I’ll be posting NFL DraftKings picks here. I cannot post lineups anymore, but I will list some players I like each week.
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Top Captains: D.J. Moore (14700), Rome Odunze (10800). The Jaguars are at their weakest defending outside receivers. I would go with one of the outside receivers playing for the Bears as captain.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Caleb Williams (8800). Did you see what Joe Flacco just did to the Jaguars? Caleb Williams has a great matchup.
Top Value: Tank Bigsby (7000), Evan Engram (5800). Tank Bigsby has taken over as the starting running back. He’s been great, and he has a plus matchup.
Evan Engram may return this week. Chicago has allowed some production to opposing tight ends, so I’d use Engram right away.
Top Punt Play: Brenton Strange (3200). Brenton Strange has a decent matchup, so he can be used if Engram is sidelined again.
Player to Avoid: Keenan Allen (7600). Keenan Allen is 66th in usage among receivers, and the Jaguars handle slot receivers well.
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I can no longer post any lineups, per DraftKings rules, but I will list some of my player pool for this slate (in price order)…
Top Quarterbacks: Lamar Jackson (7800), Jayden Daniels (7300), Dak Prescott (6700), Kirk Cousins (6200), Anthony Richardson (6000), Drake Maye (5000), Will Levis (4800), Spencer Rattler (4000).
Rather than barely touch on every player on this list, I’ll discuss my top plays at each position.
Lamar Jackson & Jayden Daniels, $7,800/$7,300: I normally don’t highlight the highest-priced quarterbacks, but both Lamar Jackson and Jayden Daniels have plus matchups this week, so they’re both very appealing.
Dak Prescott, $6,700: Dak Prescott will play in a pass-funnel matchup and could be throwing a lot in a deficit. We’ve seen Prescott break the slate in such situations.
Kirk Cousins, $6,200: Kirk Cousins just threw for 500 yards, and now he has an even easier matchup in Carolina.
Anthony Richardson, $6,000: Anthony Richardson looks very intriguing if he plays, as scrambling quarterbacks have had their way against the Titans.
Drake Maye, $5,000: The Texans allow tons of rushing yardage to opposing quarterbacks, and that happens to be Drake Maye’s specialty.
Will Levis, $4,800: Many will play Spencer Rattler at $4,000, but I’d prefer Will Levis at $800 more. He’s had nothing but difficult matchups to start the year – his first three opponents are all top six in EPA – and now he gets the Colts, who just allowed Trevor Lawrence to snap out of his funk.
Spencer Rattler, $4,000: Only because he’s the minimum.
Top Running Backs: Derrick Henry (8000), Jahmyr Gibbs (7000), Josh Jacobs (6700), Bijan Robinson (6600), David Montgomery (6500), Chuba Hubbard (6300), Tony Pollard (6000), Javonte Williams (5500), Bucky Irving (5400), Antonio Gibson (5300), Dare Ogunbowale (4800), Jeremy McNichols (4500).
Derrick Henry, $8,000: I’m usually opposed to paying up for Derrick Henry, but this is a positive game script against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
Jahmyr Gibbs & David Montgomery, $7,000/$6,500: The Cowboys can’t stop the run unless they play against 300-pound running backs.
Josh Jacobs, $6,700: The Cardinals are woeful against the run.
Bijan Robinson, $6,600: This is the first time Bijan Robinson is priced below $7,000, and yet it’s his easiest matchup of the year.
Chuba Hubbard, $6,300: Chuba Hubbard has accumulated at least 18 DK points in every game since Andy Dalton took over. This is a plus matchup for him.
Javonte Williams, $5,500: The Chargers allow a lot of production to pass-catching backs. Javonte Williams has hauled in at least four passes in three of the past four games.
Bucky Irving, $5,400: Rachaad White won’t play, so Bucky Irving will get all the touches against a defense that just allowed 100 rushing yards to Kareem Hunt.
Antonio Gibson, $5,300: Antonio Gibson will get more touches this week with Rhamondre Stevenson sidelined.
Dare Ogunbowale, $4,800: Dare Ogunbowale is a fine punt option if Joe Mixon is out again. Ogunbowale has 114 receiving yards in the past two games, and Bobby Slowik is insisting on utiilzing his pedestrian running backs on early downs.
Jeremy McNichols, $4,500: You can play Jeremy McNichols if Brian Robinson is out, but keep in mind that this is a difficult matchup.
Top Wide Receivers: CeeDee Lamb (8600), A.J. Brown (7800), Chris Godwin (6900), Drake London (6700), Zay Flowers (6500), Terry McLaurin (6400), Diontae Johnson (6100), Amari Cooper (6000), Calvin Ridley (5700), Darnell Mooney (5300), Dontayvion Wicks (5200), Michael Wilson (4600), Adonai Mitchell (3900).
CeeDee Lamb, $8,600: The Lions have been utterly awful against slot receivers.
A.J. Brown, $7,800: A.J. Brown practiced fully this week, and he has a great matchup against the Browns.
Chris Godwin, $6,900: Slot receivers have crushed the Saints all year. Look at what Juju Smith-Schuster did to them Monday night.
Drake London & Darnell Mooney, $6,700/$5,300: Both Atlanta receivers have stellar matchups against the dreadful Carolina outside cornerbacks. I’d prefer London because Mooney feels a bit too expensive.
Zay Flowers, $6,500: Zay Flowers has been extremely productive in negative game scripts. If you think the Ravens will be trailing, play Zay Flowers.
Terry McLaurin, $6,400: Terry McLaurin is Washington’s only consistent receiver. He also has a fantastic matchup.
Diontae Johnson, $6,100: Diontae Johnson struggled in last week’s difficult matchup. He’ll bounce back against Atlanta’s poor secondary.
Amari Cooper, $6,000: Amari Cooper has a great matchup, and he’s the cheapest he’s been all year. He has seen no fewer than eight targets in any game this year.
Calvin Ridley, $5,700: Calvin Ridley has had some difficult matchups lately. Now, he’s the cheapest he’s ever been, and he’s in a great spot versus Indianapolis.
Dontayvion Wicks, $5,200: Dontayvion Wicks flopped last week, but he still saw seven targets. This is a great matchup for him.
Michael Wilson, $4,600: Michael Wilson has seen an average of 7.3 targets per game over the past three weeks. He’s secured a stranglehold of the No. 2 option in Arizona.
Adonai Mitchell, $3,900: Adonai Mitchell and Alec Pierce can be used if both Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs are sidelined.
Top Tight Ends: Brock Bowers (6000), Dalton Schultz (4100), Zach Ertz (3700), Cade Otton (3500), Hayden Hurst (2600).
Brock Bowers, $6,000: The Steelers have allowed lots of production to all the real tight ends they’ve played this season.
Zach Ertz, $3,700: Baltimore has allowed massive games to opposing tight ends this year. Zach Ertz could see a ton of targets.
Cade Otton, $3,500: Tight ends have done very well against the Saints all season. Cade Otton has seen an uptick in production following a slow start.
Hayden Hurst, $2,600: If you’re looking for a bottom-of-the-barrel punt option, consider Hayden Hurst. The Broncos blitz a lot and leave the middle of the field wide open.
Top Defenses: Eagles (3400), Colts (3100), Raiders (3000), Lions (2800).
Eagles, $3,400: Deshaun Watson is a broken quarterback.
Colts, $3,100: The Colts must be in consideration if Will Levis starts for Tennessee. I don’t think it’s crazy to play Levis and the Colts defense in the same lineup.
Raiders, $3,000: Pittsburgh’s offense has been a mess ever since James Daniels got hurt.
Lions, $2,800: Aidan Hutchinson versus Tyler Guyton is a huge mismatch.
Players to Avoid: Brian Robinson (6400), Najee Harris (5800), Buccaneers Defense (2600). It’s extremely difficult to run on the Ravens. … Najee Harris has a great matchup, but he looks like he weighs 300 pounds. … Tampa Bay’s defense is going to be very chalky this week.
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Top Captains: Darius Slayton (9900). Malik Nabers is out, so Darius Slayton will get a huge bump once again. This is a great matchup for him, as Cincinnati has been poor to outside receivers, even before the Dax Hill injury.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Ja’Marr Chase (11400), Joe Burrow (10000). Playing both is very easily with Slayton as captain.
Top Value: Tyrone Tracy (7400). Tyrone Tracy is a must play if Devin Singletary is out again. He’s far too cheap. If Devin Singletary is active, I’d avoid this situation because there will be a split backfield. I’d focus on Zack Moss instead.
Top Punt Play: Theo Johnson (2800). New York’s atheltic rookie tight end saw five targets last week. Johnson is a good option with Nabers sidelined.
Player to Avoid: Chase Brown (8600). Chase Brown is dealing with an injured quad, so he could be limited if he plays.
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Top Captains: Breece Hall (14100). Breece Hall is coming off two dud performances. He should bounce back Monday night against a defense that can’t stop receiving backs.
Top Spend-Up FLEX (in addition to Top Captains): Josh Allen (11000). Josh Allen is struggling right now, and he seldom does well at the Meadowlands. However, he figures to be playing from behind in this game, so he could accumulate some garbage-time yardage.
Top Value: Tyler Conklin (4000), Jets Defense (3600). Buffalo’s defense hasn’t handled tight ends all that well this year.
Metlife has been a house of horrors for Allen. It’s wild that we’re getting the No. 2 defense in the NFL for just $3,600.
Top Punt Play: Ray Davis (3000). James Cook may play, but he probably won’t be 100 percent. Ray Davis could get more work than usual.
Player to Avoid: Garrett Wilson (10000). Garrett Wilson saw 22 targets, so why the fade? Most of that came in a comeback mode. The Jets should be playing in a positive game script versus Buffalo, so Wilson may not do as much this week.
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