Goff has a bum thumb, so I don't like him or his receivers. I already discussed Taylor.





Week 17: Main Slate and Redskins-Eagles Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Justin Herbert, Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, Matt Ryan. Watson is my top play this wwek. Tennessee has a horrible pass defense, and Watson will have to throw quite often in a comeback.

Running Backs: Derrick Henry, David Montgomery, Nick Chubb, Austin Ekeler, Jonathan Taylor, David Johnson, Myles Gaskin, D'Andre Swift, Josh Jacobs, Chris Carson, Alexander Mattison, Cam Akers, Melvin Gordon, Ty Johnson, Malcolm Brown, Ty Montgomery. There are so many cheap options this week. The bottom three players are $4,300 or cheaper, and they're all viable choices if Cam Akers is sidelined. I like Akers if he plays. There's one other injury question mark, and that would be to David Johnson, who can only be used if Duke Johnson is sidelined again.

Wide Receivers: Davante Adams, Calvin Ridley, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, D.K. Metcalf, A.J. Brown, Brandin Cooks, Corey Davis, Keke Coutee, Curtis Samuel, Marvin Jones, Russell Gage, Mike Williams, Kendrick Bourne, Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick, Marquez Callaway, Josh Reynolds, Richie James, Denzel Mims. There are so many good value options once again. The 49ers are sitting all of their starting receivers, so Bourne and James are both good options. Callaway should see more targets with so many teammates sidelined. With all of these cheap choices, you can pay up for some of the top wideouts.

Tight Ends: Darren Waller, Mark Andrews, Robert Tonyan, Jared Cook, T.J. Hockenson, Noah Fant, Mike Gesicki, Irv Smith Jr., Evan Engram, Hayden Hurst, Jordan Akins, Dalton Schultz, Donald Parham. Mark Andrews seems very cheap at $5,500. He's in a great matchup, so he's worth spending up for.

Defenses: Ravens, Colts, Packers, Rams, Seahawks, Chargers, Browns, Jets. The Jets are playable at $2,300 because Cam Newton is hurt, while New England's offensive line is ravaged by injuries. However, I'd rather pay up for the Rams. They've had Kyler Murray's number, and Murray is hurt.

Players to Avoid: Kyler Murray, Ezekiel Elliott, Jeff Wilson Jr., DeAndre Hopkins. I expect an injured Murray to struggle against the Rams. Elliott is fat, while Wilson could be in a huge deficit throughout the afternoon.

Here are picks for the Redskins-Eagles Showdown:

Top Captains: Jalen Hurts, Terry McLaurin, J.D. McKissic. Hurts is the top captain by far, and with all of the values on the slate, it's easy to fit him into your lineup.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Antonio Gibson, Logan Thomas. Washington's other pass-catchers are definitely worth rostering.

Top Value: Zach Ertz, Boston Scott. These two value pieces make everything possible.

Player to Avoid: Jalen Reagor. Jalen Reagor has seen 15 targets the past two weeks, but I don't know if Jalen Hurts will have enough time in the pocket to find him for downfield strikes.





Week 16: Bills-Patriots Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Cam Newton. These are the four players with the most upside, so I'd use them at captain. Diggs will be very popular, but just be warned that Bill Belichick is capable of erasing the best aspect of an opposing offense.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Devin Singletary or Zack Moss. One of these two backs will have a good game. I'm not sure which one, unfortunately. But the Patriots are awful against the run.

Top Value: Dawson Knox. The Patriots, conversely, are excellent versus tight ends.

Player to Avoid: Isaiah McKezie. McKenzie may score 2-4 points. Or, he could find a way to get into the end zone. He's only $800, so he's worth a shot.





Week 16: Main Slate and Titans-Packers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Jalen Hurts, Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan. You can't go wrong playing one of the top guys. Mahomes, Jackson and Watson are all excellent plays, but Hurts comes with a discount

Running Backs: Nick Chubb, David Montgomery, Austin Ekeler, Miles Sanders, David Johnson, Kareem Hunt, Le'Veon Bell, Melvin Gordon, Darrell Henderson. Both Cleveland running backs look appealing in the wake of the receivers being ineligible. Montgomery has been unstoppable recently, while Ekeler is a great option. Sanders looks good, too, while David Johnson will continue to rack up receptions with Duke Johnson sidelined. Bell, Gordon and Henderson are nice cheap choices.

Wide Receivers: Tyreek Hill, Calvin Ridley, Allen Robinson, Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Diontae Johnson, Brandin Cooks, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chase Claypool, Keke Coutee, Russell Gage, Curtis Samuel, D.J. Chark, Tee Higgins, Jalen Reagor, Jamison Crowder, Sterling Shepard, Darnell Mooney, Greg Ward, Darius Slayton, Cam Sims, Steven Sims Jr., Marvin Hall. There are so many good value options that paying up for a receiver seems unnecessary. With Terry McLaurin sidelined, one of the Sims players from Washington should perform well. Meanwhile, the Browns will be without their top four wideouts, making Marvin Hall a viable option at the minimum.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Logan Thomas, Noah Fant, Dallas Goedert, Austin Hooper, Hayden Hurst. As with receiver, there are so many sub-$4,000 tight ends worth using. Thomas and Hooper seem to be the best choices, given the issues the Redskins and Browns have at receiver.

Defenses: Ravens, Browns, Bears, Steelers, Redskins, Eagles, Panthers, Jaguars. The Jaguars are in play. Seriously. Mitchell Trubisky is a ticking time bomb to implode. Would it surprise you if he tossed multiple pick-sixes?

Players to Avoid: Mitchell Trubisky, Jonathan Taylor, J.K. Dobbins. Trubisky will be popular because he's a cheap option against a terrible defense, but he sucks. I wouldn't play him. Taylor will be without his top two tackles, while Dobbins has been too reliant on touchdowns.

Here are picks for the Titans-Packers Showdown:

Top Captains: Derrick Henry, Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Aaron Jones. These four have the most upside on the slate, so you'll want to use them at captain.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Ryan Tannehill, Corey Davis. I expect the Packers to have the lead in this game, meaning Tannehill will be throwing in a deficit. Davis has the easiest matchup.

Top Value: Darrynton Evans, A.J. Dillon. Evans will get some carries and targets as Henry's direct backup. Dillon is also the No. 2 this week with Jamaal Williams sidelined.

Player to Avoid: A.J. Brown. Brown will be matched up against the best cornerback in the NFL, Jaire Alexander.





Week 16: Saturday Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Kyler Murray, Tom Brady, Matthew Stafford. These are the only three quarterbacks I'll be playing today. Murray is obviously the best option. Stafford is contrarian. He'll have to throw a ton in a deficit, but he could also leave the game early due to blowout/injury.

Running Backs: Josh Jacobs, Leonard Fournette, Myles Gaskin, Jeff Wilson Jr., Chase Edmonds. Fournette is the best option in regard to price. Wilson will be highly owned, but I'd prefer Gaskin because of his receiving ability.

Wide Receivers: DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Aiyuk, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, DeVante Parker, Marvin Jones, Kendrick Bourne, Christian Kirk, Larry Fitzgerald, Mohamed Sanu. Hopkins is the best play on the slate, and it's easy to pay up for him. You'll need to take a shot with one of the Buccaneer receivers and hope you're right. Marvin Jones has gotten the third-most targets in the NFL since Week 10. One of Kirk or Fitzgerald should pay off well. Sanu is fine at the minimum; he saw five targets last week.

Tight Ends: Darren Waller, George Kittle, T.J. Hockenson, Mike Gesicki, Rob Gronkowski, Jordan Reed. Kyle Shanahan called Kittle "the healthiest player on the team." He's too cheap. Hockenson is a great option as well; he's been targeted highly like Jones.

Defenses: Dolphins, Buccaneers, Cardinals. I hate defenses in DFS. You'll need to hope for a defensive touchdown, so pick one of these projected winners.

Players to Avoid: D'Andre Swift, Kenyan Drake. Swift could catch numerous passes, but it's impossible to run on the Buccaneers. Drake has been losing touches to Chase Edmonds.



Week 16: Vikings-Saints Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen. There's good value on this slate, so there's no excuse not to spend up for one of the top captains.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Drew Brees, Kirk Cousins, Emmanuel Sanders. Again, you can fill your lineup with the top guys because of great value. Speaking of which...

Top Value: Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Marquez Callaway. The Saints are down two receivers, so their cheaper options are viable plays. Marquez Callaway, returning from injury, is only $200!

Player to Avoid: Adam Thielen. I know I listed Thielen above, but he's my least-favorite play because he'll see plenty of Marshon Lattimore's coverage.



Week 15: Steelers-Bengals Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Diontae Johnson, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chase Claypool. The three Steeler receivers have the most upside on this slate, so I'll be playing them at captain.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Ben Roethlisberger, Eric Ebron. I don't like playing non-scrambling quarterbacks at captain, but he should be in most lineups. Ebron has a great matchup.

Top Value: Jaylen Samuels. James Conner is out, so Jaylen Samuels will play some snaps and get a few targets.

Player to Avoid: Benny Snell. Snell could do fine, but the Steelers don't run the ball very well. They're missing multiple offensive linemen, so Snell might struggle.



Week 15: Main Slate and Browns-Giants Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, Jalen Hurts, Gardner Minshew. I'd pay up for a quarterback this week, barring two exceptions. Hurts is underpriced, while Minshew could generate tons of garbage yardage and touchdowns. My favorite spend-up is Murray, who is now healthy enough to take advantage of a Philadelphia secondary missing its top two cornerbacks and best safety.

Running Backs: Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Jonathan Taylor, James Robinson, Miles Sanders, Cam Akers, D'Andre Swift, Leonard Fournette, Chase Edmonds (if he plays), Sony Michel. Henry could break the single-game rushing record against the pathetic Lions. Thus, I'd use him over Dalvin Cook, who will have to battle Chicago's tough defense. Kamara is probably the best play when accounting for price, given that he'll see tons of targets with Michael Thomas sidelined. Another great option is Fournette, who will see the majority of the workload with Ronald Jones out. Edmonds and Sony Michel are nice pivots to Fournette (assuming Edmonds plays.)

Wide Receivers: Tyreek Hill, D.K. Metcalf, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown, Allen Robinson, Justin Jefferson, Terry McLaurin, Corey Davis, T.Y. Hilton, Keke Coutee, D.J. Chark, Russell Gage, Emmanuel Sanders, Kendrick Bourne, Laviska Shenault, Larry Fitzgerald, Cam Sims, Tre'Quan Smith. There are lots of cheap options, including Tre'Quan Smith, who should do well with Michael Thomas out, and Shenault, who will benefit from Minshew's return. Mid-range choices look good as well. Chark will also thrive with Minshew under center, while Gage's targets will continue to rise without Julio Jones.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, Irv Smith Jr., Jared Cook, Hayden Hurst, Jordan Reed, Cole Kmet. Paying up for Kelce works, but there are many quality cheap tight ends this week. Kmet's targets have been rising recently, and Jimmy Graham is hurt. Reed and Hurst have easy matchups. Cook will see more passes without Thomas.

Defenses: Rams, Seahawks, 49ers, Patriots, Vikings. The Rams are obviously the top play. The Vikings are the cheapest defense I'd use, given Mitchell Trubisky's potential for turnovers. The Patriots, meanwhile, should suffocate another rookie quarterback.

Players to Avoid: Dalvin Cook, Calvin Ridley. Cook struggled against the Bears earlier in the season, so he's too expensive considering the matchup. Ridley, historically, has not done well without Julio Jones.

Here are picks for the Browns-Giants Showdown:

Top Captains: Nick Chubb, Jarvis Landry, Wayne Gallman, Kareem Hunt. This isn't a great matchup for Chubb or Hunt, but the same could've been said for their Monday night matchup. Landry will benefit from James Bradberry's absence. If the Giants win, Gallman will likely have a big game.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Evan Engram. It's not clear if Engram will play, but if he does, I love him against Cleveland's woeful linebackers.

Top Value: Golden Tate, Kha'Darel Hodge (if he plays). There's nothing that really stands out, save for Hodge, who may not even play. Tate is also worth a look; he saw four targets in Colt McCoy's other start.

Player to Avoid: Baker Mayfield, Colt McCoy. I don't think it's a bad idea to avoid both quarterbacks. Mayfield is inconsistent and may not even have to throw very much if playing ahead. McCoy, meanwhile, couldn't even get to double-digit fantasy points against Seattle's secondary a couple of weeks ago.



Week 15: Saturday Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, Teddy Bridgewater. Basically, anyone but Drew Lock. Rodgers is my favorite quarterback on the slate, even when accounting for price. Lock just threw all over the Panthers, so Rodgers will do the same. However, Bridgewater must be considered at his cheap price ($5,200).

Running Backs: Mike Davis, Melvin Gordon, Jamaal Williams, Zack Moss, Devin Singletary, Phillip Lindsay. I'd avoid Aaron Jones for reasons I'll list below. Mike Davis is my favorite running back. The rest of the guys on this list are rather lackluster, unfortunately.

Wide Receivers: Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, Cole Beasley, Tim Patrick, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Gabriel Davis, K.J. Hamler. Adams is the top play on the slate, but that could mean that people won't get to Diggs, so that would make him a nice contrarian option. Davis is the best cheap choice.

Tight Ends: Robert Tonyan, Noah Fant. I would only play the top two guys.

Defenses: Packers, Bills. I think you have to pay up for one of the two defenses. Going against Aaron Rodgers or Josh Allen could produce negative points.

Players to Avoid: Aaron Jones, D.J. Moore. As I wrote last week, I've noticed that the Packers like to limit Aaron Jones' workload in easy matchups, so we could see a lot of Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon. D.J. Moore, meanwhile, will likely draw Jaire Alexander's elite coverage, though there's a chance Alexander could cover Robby Anderson.



Week 15: Chargers-Raiders Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs. Allen will play, but will be on a rep count. I don't know what that means, but he might be less owned than usual. The other three have the highest upside on the slate.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Justin Herbert. I'd play Herbert over Derek Carr because the Chargers are more likely to be playing from behind.

Top Value: Zay Jones, Bryan Edwards. The Raiders are missing Henry Ruggs, so you can use one of these guys.

Player to Avoid: Mike Williams. Williams will also play on a snap count, but I don't trust him as much as Allen.



Week 14: Ravens-Browns Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, Marquise Brown. Jackson is my top choice at captain, by far. He has the most upside. However, both Brown and Andrews have plenty of upside as well.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Kareem Hunt, Willie Snead. If the Browns are trailing, they'll have to rely on Hunt more as a receiver out of the backfield. Snead is pretty cheap for being the No. 2 receiver.

Top Value: Harrison Bryant, Devin Duvernay. Austin Hooper is likely out, so Bryant will get the start and expose the middle of Baltimore's defense. Duvernay did nothing last week, so I like him to bounce back.

Player to Avoid: Baker Mayfield. Mayfield is expected to be owned between 40 and 55 percent, which is too high. If he didn't have his great performance against the Titans, his ownership would be 10-15 percent less.



Week 14: Monday Slate and Steelers-Bills Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson, Justin Herbert, Taysom Hill. These are my five favorite quarterbacks this week. Wilson has a great revenge angle, while Rodgers' matchup is terrific. Watson will be out for blood because the Bears didn't draft him. I also like the matchups for Herbert and Hill.

Running Backs: Derrick Henry, James Robinson, Austin Ekeler, D'Andre Swift, David Montgomery, Mike Davis, Melvin Gordon, J.D. McKissic, D'Andre Washington. I'd avoid Dalvin Cook this week because of how good Tampa's run defense is. Derrick Henry is the top play at the position, but there are some great values in the mid-range. My favorites are Swift and Montgomery. Washington is a terrific play at the minimum.

Wide Receivers: Davante Adams, D.K. Metcalf, Justin Jefferson, A.J. Brown, Michael Thomas, Adam Thielen, Allen Robinson, Chris Godwin, Robby Anderson, Corey Davis, D.J. Chark, Curtis Samuel, Sterling Shepard, Tim Patrick, Breshad Perriman, Darnell Mooney, Braxton Berrios*. There are lots of top options, though I'd avoid Tyreek Hill because of Miami's great secondary. Anderson is very cheap, as is Samuel. I would use one of the Carolina receivers against Denver's injury-ravaged secondary. Breshad Perriman is a great value, as is Braxton Berrios. I put an asterisk next to Berrios' name because he can only be used if Jamison Crowder is sidelined.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, T.J. Hockenson, Rob Gronkowski, Mike Gesicki, Evan Engram, Robert Tonyan, Hayden Hurst, Dalton Schultz, Jordan Reed. Tonyan is my favorite tight end when factoring in price, but there are some great cheap options who have great matchups.

Defenses: Saints, Seahawks, Panthers, Redskins, Chargers. I'm not sure I'd pay up for the Saints, but you definitely can. There are some good, cheaper options at this position. The Chargers are battling an Atlanta offense missing two blockers, and the same applies to the Redskins versus San Francisco.

Players to Avoid: Dalvin Cook, Aaron Jones, Calvin Ridley. I already mentioned Cook's tough matchup. Jones has a great one, but I've noticed that the Packers like to limit his workload in easy matchups, so we could see a lot of Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon. Calvin Ridley, meanwhile, hasn't been effective without Julio Jones, and he has a very difficult matchup.

Here are picks for the Steelers-Bills Showdown:

Top Captains: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Diontae Johnson, Cole Beasley. Allen has an easier matchup than anticipated because the Steelers have some offensive line injuries. Diggs will benefit from no Joe Haden, while Beasley could have another big game. Johnson is Pittsburgh's top receiver.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Ben Roethlisberger. I would have Roethlisberger in every lineup because of the tough matchup. I expect the Steelers to be playing from behind, meaning Roethlisberger will have to throw a lot.

Top Value: Gabriel Davis. I don't see a great, cheap option. However, Gabriel Davis at $5,000 is undervalued.

Player to Avoid: James Conner. As I said, I think the Steelers will be playing from behind, which is not a good game script for Conner.



Week 14: Patriots-Rams Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Cam Newton, Damien Harris, James White. I expect the Patriots to win this game in a potential blowout, which is contrarian by itself. That means I'm interested in the New England players at captain.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Robert Woods or Cooper Kupp. Notice the "or" there because I would play only one. I don't know which receiver Stephon Gilmore will smother, so take your pick. One of them should do something in garbage time.

Top Value: Van Jefferson. Van Jefferson played more than Josh Reynolds last week, which is an indication that he's a solid play in this tournament.

Player to Avoid: Jared Goff. I'm confident Bill Belichick will confuse Goff and force him into several turnovers.



Week 13: Cowboys-Ravens Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Lamar Jackson, Marquise Brown, J.K. Dobbins. Jackson is my top choice at captain, by far. He has the most upside. However, both Brown and Dobbins have plenty of upside as well.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Amari Cooper. CeeDee Lamb will be matched up against Marlon Humphrey in the slot, so I definitely like Cooper more than the other Dallas receivers in this game.

Top Value: Luke Willson, Devin Duvernay. Both of these guys will play lots of snaps, and their cheap prices allow you to play whomever else you want. I originally had Dez Bryant here, but he has been scratched! You can replace him with Luke Willson, or perhaps Miles Boykin.

Player to Avoid: Andy Dalton. Dalton has a very difficult matchup and won't get much blocking behind his poor offensive line.



Week 13: Monday Slate and 49ers-Bills Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Josh Allen, Ben Roethlisberger. I would only play these two quarterbacks. I don't think Nick Mullens or Alex Smith have the upside to win a tournament.

Running Backs: Raheem Mostert, Benny Snell, Zack Moss, J.D. McKissic, Devin Singletary, Jerick McKinnon. Yuck! The options here aren't great, save for J.D. McKissic, who should catch lots of passes. Using one of the Buffalo backs could work, but which one? I wish I knew the answer, though Singletary is $300 cheaper.

Wide Receivers: Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis. I think you have to play at least one Steeler receiver, given the upside of that passing attack. Diggs and McLaurin are too good to pass up. They'll be popular, but I'm not sure too many people will use both in their lineups, so that might be one way to be different.

Tight Ends: Eric Ebron, Jordan Reed. No other tight end stands out. Logan Thomas might see some exposure, but the Steelers clamp down on tight ends.

Defenses: Steelers, Bills, Redskins. Basically, not the 49ers. The Redskins are in play because the Steelers are likely down two offensive linemen.

Players to Avoid: Antonio Gibson, Brandon Aiyuk, Logan Thomas. Gibson just had a huge game, so his ownership might be high. Aiyuk has a difficult matchup, as does Thomas.

Here are picks for the Bills-49ers Showdown:

Top Captains: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley. I would play two of these guys, using one at captain. Allen and Diggs have huge upside, while Beasley has the best matchup of the Buffalo receivers.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Raheem Mostert. Mostert should have more of a workload this week, and the matchup is not difficult.

Top Value: Jerick McKinnon, Ross Dwelley. McKinnon could get you 8-10 points off catches, so he's a nice play at $1,400. I also don't mind Dwelley at his cheap price.

Player to Avoid: Nick Mullens, Brandon Aiyuk. There's no upside with Mullens, while Aiyuk has a difficult matchup.



Week 13: Main Slate and Broncos-Chiefs Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in price order)...

Quarterbacks: Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Taysom Hill, Mitchell Trubisky. Murray has a tough matchup, but this is a must-win, and I expect him to run more this week. Watson is a great play versus an Indianapolis defense missing its two starting safeties. Trubisky is the best cheap option, but he comes with substantial risk.

Running Backs: Dalvin Cook, James Robinson, Austin Ekeler, Myles Gaskin, Devontae Booker, David Montgomery, James White. Cook was a disappointment last week, but he'll rebound in a better matchup. James Robinson is matchup-proof because he can handle a heavy run workload, and he can also catch plenty of passes out of the backfield. Gaskin, Booker, Montgomery and White are all outstanding mid-range option.

Wide Receivers: D.K. Metcalf, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown, Adam Thielen, Calvin Ridley, Justin Jefferson, Allen Robinson, DeVante Parker, Jarvis Landry, D.J. Chark, Corey Davis, Allen Lazard, Michael Pittman, Josh Reynolds, Denzel Mims, Keke Coutee, Darnell Mooney, Andy Isabella. Metcalf has dominated everyone except for the Rams and Cardinals this year. He's a top play, as are Hopkins and Brown. Thielen and Jefferson can both be played in the same lineup, even without Kirk Cousins. Ridley's outlook has gotten brighter with Julio Jones returning. I like Chark against Minnesota's injury-ravaged secondary, and the same applies to to the Chicago receivers. Mad-Eye Mooney is a nice play at a cheap price, as is Andy Isabella, provided Larry Fitzgerald isn't cleared.

Tight Ends: Darren Waller, Mike Gesicki, Robert Tonyan, Kyle Rudolph, Anthony Firkser. Gesicki is in play if Ryan Fitzpatrick starts. Firkser is a good option at the minimum price with Jonnu Smith sidelined.

Defenses: Dolphins, Packers, Raiders, Cardinals, Patriots. Paying up for the Dolphins and Packers could be worth it, as they're going up against turnover-prone defenses. The same goes for the Raiders and Cardinals. New England is the cheapest option, but it could pay off because of Bill Belichick going up against a rookie quarterback.

Players to Avoid: Justin Herbert, Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara, Keenan Allen, Hunter Henry. I don't want to use Herbert for the reason above. The Packers like to use Jamaal Williams more in easier matchups to keep Aaron Jones' legs fresh. Allen has a tough matchup, and he'll see his targets decline with Ekeler in the lineup. New England clamps down on tight ends.

Here are picks for the Broncos-Chiefs Showdown:

Top Captains: Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce. I would play two of these guys, using one at captain. They all have way more upside than anyone else in this game.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Melvin Gordon. The Broncos ran well against the Chiefs in Week 7. With Phillip Lindsay banged up, Melvin Gordon could have a huge game.

Top Value: KJ Hamler, Royce Freeman. Hamler is only $1,800, which seems like a great bargain. Freeman will be a terrific, cheap option if Lindsay is sidelined.

Player to Avoid: Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Edwards-Helaire is banged up, and Denver's defensive line will be healthier this week.



Week 12: Ravens-Steelers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Benny Snell. Any Steeler skill-position player is an ideal captain. I wouldn't use Ben Roethlisberger as a captain because most showdown winning lineups have a running back or a receiver as a captain.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Ben Roethlisberger. I made 11 lineups, and Roethlisberger is in 10 of them as a FLEX. He's a very safe play against Baltimore's banged-up defense.

Top Value: Anthony McFarland, Justice Hill, Ray-Ray McCloud. McFarland will see more touches with James Conner and Jaylen Samuels sidelined. Justice Hill will play more if the Ravens are in a deficit, as expected. I'm also taking a shot on McCloud in a couple of lineups.

Player to Avoid: Gus Edwards. The Ravens are missing three offensive linemen and will be battling a great Pittsburgh defense. They also figure to be in a deficit for most of the game, so Edwards won't be able to run very often.



Week 12: Seahawks-Eagles Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Russell Wilson, D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett. Russell Wilson, with extra time to prepare, versus a sketchy secondary? Sign me up!

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): Miles Sanders. The Seahawks have a middling run defense, but Sanders is capable of going the distance whenever he touches the ball. He's an excellent tournament play because everyone will be spending up for Wilson and his receivers.

Top Value: Boston Scott, Richard Rodgers, Freddie Swain*. There are lots of good values on this slate. I put an asterisk next to Swain because he and David Moore are questionable. If Swain plays, and Moore is out, Swain will be an excellent option.

Player to Avoid: Chris Carson. There's always a chance Chris Carson will score some rushing touchdowns, but the Eagles have an excellent run defense.



Week 12: Main Slate and Bears-Packers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in no order)...

Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, Taysom Hill, Matt Ryan, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tom Brady. The first two are my top choices, but I like the other five as well. Brady won't be highly owned, but I expect him to rebound off a loss.

Running Backs: Dalvin Cook, Josh Jacobs, Mike Davis, Austin Ekeler, Nyheim Hines, Kareem Hunt, James White. Cook is very expensive, but can be played easily based on how many good, cheap options are available. Hines and White are great values because of their pass-catching abilities and the injuries in front of them. Ekeler is a wild card because he may not be active, but if he is, he's an outstanding option.

Wide Receivers: Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Michael Thomas, Calvin Ridley, Justin Jefferson, Jakobi Meyers, Laviska Shenailt, Keelan Cole, Curtis Samuel, Robby Anderson, Olamide Zaccheaus, Jamison Crowder, DeVante Parker, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis, Jakeem Grant. Jefferson will be highly owned, but for good reason. Minnesota doesn't pass much, but the offense is so consolidated that Jefferson sticks out with Adam Thielen sidelined. The Jacksonville, Buffalo and Miami receivers are all tremendous values, as is Zaccheaus if Julio Jones is sidelined.

Tight Ends: Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Evan Engram, Mike Gesicki. If you can't afford Kelce or Waller, just pay down for Gesicki. He hasn't done much recently, but that'll change with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting.

Defenses: Giants, Browns, Dolphins, Saints, Bills. The Bills may not seem like a logical option, but keep in mind that they have a great, defensive-minded coach going up against a rookie quarterback.

Players to Avoid: Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, DeAndre Hopkins. I don't want to use Herbert for the reason above. Allen has a tough matchup, and he'll see his targets decline with Ekeler in the lineup. Hopkins doesn't have a good history versus Bill Belichick.

Here are picks for the Bears-Packers Showdown:

Top Captains: Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones. I would play two of these guys, using one at captain. They all have way more upside than anyone else in this game.

Top Spend-Up FLEX (excluding Top Captains): David Montgomery. The Bears don't have a viable halfback beyond David Montgomery, so he'll see touches no matter how the game goes.

Top Value: Jamaal Williams. Williams could see plenty of touches, especially if this game gets out of hand. The Bears won't be as good against the run without Akiem Hicks

Player to Avoid: Allen Robinson. Jaire Alexander is the best cornerback in the NFL. He'll erase Robinson.



Week 12: Thanksgiving Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate (in order of team listing on the slate)...

Quarterbacks: Deshaun Watson. I considered Ben Roethlisberger as well, but the Ravens-Steelers game was moved to Sunday.

Running Backs: Duke Johnson, Antonio Gibson, J.D. McKissic, Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott is the obvious top choice. McKissic will continue to catch tons of passes out of the backfield. (Update: With Swift ruled out, Gibson becomes more of an option.)

Wide Receivers: Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, Keke Coutee, Terry McLaurin, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup. Fuller and McLaurin are my top choices, but all of these receivers work. Coutee will be starting in the slot for the injured Randall Cobb.

Tight Ends: Jordan Akins, Darren Fells, Dalton Schultz. These are the best matchups for tight ends, but I don't have a big issue with anyone on this slate.

Defenses: Texans, Cowboys. I believe these are the teams that will win, so I'm going to play them.

Players to Avoid: Matthew Stafford, Lions Running Backs, Marvin Jones. Stafford is dealing with an injured thumb. He's not himself, so unless he makes a quick recovery, he and his receivers will struggle. (Update: People are going to play the lesser Lions running backs with Swift out, but they cancel each other out by splitting touches, so I wouldn't use either.)



Week 11: Rams-Buccaneers Showdown


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this slate...

Top Captains: Buccaneers Running Backs or Wide Receivers; Rams Receivers. I like Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, Ronald Jones, Leonard Fournette, Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods as captains in no order. Running backs and wide receivers often finish as the winning captains unless there's a scrambling quarterback. There's no such thing in this game.

Top Spend-Up FLEX: Robert Woods. Everyone is going to be either paying up for Cooper Kupp or trying to get a bargain with Josh Reynolds. I believe Woods will see far less ownership, and he's just as likely to have a big game as Kupp.

Top Value: Cameron Brate. Brate plays a third of the snaps and tends to be targeted in the red zone. The Rams are just average against tight ends.

Player to Avoid: Rams Running Backs. Not only is this a messy situation; the Buccaneers also have the top run defense in the NFL.



Week 11: FanDuel Main Slate


I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my favorite players for this week...

I'm having issues accessing my DraftKings account, and I'm not getting any help from management. I'm forced to play on FanDuel this week. I'm hoping this doesn't become permanent.

Here are my top picks on FanDuel:

Quarterbacks: Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert. I'd like to stack these two quarterbacks this week. Jackson is facing a Tennessee secondary missing three starters, while Herbert will be going against a Jets secondary without its top two cornerbacks.

Running Backs: Miles Sanders, Mike Davis. Dalvin Cook is the obvious play, and he's great. If you're looking elsewhere, Sanders seems solid against a Cleveland team missing Myles Garrett. Meanwhile, Davis should be able to take advantage against Detroit's putrid run defense.

Wide Receivers: Keenan Allen, Tee Higgins, Mike Williams, Marquise Brown. It makes sense to use Herbert and Jackson's receivers. Tee Higgins also seems great, as he has gotten better each week.

Tight Ends: Taysom Hill. Hill is tight end-only on FanDuel! He's a free square this week.

Defenses: Dolphins, Eagles. Miami's defense is awesome, and it will be going up against the horrible and injured Drew Lock. The Eagles should be able to force Baker Mayfield into some turnovers.

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2022 NFL Mock Draft - May 4


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Fantasy Football Rankings - Jan. 11




 





 

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