I’ll be posting NFL DraftKings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.
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Top Captains: George Kittle (13200), Jake Ferguson (10200). It’s National Tight Ends Day, so you’ll want both of these guys in your lineup. I normally don’t like narratives, but that means a lot to these tight ends, and their quarterbacks know that.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Jordan Mason (11000). Jordan Mason has a great matchup against Dallas’ woeful run defense.
Top Value: Jalen Tolbert (6400), Ezekiel Elliott (2400). The 49ers tend to be leaky against No. 2 receivers. Jalen Tolbert has gotten 15 targets over the past two weeks. Ezekiel Elliott is in play because Rico Dowdle is out.
Top Punt Play: Dalvin Cook (1000). Dalvin Cook will get some consideration because he’s active, but he’s completely washed up. Still, there’s a chance that he could fall into the end zone, especially with Rico Dowdle out.
Player to Avoid: Ricky Pearsall (5800). Ricky Pearsall is too expensive. I’d play him if Deebo Samuel or George Kittle were out, but I otherwise have no interest.
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I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my player pool for this slate (in price order)…
Top Quarterbacks: Jalen Hurts (7500), Joe Burrow (7000), Kirk Cousins (6200), Anthony Richardson (5900), Bo Nix (5600), Jameis Winston (5200).
Rather than barely touch on every player on this list, I’ll discuss my top plays at each position.
Kirk Cousins, $6,200: Kirk Cousins threw for 500 yards against the Buccaneers, and now Tampa Bay will be missing top cornerback Jamel Dean.
Anthony Richardson, $5,900: Anthony Richardson had his best game of the year against the Texans in Week 1. Houston struggles against mobile quarterbacks.
Bo Nix, $5,600: Did you see what Marcus Mariota did to this Panthers defense?
Jameis Winston, $5,200: Jameis Winston is an upgrade over Deshaun Watson. Baltimore’s defense stinks, and Watson could have plenty of garbage time points.
Top Running Backs: Kenneth Walker (7800), Joe Mixon (7700), Breece Hall (7300), J.K. Dobbins (6900), James Conner (6500), Kareem Hunt (6300), Javonte Williams (6000).
Kenneth Walker, $7,800: Kenneth Walker is matchup-proof because he has shown that he’ll get 7-8 targets while in a deficit. The Bills struggle against receiving backs anyway.
Joe Mixon, $7,700: Joe Mixon has scored 29 DK points in every full game he’s played in this year. The Colts struggle against the run.
Breece Hall, $7,300: The Patriots are awful against the run. They had no answer for Tank Bigsby in London.
J.K. Dobbins, $6,900: The Saints have surrendered 500 rushing yards in the past two weeks to Javonte Williams, Sean Tucker, and Bucky Irving.
James Conner, $6,500: James Conner should be able to continue his great play against a very poor Miami run defense.
Kareem Hunt, $6,300: Kareem Hunt has been stellar since taking over as the starter. The Raiders are poor to running backs.
Javonte Williams, $6,000: Every running back looks like Walter Payton against the Panthers.
Top Wide Receivers: Ja’Marr Chase (8500), A.J. Brown (8200), Drake London (7200), Zay Flowers (6800), Darnell Mooney (5800), Courtland Sutton (5300), Ladd McConkey (5100), Alec Pierce (5000), Sterling Shepard (3800), Jalen McMillan (3700), Trey Palmer (3500), Cedric Tillman (3300).
Ja’Marr Chase, $8,500: The Eagles are weak to top receivers, so Ja’Marr Chase is a great play.
A.J. Brown, $8,200: My favorite spend-up option on the slate. Cincinnati has a woeful secondary.
Falcons Receivers, $7,200/$5,800: Atlanta’s receivers can both be played against Tampa Bay’s woeful secondary. Darnell Mooney had a monster game versus Tampa Bay in the previous meeting.
Courtland Sutton, $5,300: Courtland Sutton is coming off a dud performance, so this could be a squeaky-wheel narrative in a dream matchup.
Ladd McConkey, $5,100: The Saints have surrendered some major outputs to opposing slot receivers.
Buccaneers Receivers, $3,800/$3,700/$3,500: You should have one of the three receivers (Sterling Shepard, Jalen McMillan, Trey Palmer) in your lineup. Which one? I’d go Palmer, McMillan and Shepard in that order.
Cedric Tillman, $3,300: Cedric Tillman saw 12 targets last week. Twelve targets! He might be Cleveland’s new No. 1 receiver because Jerry Jeudy can’t catch anything.
Top Tight Ends: Brock Bowers (6100), David Njoku (5100), Dalton Kincaid (4900), Tucker Kraft (4600), Kyle Pitts (4400), Noah Fant (3700), Jonnu Smith (3600), Cade Otton (3500), J’Tavion Sanders (3100).
Brock Bowers, $6,100: You’ll want two tight ends in your lineup for National Tight End Day. Brock Bowers works against the worst tight end defense in the NFL, but if Jakobi Meyers doesn’t play, Steve Spagnuolo could opt to double team him.
David Njoku, $5,100: David Njoku is going to have some monster games the rest of the year. The Ravens leave the middle of the field wide open.
Dalton Kincaid, $4,900: The Seahawks just allowed Kyle Pitts to have a huge game. They can’t cover tight ends at all.
Tucker Kraft, $4,600: Tucker Kraft seems like a bargain at $4,600. The Jaguars struggle to cover tight ends.
Kyle Pitts, $4,400: Kyle Pitts has been hot lately, and the Buccaneers struggle against tight ends.
Noah Fant, $3,700: Noah Fant should see an uptick in production with D.K. Metcalf sidelined. The Bills are not good versus tight ends.
Jonnu Smith, $3,600: Did you see what Will Dissly did Monday night? Arizona has been very poor to tight ends lately.
Cade Otton, $3,500: This seems like a free square. Cade Otton’s price didn’t increase because the contest was opened before the Monday night game. The Falcons aren’t good against tight ends either.
J’Tavion Sanders, $3,100: The Broncos are only weak to tight ends.
Top Defenses: Broncos (3700), Chiefs (3600), Jets (3500), Packers (3200), Bills (3000), Cardinals (2900), Jaguars (2400).
Broncos, $3,700: Andy Dalton is beginning to throw Bryce Young-type interceptions.
Chiefs, $3,600: Gardner Minshew loves throwing the ball to the other team.
Jets, $3,500: The Jets are desperate, and they shut down the Patriots in the first meeting.
Packers, $3,200: The Packers lead the NFL in pressure rate among teams that blitz less than 20 percent of the time.
Cardinals, $2,900: Mike McDaniel is inept, and it’s usually a good idea to fade a quarterback returning from a concussion.
Jaguars, $2,400: Jordan Love is great, but he tends to be reckless sometimes, and that could lead to some interceptions.
Players to Avoid: Tua Tagovailoa (6100), Marcus Mariota (5300), Derrick Henry (8100), Bijan Robinson (7200), DeAndre Hopkins (4900). Quarterbacks tend to struggle in their first game back from concussions, so I wouldn’t want to play Tua Tagovailoa. … People will be tempted to play Marcus Mariota, but this is a tough matchup for him. … Derrick Henry has a very tough matchup this week, so it’s hard to justify this price. … Bijan Robinson has been great the past two weeks, but he has a very difficult matchup this week. … DeAndre Hopkins won’t know the playbook yet.
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Top Captains: Najee Harris (13800). I can’t believe I’m recommending Najee Harris, but he’s been running hard ever since he was called soft. It’s a positive matchup.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): George Pickens (9800). George Pickens has been unlocked with Russell Wilson starting over Justin Fields.
Top Value: Tyrone Tracy (4400). This matchup sucks, but Tyrone Tracy is way underpriced at $4,400. He started for the Giants last week and has been electric.
Top Punt Play: Theo Johnson (2400). Theo Johnson had eight combined targets in Weeks 5 and 6, but didn’t do anything last week on paper. However, he had a touchdown nullified by penalty, and this is a positive matchup for him.
Player to Avoid: Najee Harris (9000). Everyone will want to play Najee Harris because Ray Davis ran all over the Jets. However, the Jets can focus on stopping the run with Pittsburgh’s passing attack being defunct. Harris sucked before last week, so why would he suddenly be great again?
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