New Orleans Saints (Last Year: 9-8)
Season Summary:
The Saints were a Tampa Bay loss away from reaching the playoffs. While it was a disappointment that they didn’t reach the postseason, they at least finished their 2023 campaign on a strong note with blowout victories over the Buccaneers and Falcons.
2024 NFL Season Preview:
Veteran Additions:
WR Cedrick Wilson, OT Oli Udoh, DE Chase Young, LB Willie Gay, LB Khaleke Hudson.
Early Draft Picks:
OT Taliese Fuaga, CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, QB Spencer Rattler. Saints Rookie Forecast
Offseason Losses:
QB Jameis Winston, WR Michael Thomas, TE Jimmy Graham, G Andrus Peat, G Max Garcia, DE Malcolm Roach, OLB Zack Baun, CB Isaac Yiadom, S Marcus Maye, S Lonnie Johnson.
2024 New Orleans Saints Offense:
When the Saints signed Derek Carr to a large contract last offseason, they believed they found a viable replacement for Drew Brees. Instead, Carr failed to lead the team to the playoffs despite playing in the worst division in football. Carr posted solid stats, throwing for 3,878 yards, 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions, all while completing 68.4 percent of his passes. However, the numbers were hollow, as Carr struggled in clutch moments and in the red zone.
Not all the blame can be placed on Carr, as New Orleans’ offense has some glaring weaknesses. Tackle play is one of them. Former first-round pick Trevor Penning has been a colossal bust. Right tackle Ryan Ramczyk is an excellent blocker, but a severe injury is likely to keep him out of 2024 entirely. There’s even talk that his career might be finished. This is why the Saints spent the 14th-overall pick on Taliese Fuaga, a versatile blocker who can play guard and right tackle. Fuaga appears to be a fine substitute for Ramczyk, but it’s never clear how a rookie will perform until he actually takes the field. What’s known is that Penning will be back as a starter because New Orleans failed to replace him, which is not good news for Carr.
If the Saints had one huge hole on the offensive line, they could get away with it. However, that’s not the case, as guard is a major problem as well. The Saints’ two guards are projected to be Cesar Ruiz and Oli Udoh. Ruiz was one of the worst starters in the NFL last year, while Udoh was a big liability for Minnesota. Center Erik McCoy is at least a solid blocker.
Receiving depth is a problem as well. Chris Olave is a fantastic player, and Rashid Shaheed is capable of making some big plays, but that’s all the Saints have at receiver. A.T. Perry, Cedrick Wilson, Equanimeous St. Brown, and fifth-round rookie Bub Means may all see significant playing time, especially if one of Olave or Shaheed gets hurt.
Running back could be a problem as well. Alvin Kamara is great when he’s 100 percent, but he tends to miss significant action. Kamara has missed 10 total games in the past three years, and his age (29) is becoming a concern. If Kamara is out again, Kendre Miller is the favorite to step into the role. Miller had a quality performance in the season finale versus Atlanta, but is largely unproven.
2024 New Orleans Saints Defense:
Given Derek Carr’s mediocrity and the issues surrounding the offensive line and receiving corps depth, New Orleans’ defense will have to carry the team in 2024. The problem is that the Saints finished with the fifth-worst pressure rate in 2023, and it could be even worse this upcoming season despite a big-name addition.
That big name is Chase Young. That was the most significant move the Saints made in free agency, and it may not matter all that much because Young has proven to be an overrated player since a slew of injuries have sapped him of his athleticism. Young is expected to upgrade Cameron Jordan, who was once a great player. Jordan, however, had just two sacks in 2023, although he still played well in run support. New Orleans’ only potent edge rusher is Carl Granderson, who logged eight sacks.
The Saints were hoping to get a better pass rush from the interior after spending last year’s first-round pick on Bryan Breese. The Clemson product logged 4.5 sacks as a rookie, but was a huge liability in run support. One of the other primary defensive tackles, Nathan Shepherd, had similar issues, and like Breese, he was able to get to the quarterback a bit with 3.5 sacks. The third defensive tackle, Khalen Saunders, was the best of the trio when it came to clamping down on the run, but he failed to register a single sack.
A poor pass rush will place lots of stress on a secondary, and it didn’t help that Marshon Lattimore was lost for the season beyond Week 10 last year. The Saints will be hoping for better luck with Lattimore, but the talented cornerback has missed extensive action over the years. This is one of the reasons why the front office spent a second-round pick on Kool-Aid McKinstry, who was a great value. He could challenge Paulson Adebo, who has been an inconsistent player throughout his young career thus far. The Saints will also be hoping for better play from slot corner Alontae Taylor, who was torched often in 2023.
There are concerns at safety as well. Tyrann Mathieu has been a dynamic player for New Orleans, but he turned 32 this offseason. He may still have one or two more strong seasons remaining, but he could regress in the near future. The other safety, Jordan Howden, is unproven. However, Howden, a fifth-round pick a year ago, showed some promise in late-season starts.
The Saints will be at their best on this side of the ball in the linebacking corps. Demario Davis is one of the top players at his position in the NFL. There’s also Pete Werner, who has performed well in the past, but is coming off a down year. The Saints acquired Willie Gay from the Chiefs as well. Gay is a liability in coverage, but can do well in run support.
2024 New Orleans Saints Schedule and Intangibles:
The Saints were 69-34 at home this past decade-plus, including 40-22 in the previous six years. However, they’ve suffered some horrible losses at home in the playoffs.
Blake Grupe replaced Wil Lutz as the team’s kicker last year. Grupe hit 30-of-37 field goals, including 6-of-9 beyond 50.
Lou Hedley finished with one of the worst net punting averages last year, but did very well when pinning the opposition inside the 20.
The Saints have some easy games within the division. Out of the NFC South, however, they have to battle the NFC East and AFC West, so their schedule is mixed.
2024 New Orleans Saints Rookies:
Go here for the Saints Rookie Forecast, a page with predictions like which rookie will bust and which rookie will become a solid starter.
2024 New Orleans Saints Positional Rankings (1-5 stars):
Quarterbacks |
Offensive Line |
Secondary |
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Running Backs |
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Receivers |
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Coaching |
Update: I’ve downgraded the Saints’ projected win total by two. Their offensive line looks to be in shambles, so the offense may be dysfunctional.
Projection: 4-13 (4th in NFC South)
2023 Projection: 6-11. 2022 Actual Result: 9-8.
2022 Projection: 7-10. 2022 Actual Result: 7-10.
2021 Projection: 5-12. 2021 Actual Result: 9-8.
2020 Projection: 13-3. 2020 Actual Result: 12-4.
2019 Projection: 9-7. 2019 Actual Result: 13-3.
2018 Projection: 13-3. 2018 Actual Result: 13-3.
2016 Projection: 8-8. 2017 Actual Result: 11-5.
2016 Projection: 6-10. 2016 Actual Result: 7-9.
NFL Draft Team Grade:
A- GradeGoals Entering the 2024 NFL Draft: The Saints have just two picks in the top 149, so they would be wise to trade down and accumulate more talent across the board. What they should really do is tank in 2024 for one of the top quarterbacks in the 2025 NFL Draft, but they will continue to be stuck in an 8-9/9-8 quagmire.
2024 NFL Draft Accomplishments: New Orleans didn’t trade down after all, but it can’t be criticized for the picks it made. Taliese Fuaga is a talented blocker who could have been chosen a few picks earlier than his spot at No. 14, while Kool-Aid McKinstry was a major steal at No. 41. Both are outstanding players who will fill huge needs on a declining roster.
Another steal was Spencer Rattler, who somehow slipped to the fifth round. Some teams were turned off by a reality show Rattler recorded years ago, but he was 18 when he did it. He may be a different person now, and if so, the Saints may have a legitimate quarterback of the future.
The rest of New Orleans’ draft was mixed, but it was a great class overall. The Saints didn’t end up acquiring more significant assets, but they obtained some very talented players.
NFL Draft Individual Grades:
14. Taliese Fuaga, OT/G, Oregon State – A- Grade
The Saints needed a left tackle, but Taliese Fuaga is a right tackle. However, the Saints need a right tackle as well with Ryan Ramczyk’s season being doomed with his knee injury. This pick makes sense, and Fuaga could have gone a bit earlier than this, so you have to like the slight value.
41. Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama – A+ Grade
Here’s another second-round steal. Kool-Aid McKinstry drew interest from some teams in the 20s, so it’s amazing that the Saints are getting him at No. 41. McKinstry fills a huge need with the Saints really struggling at cornerback outside of Marshon Lattimore.
150. Spencer Rattler, QB, South Carolina – A+ Grade
Here he is! Spencer Rattler had second-day talent, but he apparently dropped because he appeared cocky and arrogant on some reality TV show he filmed a long time ago. Perhaps he’s grown up since then, and if so, he’ll be a promising successor for Derek Carr. You have to love the upside.
170. Bub Means, WR, Pittsburgh – B Grade
Bub Means helped himself at the combine with a fast 40 because there were questions about his separation skills. This is a fine pick for the Saints, who needed to acquire a receiver with Michael Thomas gone.
175. Jaylan Ford, LB, Texas – D Grade
The Saints must have used all their energy selecting Spencer Rattler because this pick is very underwhelming. Jaylan Ford is a seventh-round or UDFA prospect, so it’s puzzling as to why they would choose him at the end of the fifth round.
199. Khristian Boyd, DT, Northern Iowa – A- Grade
I had Khristian Boyd in the fifth round, so i like this value at the Tom Brady pick in the NFL Draft. Boyd was a productive pass rusher in school, though we’ll have to see if the 1-AA production translates to the NFL.
239. Josiah Ezirim, OT, Eastern Kentucky – B+ Grade
The Saints have some glaring offensive tackle issues, so there’s a chance that Josiah Ezirim will earn some playing time. He was expected to go in this range.
Season Summary:
The Saints were a Tampa Bay loss away from reaching the playoffs. While it was a disappointment that they didn’t reach the postseason, they at least finished their 2023 campaign on a strong note with blowout victories over the Buccaneers and Falcons.
Offseason Moves:
Team Needs:
- Defensive End: The Saints could stand to improve their pass rush. Cameron Jordan doesn’t have much time remaining in the NFL. Signed Chase Young
- Cornerback: Marshon Lattimore is great, but the Saints need better cornerbacks otherwise.
- Defensive Tackle: More help on the defensive line is needed. The interior defensive line struggled in the second half of the year.
- Left Tackle: Some competition for Trevor Penning is needed, given that Penning has been a bust thus far.
- Wide Receiver: Michael Thomas’ days are numbered, so the Saints may want to find another receiver to go with Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed.
- Guard: Andrus Peat is an impending free agent, but he hasn’t been a very good player anyway.
- Quarterback: The Saints could stand to find a developmental quarterback behind Derek Carr. Jameis Winston is due to hit free agency.
Follow me @walterfootball for updates.
2024 NFL Free Agent Signings:
New Orleans Saints Free Agents:
Salary Cap: TBA.
NFL Free Agent Tracker:
QB | RB | FB | WR | TE | OT | G | C | DE | DT | OLB | ILB | CB | S | K/P | FA Grades | FA Rumors
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